Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

0 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 9,097 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 3' Pieros Sotiriou

0–2 79' Douglas Vieira

Y 45' Marcos Junior

Y 67' Takumu Kawamura

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jumpei Iida
Assistant 1 Makoto Hibino
Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–2	L
26 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	1–1	D
19 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	1–2	L
12 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
06 Aug	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–1	L
16 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–0	W
26 Aug	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–0	D
19 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	H	3–2	W
13 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–1	W
05 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–1	L
16 Jul	Yokohama FC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Sagan Tosu FC host Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the battle begin!
3' A stunning finish from Pieros Sotiriou — that came from absolutely nowhere!
8' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
13' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
18' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact 3-4-2-1.
23' Takaaki Shichi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
33' Yuto Iwasaki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Il-kyu Park, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
43' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcos Junior on 45.
46' Kohei Tezuka is replacing Kentaro Moriya for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
51' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
56' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
67' That looks like a foul for a card for Takumu Kawamura.
72' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Yuki Horigome.
73' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Takumu Kawamura has done his job and it is now time for Shunki Higashi to step up.
78' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Jun Nishikawa by Yoshiki Narahara on 78 minute.
79' A stunning finish from Douglas Vieira — that came from absolutely nowhere!
79' The whistle greets Marcos Junior as he departs to be replaced by Gakuto Notsuda.
83' Takaaki Shichi makes way for Taishi Matsumoto at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
84' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 84 minute. Cayman Togashi leaves to be changed by Atsushi Kawata.
89' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Honours even.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

6
Akito Fukuta
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 46'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 84'
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 72'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 78'
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 78'

Coach Kenta Kawai

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

10
Marcos Junior ↓ Gakuto Notsuda 79'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↓ Hayato Araki 83'
8
Takumu Kawamura ↓ Shunki Higashi 73'
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↓ Douglas Vieira 73'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
16
Takaaki Shichi ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 83'
11
Makoto Mitsuta
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato

Bench

22
Goro Kawanami
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 79'
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 83'
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 73'
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 73'
4
Hayato Araki ↑ 83'

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Patric	1
Hwang Seokho	1
Taishi Matsumoto	1
Yuji Takahashi	1
Taisei Miyashiro	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-08-12 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-08-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-08-26 Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-08-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 Kawasaki Frontale W 2023-08-13 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2023-08-05 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-07-16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Yokohama FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.86 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.13 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw32% Sanfrecce Hiroshima41%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 1.99

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	59%	41%
± 2.5	32%	68%
± 3.5	15%	85%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

59%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

73%

Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC18% Draw55% Sanfrecce Hiroshima27%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

16.1%

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 1

14.1%

1 – 0

10.4%

0 – 2

Actual

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 1

5.6%

2 – 0

4.8%

2 – 2

3.3%

0 – 3

3.1%

1 – 3

2.8%

3 – 1

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	17%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	23%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	12%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.