Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Jumpei Iida
- Assistant 1 Makoto Hibino
- Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Yokohama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 3' Pieros Sotiriou doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 8' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 13' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 18' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 18.
- 23' Wataru Harada has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 28' Sho Sasaki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' The referee shows Sanfrecce Hiroshima player a card on 45.
- 46' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kentaro Moriya departs to be replaced by Kohei Tezuka.
- 51' Keisuke Osako needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 61' So Kawahara has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 279 appearances.
- 66' Douglas Vieira is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
- 67' Takumu Kawamura has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
- 72' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuki Horigome is hanging Yuto Iwasaki on the field on 72 minute.
- 73' Shunki Higashi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takumu Kawamura at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Yoshiki Narahara comes on to replace Jun Nishikawa.
- 79' A goal from the Brazil international Douglas Vieira! He fires home on 79 to make it 0-2!
- 79' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Marcos Junior exits the field as Gakuto Notsuda enters on 79.
- 83' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Takaaki Shichi is replaced by Taishi Matsumoto.
- 84' Atsushi Kawata is replacing Cayman Togashi for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
- 89' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sagan Tosu FC 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Kohei Tezuka 46'
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Atsushi Kawata 84'
- 20
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Yuki Horigome 72'
- 18
- 24
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 78'
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 6
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 46'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 84'
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 72'
- 31
-
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 78'
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 78'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
10
Marcos Junior ↓ Gakuto Notsuda 79'
- 19
- 38
-
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↓ Hayato Araki 83'
- 8
- 20
- 33
- 16
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
-
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 79'
-
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 83'
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 73'
- 13
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 73'
-
4
Hayato Araki ↑ 83'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Makoto Mitsuta | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Taishi Matsumoto | 1 |
| Yuji Takahashi | 1 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 1 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 1 |
| Yuji Takahashi | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-09-02
Sagan Tosu FC
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-08-26
Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2023-08-19
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–2
Kawasaki Frontale
W
2023-08-13
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2023-08-05
Shonan Bellmare
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2023-07-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Yokohama FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73%
Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.1%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

