Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 May | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 3–3 | D |
| 06 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | FC Tōkyō | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 46 | Scored | 55 |
| 44 | Conceded | 42 |
| +2 | GD | +13 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are looking to make home advantage count against FC Tōkyō.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past FC Tōkyō's compact .
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 14' Poor challenge from Takuya Uchida. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 17' A moment of madness from Haruki Yoshida on 17 minutes earns him a card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
- 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 23' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kashif Bangunagande on 23 minutes.
- 28' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 28.
- 33' GOAL! Kasper Junker fires home to make it 1-0!
- 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 43' FC Tōkyō started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
- 48' Tsukasa Morishima has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 335 appearances.
- 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 58' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Kensuke Nagai by Ryuji Izumi on 58 minute.
- 61' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Teruhito Nakagawa exits the field as Ryotaro Araki enters on 61.
- 66' Brilliant from the ! Kasper Junker makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 66.
- 68' The whistle greets Takuya Uchida as he departs to be replaced by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
- 71' Kasper Junker does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
- 72' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Kota Tawaratsumida is replaced by Jaja Silva.
- 77' Ryotaro Araki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 78' Ryotaro Araki has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
- 81' A moment of madness from Yasuki Kimoto on 81 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
- 82' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Kasper Junker by Patric on 82 minute.
- 85' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Riki Harakawa is hanging Takahiro Ko on the field on 85 minute.
- 90' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tōkyō that had 437 games and scored 396 goals.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ryuji Izumi 58'
- 1
- 14
- 15
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Patric 82'
- 24
- 5
- 20
-
41
Masahito Ono ↓ Ken Masui 68'
Bench
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 82'
-
10
Patric ↑ 82'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 58'
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 68'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 68'
- 3
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 49
-
9
Diego Oliveira ↓ Kuryu Matsuki 61'
- 99
- 39
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↓ Riki Harakawa 85'
- 37
- 4
- 41
-
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↓ Jaja Silva 72'
-
38
Soma Anzai ↓ Yuto Nagatomo 72'
Bench
-
5
Yuto Nagatomo ↑ 72'
-
40
Riki Harakawa ↑ 85'
- 1
-
71
Ryotaro Araki ↑ 61'
- 44
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 72'
-
7
Kuryu Matsuki ↑ 61'
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 6 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Kasper Junker | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Ryotaro Araki | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Naoki Maeda | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.29
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29
FC Tōkyō xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
65%
Draw or FC Tōkyō
57%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Tōkyō
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3%
2 – 4
3%
2 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | FC Tōkyō covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 16% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 16% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

