Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Avispa Fukuoka

0 – 1

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 05:00 UTC Best Denki Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 90+6' Hayato Araki

Y 28' Shuto Nakano

Daiki Miya 57' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Avispa Fukuoka 12 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2022-06-25 Avispa Fukuoka 1–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-04-10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2021-08-09 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Dec	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–1	L
25 Nov	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	3–2	W
11 Nov	Gamba Osaka	A	2–1	W
28 Oct	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	0–4	L
20 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	A	2–4	L
30 Sep	Kashima Antlers	H	0–0	D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Dec	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–0	W
25 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
11 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D
28 Oct	FC Tokyo	A	2–1	W
21 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–0	D
30 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#10	Position	#4
21	Points	30
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
49	Scored	41
59	Conceded	33
-10	GD	+8
1.17	PPG	1.67
39%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima is underway.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
10' Avispa Fukuoka are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 3-4-2-1 shape.
15' Kazuya Konno is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Shigetoshi Hasebe will be considering his options from the bench.
25' A quiet spell here at Best Denki Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
28' Shuto Nakano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 28.
33' Avispa Fukuoka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
38' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
43' Japan international Daiki Miya has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
46' Ezequiel is replacing Taishi Matsumoto for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 200 games and scored 210 goals.
57' Daiki Miya is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
62' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Avispa Fukuoka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
64' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Takeshi Kanamori has done his job and it is now time for Wellington to step up.
65' It is a substitution in Avispa Fukuoka team. Kazuya Konno is replaced by Lukian on 65 minute.
70' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Shuto Nakano by Pieros Sotiriou on 70 minute.
75' It looks surprising Avispa Fukuoka does not make any changes. Keisuke Osako has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
78' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Shunki Higashi by Takaaki Shichi on 78 minute.
80' The whistle greets Masato Yuzawa as he departs to be replaced by Itsuki Oda.
85' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
87' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 87 minute. Makoto Mitsuta leaves to be changed by Marcos Junior.
89' Fresh legs for Avispa Fukuoka! Shun Nakamura comes on to replace Hiroyuki Mae.
Full Time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima beats Avispa Fukuoka

Lineups

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

18
Wellington ↑ 64'
16
Itsuki Oda ↑ 80'
9
Lukian ↑ 65'
17
Shun Nakamura ↑ 89'
31
Masaaki Murakami
28
Reiju Tsuruno
33
Douglas Groli ↑ 65'

Coach Shigetoshi Hasebe

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

10
Marcos Junior ↑ 87'
14
Ezequiel ↑ 46'
22
Goro Kawanami
6
Toshihiro Aoyama
3
Taichi Yamasaki
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 70'
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 78'

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sho Sasaki	2
Shunki Higashi	2
Hiroyuki Mae	2
Tomoya Miki	2
Junior Santos	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Daiki Watari	2
Yuya Yamagishi	1

Head to Head

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-11-25 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–3 Avispa Fukuoka W 2023-11-11 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka W 2023-10-28 Avispa Fukuoka 0–4 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2023-10-20 Kawasaki Frontale 4–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-09-30 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Kashima Antlers D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-11-11 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-10-28 FC Tokyo 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.48 Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.43 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Avispa Fukuoka24% Draw22% Sanfrecce Hiroshima54%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.91

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw

46%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Avispa Fukuoka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Avispa Fukuoka20% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima43%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

8.5%

1 – 1

1 – 3

6.8%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 2

2 – 1

5.2%

2 – 3

0 – 3

4.7%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 4

4.1%

0 – 0

3.1%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap	Avispa Fukuoka covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	6%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	12%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	43%	—	57%
+1	43%	20%	37%
+1.5	63%	—	37%
+2	63%	17%	20%
+2.5	80%	—	20%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

23% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.