Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Wed 15 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs FC TōkyōJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 May FC Tōkyō H 3–1 W
11 May Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 3–2 W
03 May Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
28 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
21 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 May Nagoya Grampus A 1–3 L
11 May Kashiwa Reysol H 3–3 D
06 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–1 W
03 May Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–1 W
27 Apr Albirex Niigata A 3–1 W
21 Apr FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus FC Tōkyō
#3 Position #12
31 Points 37
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
46 Scored 55
44 Conceded 42
+2 GD +13
1.72 PPG 2.06
56% Win % 72%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
/1
16-30
/2
31-45
8/
46-60
2/
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are looking to make home advantage count against FC Tōkyō.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past FC Tōkyō's compact .
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 14' Poor challenge from Takuya Uchida. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 17' A moment of madness from Haruki Yoshida on 17 minutes earns him a card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
  • 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 23' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kashif Bangunagande on 23 minutes.
  • 28' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 28.
  • 33' GOAL! Kasper Junker fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 43' FC Tōkyō started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
  • 48' Tsukasa Morishima has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 335 appearances.
  • 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 58' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Kensuke Nagai by Ryuji Izumi on 58 minute.
  • 61' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Teruhito Nakagawa exits the field as Ryotaro Araki enters on 61.
  • 66' Brilliant from the ! Kasper Junker makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 66.
  • 68' The whistle greets Takuya Uchida as he departs to be replaced by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
  • 71' Kasper Junker does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
  • 72' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Kota Tawaratsumida is replaced by Jaja Silva.
  • 77' Ryotaro Araki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 78' Ryotaro Araki has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Yasuki Kimoto on 81 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
  • 82' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Kasper Junker by Patric on 82 minute.
  • 85' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Riki Harakawa is hanging Takahiro Ko on the field on 85 minute.
  • 90' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tōkyō that had 437 games and scored 396 goals.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.29 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29 FC Tōkyō xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus43% Draw21% FC Tōkyō36%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
65%
Draw or FC Tōkyō
57%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Tōkyō
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus32% Draw35% FC Tōkyō33%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3%
2 – 4
3%
2 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push FC Tōkyō covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 16% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 16% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.