Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 – 3
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Mon 6 May 2024 · 06:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 45' Tsukasa Morishima

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

7
3
10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Nagoya Grampus H 2–3 L
03 May Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
28 Apr Kawasaki Frontale H 2–2 D
20 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D
13 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 1–1 D
07 Apr Shonan Bellmare H 2–0 W
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 3–2 W
03 May Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
28 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
21 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
13 Apr Jubilo Iwata A 1–0 W
07 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
#4 Position #3
30 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
+8 GD +2
1.67 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score. At the same time, Nagoya Grampus does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 2' What composure from Patric! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 7' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 12' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 18' Goal! Sho Inagaki scores his 45 goal in 335 matches.
  • 23' Sota Koshimichi makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
  • 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skibbe might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 33' Kasper Junker, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 38' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 43' Yuki Nogami is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 45' Tsukasa Morishima picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Taishi Matsumoto exits the field as Marcos Junior enters on 46.
  • 48' Shuto Nakano is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 53' Japan international Katsuhiro Nakayama has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
  • 55' Kensuke Nagai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ken Masui at the 55 minute mark.
  • 60' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 65' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Takaaki Shichi comes on to replace Sota Koshimichi.
  • 71' The 32-year-old Akinari Kawazura has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 74' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 74 minute. Takuya Uchida leaves to be changed by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
  • 76' Naoto Arai gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Shuto Nakano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kasper Junker is hanging Patric on the field on 81 minute.
  • 84' A goal from the Japan international Sho Sasaki! He fires home on 84 to make it 3-2!
  • 89' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Nagoya Grampus take all three points.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kasper Junker 4
Mateus 4
Naoki Maeda 3
Gakuto Notsuda 2
Shuto Nakano 2
Tsukasa Morishima 1
Ezequiel 1
Mitch Langerak 1

Head to Head

2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-05-03 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-04-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale D 2024-04-20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-04-13 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-04-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shonan Bellmare W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-05-03 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Vissel Kobe L 2024-04-28 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-04-13 Jubilo Iwata 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-04-07 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.32 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima44% Draw23% Nagoya Grampus33%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
68%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima37% Draw37% Nagoya Grampus26%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.3%
4 – 1
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 14% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 18% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 15% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.