Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Júbilo Iwata | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 31 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 61 |
| 44 | Conceded | 53 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
68%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka has kicked off!
- 5' Gamba Osaka have won 381 goals from 407 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's shape.
- 15' Japan international Ryotaro Meshino has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 30' The 37-year-old Shu Kurata has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 407 games and scored 381 goals.
- 45' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' The crowd applauds Sho Inagaki as he leaves the pitch. Takuji Yonemoto steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
- 51' Controversy at the stadium! Chang-rae Ha argues furiously but the card stands.
- 56' Shoji Toyama is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
- 61' Shinnosuke Nakatani has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 443 appearances.
- 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 67' A stunning finish from Takeru Kishimoto — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 69' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Patric has done his job and it is now time for Kasper Junker to step up.
- 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shota Fukuoka made 37 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 75' The crowd applauds Chang-rae Ha as he leaves the pitch. Takuya Uchida steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
- 80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 81' Shu Kurata makes way for Ryotaro Meshino at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Ken Masui. He replaces Kensuke Nagai on 84 minute.
- 89' Shoji Toyama is replacing Takashi Usami for the Gamba Osaka side.
- 90' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yusei Egawa is hanging Keisuke Kurokawa on the field on 90 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Gamba Osaka take all three points.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ken Masui 84'
- 1
- 14
-
15
Sho Inagaki ↓ Takuji Yonemoto 46'
-
10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 69'
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Masahito Ono 75'
- 27
- 24
- 20
-
3
Chang-rae Ha ↓ Takuya Uchida 75'
Bench
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 46'
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 75'
- 2
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 84'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 69'
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 75'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Takashi Usami ↓ Shoji Toyama 89'
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Ryotaro Meshino 81'
- 20
-
4
Keisuke Kurokawa ↓ Yusei Egawa 90'
- 22
- 2
- 15
- 16
- 3
- 23
-
13
Isa Sakamoto ↓ Shinya Nakano 89'
Bench
- 1
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 81'
-
24
Yusei Egawa ↑ 90'
- 6
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↑ 81'
-
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 89'
-
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 89'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 4 |
| Jo | 4 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Ademilson | 3 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
60%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
63%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–1 not predicted0 – 1Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.2%
0 – 2
3%
1 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 11% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 16% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 17% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
12%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

