Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Nagoya Grampus
0 – 1
Full Time
Gamba Osaka
Sat 11 May 2024 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Chang-rae Ha 51' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

10
5
9
Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 3.0 goals Gamba Osaka
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-11 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka 2022-08-27 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-04-02 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 3–2 W
03 May Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
28 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
21 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
13 Apr Jubilo Iwata A 1–0 W
Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Nagoya Grampus A 1–0 W
06 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
03 May Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
28 Apr Kashima Antlers H 1–2 L
20 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–0 W
14 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
#3 Position #5
31 Points 28
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 61
44 Conceded 53
+2 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Nagoya Grampus get us underway at Toyota Stadium.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Sho Inagaki scoring 1 goals.
  • 15' Yusei Egawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's shape.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 35' Gamba Osaka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Sho Inagaki is replaced by Takuji Yonemoto.
  • 51' Chang-rae Ha catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 51.
  • 56' Ryotaro Meshino has been relatively quiet despite scoring 16 goals in his last 403 appearances.
  • 61' The 22-year-old Shinya Nakano has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 66' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 67' The deadlock is broken! Takeru Kishimoto gets on the scoresheet on 67 minutes.
  • 69' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Patric has done his job and it is now time for Kasper Junker to step up.
  • 74' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 75' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Chang-rae Ha has done his job and it is now time for Takuya Uchida to step up.
  • 80' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 81' Gamba Osaka make a change. Shu Kurata trudges off to be replaced by Ryotaro Meshino on 81 minutes.
  • 84' Ken Masui gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kensuke Nagai and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Takashi Usami by Shoji Toyama on 89 minute.
  • 90' Yusei Egawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Keisuke Kurokawa at the 90 minute mark.
  • 0-1 the final result. Nagoya Grampus will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Dani Poyatos

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jo 4
Jo 4
Patric 3
Ademilson 3
Takeru Kishimoto 2
Takashi Usami 2
Yoichiro Kakitani 2
Isa Sakamoto 2

Head to Head

2024-05-11 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka 2022-08-27 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-04-02 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-05-11 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Gamba Osaka L 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-05-03 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Vissel Kobe L 2024-04-28 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-04-13 Jubilo Iwata 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Gamba Osaka Form

2024-05-11 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Gamba Osaka W 2024-05-06 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-05-03 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2024-04-28 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Kashima Antlers L 2024-04-20 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–1 Gamba Osaka W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus37% Draw23% Gamba Osaka40%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
60%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
63%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus31% Draw35% Gamba Osaka34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.2%
0 – 2
3%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 11% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 16% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 17% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
12% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.