Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 6 Mar 2022 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 80' Kei Koizumi

Yutaka Yoshida 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
19 Feb	Vissel Kobe	H	2–0	W
27 Nov	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
20 Nov	Gamba Osaka	A	3–1	W
07 Nov	Vegalta Sendai	A	1–1	D
03 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D
26 Feb	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–1	D
19 Feb	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–0	D
27 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L
20 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–0	W
07 Nov	Kawasaki Frontale	H	3–1	W

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Nagoya Grampus gets underway.
2' What a moment for Akito Fukuta! That strike on 2 puts his side firmly in control.
7' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
11' The whistle greets Tiago Pagnussat as he departs to be replaced by Haruya Fujii.
16' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
21' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
26' Diego has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
30' The Japan Akito Fukuta breaks the deadlock on 30 minutes. 1-1!
35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
49' Wataru Harada is replacing Toshio Shimakawa for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
54' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mitch Langerak is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
64' Kazuya Miyahara is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
67' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuta Fujihara is replaced by Yuji Ono.
72' The whistle greets Keiya Sento as he departs to be replaced by Hiroyuki Abe.
77' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
80' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
81' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yoichiro Kakitani on, Mateus off on 81 minutes.
83' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuki Horigome departs to be replaced by Kyo Sato.
88' Yutaka Yoshida is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
89' Yutaka Yoshida picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Hiroyuki Abe ↑ 72'
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 72'
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↑ 81'
21
Yohei Takeda
13
Haruya Fujii ↑ 11'
26
Shumpei Naruse

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Yuji Ono ↑ 67'
13
Shinya Nakano ↑ 83'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
42
Wataru Harada ↑ 49'
22
Kyo Sato ↑ 83'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gabriel Xavier	2
Jo	2
Hikaru Nakahara	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Naoki Maeda	2
Ryuji Izumi	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-02-19 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Vissel Kobe W 2021-11-27 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2021-11-20 Gamba Osaka 1–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-11-07 Vegalta Sendai 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-11-03 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-11-20 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.17 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.9 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus41% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	62%	38%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

73%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

59%

Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus27% Draw54% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15%

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

13.4%

0 – 1

10%

2 – 0

8.2%

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

5.8%

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 0

3.2%

3 – 1

1 – 3

1.8%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	23%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	17%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

41% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.