Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Kashiwa Reysol

2 – 2

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 05:00 UTC Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 4' Cayman Togashi

Matheus Savio 34' 1–1

Mao Hosoya 38' 2–1

2–2 67' Yoichi Naganuma

Y 21' So Kawahara

Y 47' Kohei Tezuka

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashiwa Reysol 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-21 Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–2	D
11 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	1–1	D
29 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–1	D
20 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–2	L
30 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–1	W
23 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–3	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
11 Nov	Yokohama FC	H	1–3	L
27 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D
21 Oct	Albirex Niigata	A	1–1	D
30 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	3–2	W
23 Sep	FC Tokyo	A	2–3	L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Kashiwa Reysol launch into their encounter with Sagan Tosu FC.
4' Cayman Togashi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 4 minutes.
9' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
14' With 0 assists to his name this season, Keiya Sento is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kashiwa Reysol.
19' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
21' Controversy at the stadium! So Kawahara argues furiously but the card stands.
26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kashiwa Reysol side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kashiwa Reysol and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
34' Matheus Savio does the damage! The net is bulging and Kashiwa Reysol surge ahead!
38' Mao Hosoya puts Kashiwa Reysol on the lead.
43' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
47' Kohei Tezuka picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
52' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kashiwa Reysol and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kota Yamada suffering a number of foals already.
62' Jun Nishikawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shota Hino on 62 minute.
67' Against the run of play, Yoichi Naganuma has scored! This game has turned on its head.
69' Sachiro Toshima is ready to make an impact after coming on for Keiya Sento at the 69 minute mark.
72' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Naoyuki Fujita on, Kohei Tezuka off on 72 minutes.
77' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
81' The Kashiwa Reysol bench stirs into life. Kota Yamada is withdrawn and Tomoya Koyamatsu gets his opportunity.
86' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
87' Yuki Muto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuto Yamada on 87 minute.
2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

10
Matheus Savio
6
Keiya Shiihashi
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru
11
Kota Yamada ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 81'
13
Tomoya Inukai
50
Yugo Tatsuta
16
Eiichi Katayama ↓ Naoki Kawaguchi 69'
36
Yuto Yamada ↓ Yuki Muto 87'
19
Mao Hosoya ↓ Ota Yamamoto 81'
41
Keiya Sento ↓ Sachiro Toshima 69'
46
Kenta Matsumoto

Bench

9
Yuki Muto ↑ 87'
24
Naoki Kawaguchi ↑ 69'
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 81'
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 69'
21
Masato Sasaki
34
Takumi Tsuchiya
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 81'

Coach Masami Ihara

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 72'
4
Toshio Shimakawa
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 62'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 87'
25
Yuta Fujihara ↑ 72'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 62'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matheus Savio	4
Daichi Hayashi	4
Tomoya Koyamatsu	3
Michael Olunga	2
Fuchi Honda	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Kosuke Kinoshita	2
Mao Hosoya	2

Head to Head

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-11-11 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-10-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale D 2023-10-20 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2023-09-30 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 Kashiwa Reysol W 2023-09-23 Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Avispa Fukuoka L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-11-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama FC L 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-30 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2023-09-23 FC Tokyo 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.39 Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.47 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol37% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.86

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw

64%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

63%

Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol26% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC28%

Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 2

8.3%

2 – 1

7.8%

0 – 0

7.6%

0 – 1

7.5%

1 – 0

0 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

5.4%

1 – 3

4.1%

3 – 1

3.6%

0 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap	Kashiwa Reysol covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	18%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	19%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.