Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jumpei Iida
- Assistant 1 Makoto Hibino
- Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Yokohama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Sagan Tosu FC gets underway.
- 3' Goal! Pieros Sotiriou scores his 29 goal in 105 matches.
- 8' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 13' Japan international So Kawahara has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 18' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 23' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 28' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 33' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 38' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 45' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Marcos Junior gets a card.
- 46' Kohei Tezuka gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Kentaro Moriya and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Hayato Araki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 61' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 66' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 67' Takumu Kawamura is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
- 72' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Yuki Horigome.
- 73' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Shunki Higashi comes on to replace Takumu Kawamura.
- 78' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Jun Nishikawa by Yoshiki Narahara on 78 minute.
- 79' Brilliant from the ! Douglas Vieira makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 79.
- 79' Gakuto Notsuda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcos Junior at the 79 minute mark.
- 83' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Takaaki Shichi departs to be replaced by Taishi Matsumoto.
- 84' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Cayman Togashi is replaced by Atsushi Kawata on 84 minute.
- 89' Jun Nishikawa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Sagan Tosu FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Kohei Tezuka 46'
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Atsushi Kawata 84'
- 20
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Yuki Horigome 72'
- 18
- 24
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 78'
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 6
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 46'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 84'
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 72'
- 31
-
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 78'
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 78'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
10
Marcos Junior ↓ Gakuto Notsuda 79'
- 19
- 38
-
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↓ Hayato Araki 83'
- 8
- 20
- 33
- 16
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
-
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 79'
-
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 83'
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 73'
- 13
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 73'
-
4
Hayato Araki ↑ 83'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Makoto Mitsuta | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Shunki Higashi | 1 |
| Tsukasa Shiotani | 1 |
| Yuya Asano | 1 |
| Shuto Nakano | 1 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-09-02
Sagan Tosu FC
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-08-26
Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2023-08-19
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–2
Kawasaki Frontale
W
2023-08-13
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2023-08-05
Shonan Bellmare
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2023-07-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Yokohama FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73%
Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.1%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

