Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Avispa Fukuoka

0 – 1

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 05:00 UTC Best Denki Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 90+6' Hayato Araki

Y 28' Shuto Nakano

Daiki Miya 57' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Avispa Fukuoka 12 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2022-06-25 Avispa Fukuoka 1–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-04-10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2021-08-09 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Dec	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–1	L
25 Nov	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	3–2	W
11 Nov	Gamba Osaka	A	2–1	W
28 Oct	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	0–4	L
20 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	A	2–4	L
30 Sep	Kashima Antlers	H	0–0	D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Dec	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–0	W
25 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
11 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D
28 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	2–1	W
21 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–0	D
30 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#10	Position	#4
21	Points	30
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
49	Scored	41
59	Conceded	33
-10	GD	+8
1.17	PPG	1.67
39%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

–/–

61-75

4/2

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Avispa Fukuoka host Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the battle begin!
5' It’s high time Shigetoshi Hasebe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
10' Yosuke Ideguchi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
20' Avispa Fukuoka is showing some good football. However, Avispa Fukuoka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
25' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
28' That looks like a foul for a card for Shuto Nakano.
33' Makoto Mitsuta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
43' The 26-year-old Takumu Kawamura has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
46' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Taishi Matsumoto trudges off to be replaced by Ezequiel on 46 minutes.
51' Masaya Tashiro has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 19 cards already picked up this season.
56' Avispa Fukuoka currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
57' That looks like a foul for a card for Daiki Miya.
62' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
64' Wellington is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takeshi Kanamori at the 64 minute mark.
65' The supporters are chanting for Lukian. He replaces Kazuya Konno on 65 minute.
70' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Shuto Nakano is replaced by Pieros Sotiriou.
75' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
78' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Shunki Higashi departs to be replaced by Takaaki Shichi.
80' The crowd applauds Masato Yuzawa as he leaves the pitch. Itsuki Oda steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
87' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Makoto Mitsuta is replaced by Marcos Junior on 87 minute.
89' Shun Nakamura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroyuki Mae on 89 minute.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Avispa Fukuoka.

Lineups

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

18
Wellington ↑ 64'
16
Itsuki Oda ↑ 80'
9
Lukian ↑ 65'
17
Shun Nakamura ↑ 89'
31
Masaaki Murakami
28
Reiju Tsuruno
33
Douglas Groli ↑ 65'

Coach Shigetoshi Hasebe

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

10
Marcos Junior ↑ 87'
14
Ezequiel ↑ 46'
22
Goro Kawanami
6
Toshihiro Aoyama
3
Taichi Yamasaki
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 70'
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 78'

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Douglas Vieira	2
Daiki Watari	2
Sho Sasaki	2
Shunki Higashi	2
Hiroyuki Mae	2
Tomoya Miki	2
Junior Santos	2
Kosei Shibasaki	1

Head to Head

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-11-25 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–3 Avispa Fukuoka W 2023-11-11 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka W 2023-10-28 Avispa Fukuoka 0–4 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2023-10-20 Kawasaki Frontale 4–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-09-30 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Kashima Antlers D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-11-11 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-10-28 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.48 Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.43 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Avispa Fukuoka24% Draw22% Sanfrecce Hiroshima54%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.91

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw

46%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Avispa Fukuoka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Avispa Fukuoka20% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima43%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

8.5%

1 – 1

1 – 3

6.8%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 2

2 – 1

5.2%

2 – 3

0 – 3

4.7%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 4

4.1%

0 – 0

3.1%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap	Avispa Fukuoka covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	6%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	12%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	43%	—	57%
+1	43%	20%	37%
+1.5	63%	—	37%
+2	63%	17%	20%
+2.5	80%	—	20%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

23% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.