Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jumpei Iida
- Assistant 1 Makoto Hibino
- Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Yokohama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sagan Tosu FC is hosting Sanfrecce Hiroshima for another epic battle.
- 3' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Pieros Sotiriou on 3.
- 8' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 13' Yoichi Naganuma needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 18 Yellow cards this season.
- 18' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 23' The 37-year-old Hwang Seokho has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 28' Douglas Vieira has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 13 cards already picked up this season.
- 33' Il-kyu Park is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takaaki Shichi suffering a number of foals already.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Marcos Junior.
- 46' Kentaro Moriya makes way for Kohei Tezuka at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 51' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 56' Marcos Junior has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 40 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 61' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
- 66' Japan international Tsukasa Shiotani has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 67' Takumu Kawamura catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 67.
- 72' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuto Iwasaki exits the field as Yuki Horigome enters on 72.
- 73' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 73 minute. Takumu Kawamura leaves to be changed by Shunki Higashi.
- 78' The crowd applauds Jun Nishikawa as he leaves the pitch. Yoshiki Narahara steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Douglas Vieira makes it 0-2.
- 79' Gakuto Notsuda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcos Junior at the 79 minute mark.
- 83' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Takaaki Shichi is replaced by Taishi Matsumoto.
- 84' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Atsushi Kawata comes on to replace Cayman Togashi.
- 89' Over 89 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Kohei Tezuka 46'
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Atsushi Kawata 84'
- 20
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Yuki Horigome 72'
- 18
- 24
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 78'
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 6
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 46'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 84'
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 72'
- 31
-
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 78'
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 78'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
10
Marcos Junior ↓ Gakuto Notsuda 79'
- 19
- 38
-
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↓ Hayato Araki 83'
- 8
- 20
- 33
- 16
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
-
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 79'
-
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 83'
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 73'
- 13
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 73'
-
4
Hayato Araki ↑ 83'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Makoto Mitsuta | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 1 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 1 |
| Patric | 1 |
| Junior Santos | 1 |
| Marcos Junior | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-09-02
Sagan Tosu FC
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-08-26
Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2023-08-19
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–2
Kawasaki Frontale
W
2023-08-13
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2023-08-05
Shonan Bellmare
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2023-07-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Yokohama FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73%
Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.1%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

