Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 6 Mar 2022 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 80' Kei Koizumi

Yutaka Yoshida 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
19 Feb	Vissel Kobe	H	2–0	W
27 Nov	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
20 Nov	Gamba Osaka	A	3–1	W
07 Nov	Vegalta Sendai	A	1–1	D
03 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D
26 Feb	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–1	D
19 Feb	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–0	D
27 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L
20 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–0	W
07 Nov	Kawasaki Frontale	H	3–1	W

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

5/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/5

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Yuya Yamagishi	3 G
Takuya Uchida	2 G	1 A
Yudai Kimura	2 G	1 A
Naomichi Ueda	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Nagoya Grampus are looking to make home advantage count against Sagan Tosu FC.
2' Akito Fukuta has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
7' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
11' Haruya Fujii is replacing Tiago Pagnussat for the Nagoya Grampus side.
16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shinya Nakano suffering a number of foals already.
21' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
26' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
30' The deadlock is broken! Akito Fukuta gets on the scoresheet on 30 minutes.
35' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
45' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
49' Wataru Harada is replacing Toshio Shimakawa for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
54' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
59' Yutaka Yoshida has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tiago Pagnussat is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
67' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Yuji Ono comes on to replace Yuta Fujihara.
72' The supporters are chanting for Hiroyuki Abe. He replaces Keiya Sento on 72 minute.
77' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Kei Koizumi.
81' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 81 minute. Mateus leaves to be changed by Yoichiro Kakitani.
83' The whistle greets Yuki Horigome as he departs to be replaced by Kyo Sato.
88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
89' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Yutaka Yoshida gets a Yellow card.
It finishes all square. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Hiroyuki Abe ↑ 72'
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 72'
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↑ 81'
21
Yohei Takeda
13
Haruya Fujii ↑ 11'
26
Shumpei Naruse

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Yuji Ono ↑ 67'
13
Shinya Nakano ↑ 83'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
42
Wataru Harada ↑ 49'
22
Kyo Sato ↑ 83'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gabriel Xavier	2
Jo	2
Hikaru Nakahara	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Naoki Maeda	2
Ryuji Izumi	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-02-19 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Vissel Kobe W 2021-11-27 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2021-11-20 Gamba Osaka 1–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-11-07 Vegalta Sendai 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-11-03 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-11-20 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.17 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.9 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus41% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	62%	38%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

73%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

59%

Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus27% Draw54% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15%

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

13.4%

0 – 1

10%

2 – 0

8.2%

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

5.8%

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 0

3.2%

3 – 1

1 – 3

1.8%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	23%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	17%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

41% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.