Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Nagoya Grampus

0 – 1

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 11 May 2024 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Chang-rae Ha 51' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 3.0 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-11 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka 2022-08-27 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-04-02 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Gamba Osaka	H	0–1	L
06 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	3–2	W
03 May	Vissel Kobe	H	0–2	L
28 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
21 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
13 Apr	Jubilo Iwata	A	1–0	W

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–0	W
06 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–0	W
03 May	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L
28 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	1–2	L
20 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–0	W
14 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Gamba Osaka
#3	Position	#5
31	Points	28
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
46	Scored	61
44	Conceded	53
+2	GD	+8
1.72	PPG	1.56
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gamba Osaka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jun Ichimori is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
10' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Gamba Osaka's compact .
15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
25' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
30' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
35' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
40' The 29-year-old Keisuke Kurokawa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
46' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Sho Inagaki has done his job and it is now time for Takuji Yonemoto to step up.
51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Chang-rae Ha.
56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
66' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
67' Takeru Kishimoto puts Gamba Osaka on the lead.
69' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Patric departs to be replaced by Kasper Junker.
74' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
75' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 75 minute. Chang-rae Ha leaves to be changed by Takuya Uchida.
80' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's shape.
81' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Shu Kurata by Ryotaro Meshino on 81 minute.
84' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Ken Masui comes on to replace Kensuke Nagai.
89' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Takashi Usami has done his job and it is now time for Shoji Toyama to step up.
90' The whistle greets Keisuke Kurokawa as he departs to be replaced by Yusei Egawa.
0-1 the final result. Nagoya Grampus will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 46'
34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 75'
2
Yuki Nogami
16
Yohei Takeda
17
Ken Masui ↑ 84'
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 69'
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 75'

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

7
Takashi Usami ↓ Shoji Toyama 89'
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Ryotaro Meshino 81'
20
Shinnosuke Nakatani
4
Keisuke Kurokawa ↓ Yusei Egawa 90'
22
Jun Ichimori
2
Shota Fukuoka
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↓ Ryoya Yamashita 81'
16
Tokuma Suzuki
3
Riku Handa
23
Dawhan
13
Isa Sakamoto ↓ Shinya Nakano 89'

Bench

1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 81'
24
Yusei Egawa ↑ 90'
6
Neta Lavi
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↑ 81'
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 89'
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 89'

Coach Dani Poyatos

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jo	4
Jo	4
Patric	3
Ademilson	3
Sho Inagaki	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Takeru Kishimoto	2
Takashi Usami	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-05-11 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Gamba Osaka L 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-05-03 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Vissel Kobe L 2024-04-28 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-04-13 Jubilo Iwata 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Gamba Osaka Form

2024-05-11 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Gamba Osaka W 2024-05-06 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-05-03 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2024-04-28 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Kashima Antlers L 2024-04-20 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–1 Gamba Osaka W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.24 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.39 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus37% Draw23% Gamba Osaka40%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes80% 0% No20%

Avg goals/match: 4.63

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	83%	17%
± 3.5	66%	34%
± 4.5	48%	52%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

60%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

63%

Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus31% Draw35% Gamba Osaka34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

6.2%

1 – 1

2 – 1

5.8%

2 – 3

5.3%

3 – 2

1 – 3

4.8%

3 – 1

4.3%

3 – 3

2 – 4

3.2%

0 – 2

1 – 4

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	11%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	16%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	17%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	13%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

12% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.