Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–3 | L |
| 03 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Jubilo Iwata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kicked off against Nagoya Grampus. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 2' Against the run of play, Patric has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 7' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kensuke Nagai suffering a number of foals already.
- 12' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 17' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 18' What a strike from Sho Inagaki! The score is 0-2.
- 23' Sota Koshimichi makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
- 28' Kasper Junker has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 33' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
- 45' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Tsukasa Morishima gets a card.
- 46' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Marcos Junior comes on to replace Taishi Matsumoto.
- 48' Shuto Nakano is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
- 55' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ken Masui is replaced by Kensuke Nagai on 55 minute.
- 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Takuya Uchida, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 66' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takaaki Shichi is hanging Sota Koshimichi on the field on 66 minute.
- 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 74' Katsuhiro Nakayama is replacing Takuya Uchida for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 76' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Shuto Nakano departs to be replaced by Naoto Arai.
- 81' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kasper Junker is hanging Patric on the field on 81 minute.
- 84' Goal! Sho Sasaki scores his 21 goal in 335 matches.
- 89' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-3 Nagoya Grampus.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
- 24
-
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↓ Motoki Ohara 76'
- 33
- 4
- 11
- 32
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Naoto Arai 76'
- 51
Bench
-
10
Marcos Junior ↑ 46'
- 22
- 7
- 5
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 66'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 76'
-
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 76'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Ryuji Izumi 55'
- 14
- 15
-
10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 81'
-
17
Ken Masui ↓ Kensuke Nagai 55'
- 24
- 20
- 3
Bench
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 55'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 55'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 74'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 81'
- 5
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Mateus | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-05-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–3
Nagoya Grampus
L
2024-05-03
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2024-04-20
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-13
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-07
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.32
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
68%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.3%
4 – 1
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 14% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 18% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

