Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Júbilo Iwata | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 31 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 61 |
| 44 | Conceded | 53 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
68%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 5 G | 3 A |
| Ryotaro Meshino | 2 G | |
| Welton | 2 G | |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Toyota Stadium that hosts another battle between Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shoji Toyama suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' Sho Inagaki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Gamba Osaka's compact .
- 45' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' Sho Inagaki makes way for Takuji Yonemoto at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 51' The referee has no hesitation. Chang-rae Ha is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 51.
- 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kensuke Nagai made 450 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 67' Brilliant from the ! Takeru Kishimoto makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 67.
- 69' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Patric has done his job and it is now time for Kasper Junker to step up.
- 74' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Yuya Asano scoring 1 goals.
- 75' The crowd applauds Chang-rae Ha as he leaves the pitch. Takuya Uchida steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
- 80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 81' The whistle greets Shu Kurata as he departs to be replaced by Ryotaro Meshino.
- 84' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kensuke Nagai is replaced by Ken Masui.
- 89' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Takashi Usami is replaced by Shoji Toyama on 89 minute.
- 90' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Keisuke Kurokawa by Yusei Egawa on 90 minute.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ken Masui 84'
- 1
- 14
-
15
Sho Inagaki ↓ Takuji Yonemoto 46'
-
10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 69'
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Masahito Ono 75'
- 27
- 24
- 20
-
3
Chang-rae Ha ↓ Takuya Uchida 75'
Bench
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 46'
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 75'
- 2
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 84'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 69'
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 75'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Takashi Usami ↓ Shoji Toyama 89'
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Ryotaro Meshino 81'
- 20
-
4
Keisuke Kurokawa ↓ Yusei Egawa 90'
- 22
- 2
- 15
- 16
- 3
- 23
-
13
Isa Sakamoto ↓ Shinya Nakano 89'
Bench
- 1
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 81'
-
24
Yusei Egawa ↑ 90'
- 6
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↑ 81'
-
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 89'
-
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 89'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 4 |
| Jo | 4 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Ademilson | 3 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 2 |
| Takashi Usami | 2 |
| Yoichiro Kakitani | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
60%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
63%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–1 not predicted0 – 1Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.2%
0 – 2
3%
1 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 11% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 16% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 17% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
12%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

