Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Avispa Fukuoka

0 – 1

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 05:00 UTC Best Denki Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 90+6' Hayato Araki

Y 28' Shuto Nakano

Daiki Miya 57' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Avispa Fukuoka 13 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2022-06-25 Avispa Fukuoka 1–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-04-10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2021-08-09 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Dec	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–1	L
25 Nov	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	3–2	W
11 Nov	Gamba Osaka	A	2–1	W
28 Oct	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	0–4	L
20 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	A	2–4	L
30 Sep	Kashima Antlers	H	0–0	D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Dec	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–0	W
25 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
11 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D
28 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	2–1	W
21 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–0	D
30 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#10	Position	#4
21	Points	30
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
49	Scored	41
59	Conceded	33
-10	GD	+8
1.17	PPG	1.67
39%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

8% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

1/4

16-30

1/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

3/8

76+

3/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/2

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

Shu Morooka	3 G	1 A
Werik	2 G
Kazuki Fujimoto	1 G
Yuma Tsujioka	1 G

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	10 G	4 A
Mutsuki Kato	3 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	3 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Avispa Fukuoka launch into their encounter with Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
5' Avispa Fukuoka currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
10' Japan international Yosuke Ideguchi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shunki Higashi suffering a number of foals already.
25' Avispa Fukuoka are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 3-4-2-1 shape.
28' The referee has no hesitation. Shuto Nakano is booked for Sanfrecce Hiroshima — card on 28.
33' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
38' Yuya Yamagishi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 9 cards already picked up this season.
43' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Shunki Higashi scoring 1 goals.
46' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Taishi Matsumoto exits the field as Ezequiel enters on 46.
51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
56' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daiki Miya on 57.
62' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
64' Fresh legs for Avispa Fukuoka! Wellington comes on to replace Takeshi Kanamori.
65' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Kazuya Konno has done his job and it is now time for Lukian to step up.
70' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Shuto Nakano is replaced by Pieros Sotiriou.
75' A quiet spell here at Best Denki Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
78' Takaaki Shichi is replacing Shunki Higashi for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
80' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Masato Yuzawa by Itsuki Oda on 80 minute.
85' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
87' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Makoto Mitsuta trudges off to be replaced by Marcos Junior on 87 minutes.
89' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shun Nakamura is hanging Hiroyuki Mae on the field on 89 minute.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Avispa Fukuoka.

Lineups

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

18
Wellington ↑ 64'
16
Itsuki Oda ↑ 80'
9
Lukian ↑ 65'
17
Shun Nakamura ↑ 89'
31
Masaaki Murakami
28
Reiju Tsuruno
33
Douglas Groli ↑ 65'

Coach Shigetoshi Hasebe

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

10
Marcos Junior ↑ 87'
14
Ezequiel ↑ 46'
22
Goro Kawanami
6
Toshihiro Aoyama
3
Taichi Yamasaki
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 70'
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 78'

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Shunki Higashi	3
Hiroyuki Mae	2
Tomoya Miki	2
Junior Santos	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Daiki Watari	2
Sho Sasaki	2
Shosei Usui	1

Head to Head

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-11-25 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–3 Avispa Fukuoka W 2023-11-11 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka W 2023-10-28 Avispa Fukuoka 0–4 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2023-10-20 Kawasaki Frontale 4–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-09-30 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Kashima Antlers D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-11-11 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-10-28 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.48 Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.43 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Avispa Fukuoka24% Draw22% Sanfrecce Hiroshima54%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.91

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw

46%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Avispa Fukuoka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Avispa Fukuoka20% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima43%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

8.5%

1 – 1

1 – 3

6.8%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 2

2 – 1

5.2%

2 – 3

0 – 3

4.7%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 4

4.1%

0 – 0

3.1%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap	Avispa Fukuoka covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	6%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	12%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	43%	—	57%
+1	43%	20%	37%
+1.5	63%	—	37%
+2	63%	17%	20%
+2.5	80%	—	20%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

23% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.