Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–3 | L |
| 03 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Júbilo Iwata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. sanfrecce hiroshima is hosting nagoya grampus for another epic battle.
- 2' Patric doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 7' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 12' nagoya grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 12.
- 17' nagoya grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 18' What a moment for Sho Inagaki! That strike on 18 puts his side firmly in control.
- 23' Goal! Sota Koshimichi scores his 1 goal in 348 matches.
- 28' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 33' Shuto Nakano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His sanfrecce hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 43' Both keepers have barely been tested. sanfrecce hiroshima and nagoya grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Tsukasa Morishima.
- 46' Marcos Junior has so much to prove this time. He replaces Taishi Matsumoto on 46 minute.
- 48' Goal! Shuto Nakano scores his 12 goal in 348 matches.
- 53' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 55' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Kensuke Nagai on, Ken Masui off on 55 minutes.
- 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hayato Araki suffering a number of foals already.
- 66' Takaaki Shichi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sota Koshimichi at the 66 minute mark.
- 71' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 74' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Takuya Uchida is withdrawn and Katsuhiro Nakayama gets his opportunity.
- 76' The crowd applauds Shuto Nakano as he leaves the pitch. Naoto Arai steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 81' Patric makes way for Kasper Junker at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 84' A goal from the Japan international Sho Sasaki! He fires home on 84 to make it 0-5!
- 89' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with sanfrecce hiroshima winning 100% of all matches.
- The points are shared — sanfrecce hiroshima 2-3 nagoya grampus. Honours even.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
- 24
-
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↓ Motoki Ohara 76'
- 33
- 4
- 11
- 32
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Naoto Arai 76'
- 51
Bench
-
10
Marcos Junior ↑ 46'
- 22
- 7
- 5
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 66'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 76'
-
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 76'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Ryuji Izumi 55'
- 14
- 15
-
10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 81'
-
17
Ken Masui ↓ Kensuke Nagai 55'
- 24
- 20
- 3
Bench
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 55'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 55'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 74'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 81'
- 5
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 4 |
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-05-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–3
Nagoya Grampus
L
2024-05-03
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2024-04-20
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-13
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-07
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.32
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
68%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.3%
4 – 1
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 14% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 18% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

