Monday , 27 July 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sat 23 May 2026 · 05:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima 26,884 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sota Nakamura 33' 1–0
1–1 45+3' Yuya Yamagishi
Hayao Kawabe 45+4' 2–1
Shuto Nakano 47' 3–1
Akito Suzuki 56' 4–1
4–2 67' Tsukasa Morishima
Hayao Kawabe 42' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Match Details

  • Referee Yuzo Sutani
11 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Nagoya Grampus H 4–2 W
17 May Kyoto Sanga FC A 4–0 W
10 May Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W
06 May Vissel Kobe H 5–6 L
02 May Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–4 L
17 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–6 L
10 May Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
06 May Gamba Osaka H 2–1 W
03 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–1 W
29 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
#4 Position #3
30 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
+8 GD +2
1.67 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 5 G 4 A
Shunki Higashi 3 G 7 A
Sota Nakamura 3 G 2 A
Ryo Germain 3 G 1 A
Shuto Nakano 3 G 1 A
Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 10 G
Yudai Kimura 8 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is hosting Nagoya Grampus for another epic battle.
  • 5' Shuhei Tokumoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' Yudai Kimura, a Japan , has 6 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 33' Goal! Sota Nakamura scores his 8 goal in 335 matches.
  • 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 42' A moment of madness from Hayao Kawabe on 42 minutes earns him a card. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be frustrated.
  • 43' Hayao Kawabe was booked on 43.
  • 47' What a moment for Yuya Yamagishi! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 48' Magnificent from Yuya Yamagishi! That is 41 goals in 200 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 49' The deadlock is broken! Hayao Kawabe gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 50' What a moment for Hayao Kawabe! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' Brilliant from the ! Akito Suzuki makes it 4-2 with a superb finish on 56.
  • 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 67' Tsukasa Morishima doubles the advantage! 4-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 72' Taichi Yamasaki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
  • 77' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 335 games and scored 427 goals.
  • 87' The 28-year-old Mutsuki Kato has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • The final score is 4-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 84%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima55% Draw19% Nagoya Grampus26%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes84% 0% No16%
Avg goals/match: 5.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 89%
11%
± 3.5 77%
23%
± 4.5 61%
39%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
74%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
45%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima45% Draw31% Nagoya Grampus24%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
4 – 2
Actual
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
3.7%
4 – 3
3.4%
5 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 15% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 17% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 12% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 8% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
5%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.