Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Kashiwa Reysol

2 – 2

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 05:00 UTC Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 4' Cayman Togashi

Matheus Savio 34' 1–1

Mao Hosoya 38' 2–1

2–2 67' Yoichi Naganuma

Y 21' So Kawahara

Y 47' Kohei Tezuka

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashiwa Reysol 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-21 Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–2	D
11 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	1–1	D
29 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–1	D
20 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–2	L
30 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–1	W
23 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–3	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
11 Nov	Yokohama FC	H	1–3	L
27 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D
21 Oct	Albirex Niigata	A	1–1	D
30 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	3–2	W
23 Sep	FC Tokyo	A	2–3	L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

2/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

3/1

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

Yusuke Segawa	2 G	1 A
Yoshio Koizumi	2 G
Tojiro Kubo	1 G	1 A
Keita Endo	1 G
Yuki Kakita	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Kashiwa Reysol welcome Sagan Tosu FC for this crunch clash at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
4' The deadlock is broken! Cayman Togashi gets on the scoresheet on 4 minutes.
9' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
14' Kashiwa Reysol are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
19' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kashiwa Reysol and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
21' The referee has no hesitation. So Kawahara is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — card on 21.
26' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
31' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
34' A stunning finish from Matheus Savio — that came from absolutely nowhere!
38' What a moment for Mao Hosoya! That strike on 38 puts his side firmly in control.
43' Kashiwa Reysol is showing some good football. However, Kashiwa Reysol are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
47' Poor challenge from Kohei Tezuka. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
52' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Naoyuki Fujita made 448 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
57' It is a cagey affair so far. Kashiwa Reysol in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
62' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 62 minute. Shota Hino leaves to be changed by Jun Nishikawa.
67' The deadlock is broken! Yoichi Naganuma gets on the scoresheet on 67 minutes.
69' Sachiro Toshima has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keiya Sento on 69 minute.
72' The whistle greets Kohei Tezuka as he departs to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita.
77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
81' A change in the Kashiwa Reysol ranks — Kota Yamada exits the field as Tomoya Koyamatsu enters on 81.
86' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
87' Time for substitution for Kashiwa Reysol. Yuto Yamada is replaced by Yuki Muto.
celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

10
Matheus Savio
6
Keiya Shiihashi
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru
11
Kota Yamada ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 81'
13
Tomoya Inukai
50
Yugo Tatsuta
16
Eiichi Katayama ↓ Naoki Kawaguchi 69'
36
Yuto Yamada ↓ Yuki Muto 87'
19
Mao Hosoya ↓ Ota Yamamoto 81'
41
Keiya Sento ↓ Sachiro Toshima 69'
46
Kenta Matsumoto

Bench

9
Yuki Muto ↑ 87'
24
Naoki Kawaguchi ↑ 69'
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 81'
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 69'
21
Masato Sasaki
34
Takumi Tsuchiya
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 81'

Coach Masami Ihara

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 72'
4
Toshio Shimakawa
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 62'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 87'
25
Yuta Fujihara ↑ 72'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 62'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daichi Hayashi	4
Matheus Savio	4
Tomoya Koyamatsu	3
Mao Hosoya	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Michael Olunga	2
Fuchi Honda	2
Marcelo Ryan	2

Head to Head

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-11-11 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-10-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale D 2023-10-20 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2023-09-30 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 Kashiwa Reysol W 2023-09-23 Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Avispa Fukuoka L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-11-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama FC L 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-30 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2023-09-23 FC Tokyo 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.39 Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.47 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol37% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.86

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw

64%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

63%

Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol26% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC28%

Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 2

8.3%

2 – 1

7.8%

0 – 0

7.6%

0 – 1

7.5%

1 – 0

0 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

5.4%

1 – 3

4.1%

3 – 1

3.6%

0 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap	Kashiwa Reysol covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	18%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	19%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.