Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Sagan Tosu FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 5 Nov 2022 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Taisei Miyashiro 7' Y

Yuki Kakita 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League .

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-08 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–2	D
29 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–3	L
08 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–1	L
16 Sep	Kashima Antlers	H	1–1	D
10 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–2	D
29 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–2	L
08 Oct	Vissel Kobe	A	0–4	L
01 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	4–1	W
17 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–0	D
10 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sagan Tosu FC to score. At the same time, Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
3' The deadlock is broken! Sho Sasaki gets on the scoresheet on 3 minutes.
7' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a Yellow card on 7.
12' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
17' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
27' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
37' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
42' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
43' Makoto Mitsuta does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
48' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
57' Taisei Miyashiro is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
58' Naoyuki Fujita has so much to prove this time. He replaces Akito Fukuta on 58 minute.
60' Hwang Seokho makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
63' The supporters are chanting for Taishi Matsumoto. He replaces Yoshifumi Kashiwa on 63 minute.
68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
73' Yuki Horigome gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Fuchi Honda and will look to change the dynamic.
74' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Hwang Seokho trudges off to be replaced by Yuji Ono on 74 minutes.
79' The supporters are chanting for Yuki Kakita. He replaces Jun Nishikawa on 79 minute.
84' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Nassim Ben Khalifa trudges off to be replaced by Pieros Sotiriou on 84 minutes.
89' Kosei Shibasaki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tsukasa Morishima at the 89 minute mark.
90' Poor challenge from Yuki Kakita. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 58'
20
Hwang Seokho ↓ Yuji Ono 74'
37
Kei Koizumi
11
Taisei Miyashiro ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 79'
29
Yuto Iwasaki
40
Park Ilkyu
18
Jun Nishikawa ↓ Yuki Kakita 79'
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Yuki Horigome 73'
30
Masaya Tashiro
5
Diego
24
Yoichi Naganuma

Bench

47
Kentaro Moriya
10
Yuji Ono ↑ 74'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 58'
19
Yuki Kakita ↑ 79'
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 73'
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 79'
31
Masahiro Okamoto

Coach Kenta Kawai

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Toshihiro Aoyama 84'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Tomoya Fujii 89'
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 63'
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Kosei Shibasaki 89'
27
Takumu Kawamura
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 84'
3
Tsukasa Shiotani
21
Jelani Sumiyoshi
39
Makoto Mitsuta

Bench

22
Goro Kawanami
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↑ 84'
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↑ 89'
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 63'
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 84'
15
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 89'
33
Yuta Imazu

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Patric	1
Hwang Seokho	1
Taishi Matsumoto	1
Yuji Takahashi	1
Taisei Miyashiro	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers D 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2022-10-08 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2022-10-01 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-09-10 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.35 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw29% Sanfrecce Hiroshima30%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.47

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

70%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

59%

Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw49% Sanfrecce Hiroshima22%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.7%

0 – 0

10.6%

1 – 0

10.4%

0 – 1

8.3%

2 – 1

8.3%

2 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

3.8%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	21%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	17%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.