Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Nov | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–4 | L |
| 30 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #4 |
| 21 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 49 | Scored | 41 |
| 59 | Conceded | 33 |
| -10 | GD | +8 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Best Denki Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' Takumu Kawamura has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 28' Shuto Nakano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 28.
- 33' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 339 games and scored 435 goals.
- 38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Shigetoshi Hasebe might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 43' Tsukasa Shiotani has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 83 appearances.
- 46' Ezequiel is replacing Taishi Matsumoto for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' A quiet spell here at Best Denki Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 57' Daiki Miya was booked on 57.
- 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
- 64' Wellington has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takeshi Kanamori on 64 minute.
- 65' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Kazuya Konno by Lukian on 65 minute.
- 70' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Shuto Nakano by Pieros Sotiriou on 70 minute.
- 75' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 78' Takaaki Shichi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shunki Higashi on 78 minute.
- 80' Itsuki Oda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Masato Yuzawa at the 80 minute mark.
- 85' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
- 87' Marcos Junior gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Makoto Mitsuta and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Hiroyuki Mae trudges off to be replaced by Shun Nakamura on 89 minutes.
- Avispa Fukuoka will have plenty to reflect on. Sanfrecce Hiroshima were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 99
- 3
- 5
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↓ Wellington 64'
- 1
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Lukian 65'
- 29
-
37
Masaya Tashiro ↓ Douglas Groli 65'
-
6
Hiroyuki Mae ↓ Shun Nakamura 89'
- 11
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↓ Itsuki Oda 80'
Bench
-
18
Wellington ↑ 64'
-
16
Itsuki Oda ↑ 80'
-
9
Lukian ↑ 65'
-
17
Shun Nakamura ↑ 89'
- 31
- 28
-
33
Douglas Groli ↑ 65'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 38
-
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↓ Ezequiel 46'
- 8
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Takaaki Shichi 78'
- 33
- 9
- 4
-
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Marcos Junior 87'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 70'
- 51
Bench
-
10
Marcos Junior ↑ 87'
-
14
Ezequiel ↑ 46'
- 22
- 6
- 3
-
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 70'
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 78'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shunki Higashi | 3 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Daiki Watari | 2 |
| Sho Sasaki | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Mae | 2 |
| Tomoya Miki | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Shahab Zahedi Tabar | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-12-03
Avispa Fukuoka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-11-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2023-11-11
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2023-10-28
FC Tōkyō
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-10-21
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
D
2023-09-30
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1
Nagoya Grampus
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.48
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.43
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
46%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 1
8%
1 – 3
6.8%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
0 – 3
4.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 0
3.1%
2 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 6% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 20% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +2 | 63% | 17% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

