Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 9,097 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' Pieros Sotiriou
0–2 79' Douglas Vieira

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jumpei Iida
  • Assistant 1 Makoto Hibino
  • Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
19 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
12 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D
06 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
16 Jul Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
26 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 0–0 D
19 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–2 W
13 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
05 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 0–1 L
16 Jul Yokohama FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
2/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw32% Sanfrecce Hiroshima41%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73%
Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC18% Draw55% Sanfrecce Hiroshima27%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.1%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 17% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 23% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 12% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.