Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 3

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Mon 6 May 2024 · 06:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Tsukasa Morishima

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–3	L
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	1–1	D
28 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	2–2	D
20 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
13 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–1	D
07 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–0	W

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	3–2	W
03 May	Vissel Kobe	H	0–2	L
28 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
21 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
13 Apr	Júbilo Iwata	A	1–0	W
07 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Nagoya Grampus
#4	Position	#3
30	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
41	Scored	46
33	Conceded	44
+8	GD	+2
1.67	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima will turn into a battlefield for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.
2' The deadlock is broken! Patric gets on the scoresheet on 2 minutes.
7' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Sebastien Haller scoring 1 goals.
12' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
17' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Katsuhiro Nakayama has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
18' GOAL! Sho Inagaki scores on 18. Assisted by Tsukasa Morishima
23' A stunning finish from Sota Koshimichi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
28' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
33' Takuya Uchida is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
38' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
43' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
45' That looks like a foul for a card for Tsukasa Morishima.
46' The whistle greets Taishi Matsumoto as he departs to be replaced by Marcos Junior.
48' A goal from the Japan international Shuto Nakano! He fires home on 48 to make it 2-2!
53' Makoto Mitsuta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
55' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Ken Masui departs to be replaced by Kensuke Nagai.
60' Akinari Kawazura has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
65' Yuki Nogami has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 340 appearances.
66' Takaaki Shichi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sota Koshimichi at the 66 minute mark.
71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
74' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Takuya Uchida has done his job and it is now time for Katsuhiro Nakayama to step up.
76' The supporters are chanting for Naoto Arai. He replaces Shuto Nakano on 76 minute.
81' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Patric exits the field as Kasper Junker enters on 81.
84' Sho Sasaki has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 84 minutes.
89' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Marcos Junior ↑ 46'
22
Goro Kawanami
7
Gakuto Notsuda
5
Hiroya Matsumoto
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 66'
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 76'
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 76'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

8
Keiya Shiihashi
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Katsuhiro Nakayama 74'
1
Mitch Langerak
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Ryuji Izumi 55'
14
Tsukasa Morishima
15
Sho Inagaki
10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 81'
17
Ken Masui ↓ Kensuke Nagai 55'
24
Akinari Kawazura
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
3
Chang-rae Ha

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateus	4
Kasper Junker	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Mutsuki Kato	2
Akito Suzuki	2
Shuto Nakano	2
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Hayato Araki	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-05-03 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-04-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale D 2024-04-20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-04-13 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-04-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shonan Bellmare W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-05-03 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Vissel Kobe L 2024-04-28 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-04-13 Júbilo Iwata 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-04-07 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.32 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.9 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima44% Draw23% Nagoya Grampus33%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

68%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

56%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima37% Draw37% Nagoya Grampus26%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

6.1%

3 – 1

5.6%

3 – 2

5.2%

2 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

4.1%

1 – 3

3.8%

3 – 3

3.3%

4 – 1

3.3%

1 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	14%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	18%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	15%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.