Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 9,097 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' Pieros Sotiriou
0–2 79' Douglas Vieira

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jumpei Iida
  • Assistant 1 Makoto Hibino
  • Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
19 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
12 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D
06 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
16 Jul Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
26 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 0–0 D
19 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–2 W
13 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
05 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 0–1 L
16 Jul Yokohama FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 3' Pieros Sotiriou doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 8' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 13' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 18' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 18.
  • 23' Wataru Harada has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 28' Sho Sasaki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' The referee shows Sanfrecce Hiroshima player a card on 45.
  • 46' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kentaro Moriya departs to be replaced by Kohei Tezuka.
  • 51' Keisuke Osako needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' So Kawahara has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 279 appearances.
  • 66' Douglas Vieira is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 67' Takumu Kawamura has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
  • 72' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuki Horigome is hanging Yuto Iwasaki on the field on 72 minute.
  • 73' Shunki Higashi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takumu Kawamura at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Yoshiki Narahara comes on to replace Jun Nishikawa.
  • 79' A goal from the Brazil international Douglas Vieira! He fires home on 79 to make it 0-2!
  • 79' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Marcos Junior exits the field as Gakuto Notsuda enters on 79.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Takaaki Shichi is replaced by Taishi Matsumoto.
  • 84' Atsushi Kawata is replacing Cayman Togashi for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 89' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sagan Tosu FC 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw32% Sanfrecce Hiroshima41%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73%
Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC18% Draw55% Sanfrecce Hiroshima27%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.1%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 17% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 23% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 12% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.