Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 11 May 2024 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Chang-rae Ha 51' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 3–2 W
03 May Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
28 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
21 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
13 Apr Júbilo Iwata A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Nagoya Grampus A 1–0 W
06 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
03 May Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
28 Apr Kashima Antlers H 1–2 L
20 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–0 W
14 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
#3 Position #5
31 Points 28
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 61
44 Conceded 53
+2 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka has kicked off!
  • 5' Gamba Osaka have won 381 goals from 407 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's shape.
  • 15' Japan international Ryotaro Meshino has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 30' The 37-year-old Shu Kurata has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 407 games and scored 381 goals.
  • 45' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Sho Inagaki as he leaves the pitch. Takuji Yonemoto steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 51' Controversy at the stadium! Chang-rae Ha argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 56' Shoji Toyama is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
  • 61' Shinnosuke Nakatani has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 443 appearances.
  • 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 67' A stunning finish from Takeru Kishimoto — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 69' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Patric has done his job and it is now time for Kasper Junker to step up.
  • 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shota Fukuoka made 37 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Chang-rae Ha as he leaves the pitch. Takuya Uchida steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 81' Shu Kurata makes way for Ryotaro Meshino at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Ken Masui. He replaces Kensuke Nagai on 84 minute.
  • 89' Shoji Toyama is replacing Takashi Usami for the Gamba Osaka side.
  • 90' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yusei Egawa is hanging Keisuke Kurokawa on the field on 90 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Gamba Osaka take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus37% Draw23% Gamba Osaka40%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
60%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
63%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus31% Draw35% Gamba Osaka34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.2%
0 – 2
3%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 11% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 16% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 17% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
12% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.