Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Sagan Tosu FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 5 Nov 2022 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Taisei Miyashiro 7' Y

Yuki Kakita 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League .

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-08 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–2	D
29 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–3	L
08 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–1	L
16 Sep	Kashima Antlers	H	1–1	D
10 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–2	D
29 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–2	L
08 Oct	Vissel Kobe	A	0–4	L
01 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	4–1	W
17 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–0	D
10 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
3' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sho Sasaki makes no mistake. 0-1!
7' A meaty challenge results in booking for Taisei Miyashiro on 7.
12' Jelani Sumiyoshi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
17' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 17 minutes.
22' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
42' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
43' Goal! Makoto Mitsuta scores his 18 goal in 339 matches.
48' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 48.
53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
57' Taisei Miyashiro adds to his 1 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
58' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Akito Fukuta has done his job and it is now time for Naoyuki Fujita to step up.
60' What an equalizer from Hwang Seokho!
63' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Yoshifumi Kashiwa exits the field as Taishi Matsumoto enters on 63.
68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Toshihiro Aoyama suffering a number of foals already.
73' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 73 minute. Fuchi Honda leaves to be changed by Yuki Horigome.
74' Yuji Ono is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hwang Seokho at the 74 minute mark.
79' Yuki Kakita is replacing Jun Nishikawa for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
84' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pieros Sotiriou is hanging Nassim Ben Khalifa on the field on 84 minute.
89' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Tsukasa Morishima exits the field as Kosei Shibasaki enters on 89.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Yuki Kakita.
The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 2-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Honours even.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 58'
20
Hwang Seokho ↓ Yuji Ono 74'
37
Kei Koizumi
11
Taisei Miyashiro ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 79'
29
Yuto Iwasaki
40
Park Ilkyu
18
Jun Nishikawa ↓ Yuki Kakita 79'
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Yuki Horigome 73'
30
Masaya Tashiro
5
Diego
24
Yoichi Naganuma

Bench

47
Kentaro Moriya
10
Yuji Ono ↑ 74'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 58'
19
Yuki Kakita ↑ 79'
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 73'
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 79'
31
Masahiro Okamoto

Coach Kenta Kawai

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Toshihiro Aoyama 84'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Tomoya Fujii 89'
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 63'
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Kosei Shibasaki 89'
27
Takumu Kawamura
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 84'
3
Tsukasa Shiotani
21
Jelani Sumiyoshi
39
Makoto Mitsuta

Bench

22
Goro Kawanami
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↑ 84'
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↑ 89'
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 63'
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 84'
15
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 89'
33
Yuta Imazu

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	1
Marcelo Ryan	1
Patric	1
Junior Santos	1
Marcos Junior	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers D 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2022-10-08 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2022-10-01 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-09-10 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.35 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw29% Sanfrecce Hiroshima30%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.47

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

70%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

59%

Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw49% Sanfrecce Hiroshima22%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.7%

0 – 0

10.6%

1 – 0

10.4%

0 – 1

8.3%

2 – 1

8.3%

2 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

3.8%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	21%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	17%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.