Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | FC Tokyo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–4 | L |
| 02 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Nov | Yokohama FC | H | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima will turn into a battlefield for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' Tae-hyeon Kim is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 18' Magnificent from Tsukasa Shiotani! That is 6 goals in 83 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 28' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cayman Togashi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 31' GOAL! Takumu Kawamura scores on 31.
- 36' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 41' Il-kyu Park is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 46' The whistle greets Akito Fukuta as he departs to be replaced by Kohei Tezuka.
- 51' GOAL! Pieros Sotiriou scores on 51.
- 55' It’s gonna be a card for Kohei Tezuka.
- 57' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Vinicius Araujo departs to be replaced by Cayman Togashi.
- 62' So Kawahara has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 279 appearances.
- 67' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cayman Togashi on 69.
- 71' Ezequiel is replacing Pieros Sotiriou for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 76' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 81' Shuto Nakano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 82' A moment of madness from Wataru Harada on 82 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
- 82' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kohei Tezuka departs to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
- 87' The crowd applauds Mutsuki Kato as he leaves the pitch. Taishi Matsumoto steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Takumu Kawamura trudges off to be replaced by Gakuto Notsuda on 90 minutes.
- Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Sanfrecce Hiroshima were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 8
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Takaaki Shichi 71'
-
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↓ Ezequiel 71'
- 77
- 33
- 4
-
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Motoki Ohara 90'
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 87'
Bench
-
17
Ezequiel ↑ 71'
- 22
-
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 90'
-
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 87'
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 71'
- 25
-
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 90'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Kohei Tezuka 46'
- 28
- 99
- 88
- 71
- 21
- 42
- 2
- 5
- 20
Bench
- 19
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 57'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 46'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 46'
- 23
- 31
- 13
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 2 |
| Rhayner | 1 |
| Hayato Araki | 1 |
| Takumu Kawamura | 1 |
| Toshihiro Aoyama | 1 |
| Shunki Higashi | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-03-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–0
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2024-03-02
FC Tokyo
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-02-23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2023-12-03
Avispa Fukuoka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-11-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2023-11-11
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
88%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
33%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
12.4%
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
6.3%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3.3%
1 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 21% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 24% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

