Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Kashiwa Reysol

2 – 2

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 05:00 UTC Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 4' Cayman Togashi

Matheus Savio 34' 1–1

Mao Hosoya 38' 2–1

2–2 67' Yoichi Naganuma

Y 21' So Kawahara

Y 47' Kohei Tezuka

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashiwa Reysol 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-21 Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–2	D
11 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	1–1	D
29 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–1	D
20 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–2	L
30 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–1	W
23 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–3	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
11 Nov	Yokohama FC	H	1–3	L
27 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D
21 Oct	Albirex Niigata	A	1–1	D
30 Sep	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	3–2	W
23 Sep	FC Tōkyō	A	2–3	L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

2/4

16-30

2/2

31-45

4/4

46-60

6/3

61-75

8/1

76+

7/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

Yusuke Segawa	7 G	2 A
Hinata Yamauchi	5 G
Yoshio Koizumi	4 G	5 A
Keita Endo	4 G	1 A
Tojiro Kubo	4 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Sagan Tosu FC gets underway.
4' What composure from Cayman Togashi! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
9' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
14' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
19' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kashiwa Reysol side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
21' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuta Fujihara made 279 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
31' Matheus Savio, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
34' Matheus Savio is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
38' Mao Hosoya adds to his 0 season tally! Kashiwa Reysol lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
43' Kohei Tezuka has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
47' A moment of madness from Kohei Tezuka on 47 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
52' A quiet spell here at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Kashiwa Reysol seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
57' Kashiwa Reysol currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
62' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Shota Hino departs to be replaced by Jun Nishikawa.
67' What an equalizer from Yoichi Naganuma!
69' It is a substitution in Kashiwa Reysol team. Keiya Sento is replaced by Sachiro Toshima on 69 minute.
72' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Kohei Tezuka is withdrawn and Naoyuki Fujita gets his opportunity.
77' Kashiwa Reysol started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
81' Tomoya Koyamatsu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kota Yamada on 81 minute.
86' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
87' Time for substitution for Kashiwa Reysol. Yuto Yamada is replaced by Yuki Muto.
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

10
Matheus Savio
6
Keiya Shiihashi
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru
11
Kota Yamada ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 81'
13
Tomoya Inukai
50
Yugo Tatsuta
16
Eiichi Katayama ↓ Naoki Kawaguchi 69'
36
Yuto Yamada ↓ Yuki Muto 87'
19
Mao Hosoya ↓ Ota Yamamoto 81'
41
Keiya Sento ↓ Sachiro Toshima 69'
46
Kenta Matsumoto

Bench

9
Yuki Muto ↑ 87'
24
Naoki Kawaguchi ↑ 69'
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 81'
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 69'
21
Masato Sasaki
34
Takumi Tsuchiya
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 81'

Coach Masami Ihara

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 72'
4
Toshio Shimakawa
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 62'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 87'
25
Yuta Fujihara ↑ 72'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 62'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matheus Savio	4
Daichi Hayashi	4
Tomoya Koyamatsu	3
Michael Olunga	2
Fuchi Honda	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Kosuke Kinoshita	2
Mao Hosoya	2

Head to Head

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-11-11 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-10-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale D 2023-10-20 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2023-09-30 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 Kashiwa Reysol W 2023-09-23 Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Avispa Fukuoka L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-11-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama FC L 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-30 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.39 Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.47 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol37% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.86

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw

64%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

63%

Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol26% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC28%

Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 2

8.3%

2 – 1

7.8%

0 – 0

7.6%

0 – 1

7.5%

1 – 0

0 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

5.4%

1 – 3

4.1%

3 – 1

3.6%

0 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap	Kashiwa Reysol covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	18%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	19%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.