Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yuzo Sutani
11 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 10 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 5–6 | L |
| 02 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–6 | L |
| 10 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 5 G | 4 A |
| Shunki Higashi | 3 G | 7 A |
| Sota Nakamura | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ryo Germain | 3 G | 1 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 1 A |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 10 G | |
| Yudai Kimura | 8 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is hosting Nagoya Grampus for another epic battle.
- 5' Shuhei Tokumoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' Yudai Kimura, a Japan , has 6 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 33' Goal! Sota Nakamura scores his 8 goal in 335 matches.
- 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 42' A moment of madness from Hayao Kawabe on 42 minutes earns him a card. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be frustrated.
- 43' Hayao Kawabe was booked on 43.
- 47' What a moment for Yuya Yamagishi! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 48' Magnificent from Yuya Yamagishi! That is 41 goals in 200 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 49' The deadlock is broken! Hayao Kawabe gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 50' What a moment for Hayao Kawabe! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' Brilliant from the ! Akito Suzuki makes it 4-2 with a superb finish on 56.
- 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 67' Tsukasa Morishima doubles the advantage! 4-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 72' Taichi Yamasaki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 77' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 335 games and scored 427 goals.
- 87' The 28-year-old Mutsuki Kato has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- The final score is 4-2.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 3
- 6
- 24
- 33
- 99
- 13
- 10
- 15
- 11
- 39
Bench
- 9
- 14
- 41
- 17
- 16
- 25
- 21
- 35
- 40
Coach
Bartosch Gaul
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 17
- 2
- 13
- 7
- 31
- 9
- 27
- 11
- 22
- 55
Bench
- 18
- 14
- 19
- 3
- 33
- 20
- 35
- 41
- 30
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 4 |
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Daiki Suga | 1 |
| Yuki Nogami | 1 |
| Leandro Pereira | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2026-05-23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–2
Nagoya Grampus
W
2026-05-17
Kyoto Sanga FC
0–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2026-05-10
Gamba Osaka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2026-05-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5–6
Vissel Kobe
L
2026-05-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2026-04-29
Avispa Fukuoka
2–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 4.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
74%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
45%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
4 – 2
Actual
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
3.7%
4 – 3
3.4%
5 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 15% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 17% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 12% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

