Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Sun 6 Mar 2022 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
19 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–0 W
27 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
20 Nov Gamba Osaka A 3–1 W
07 Nov Vegalta Sendai A 1–1 D
03 Nov Kashiwa Reysol H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
26 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D
19 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
27 Nov Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
20 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–0 W
07 Nov Kawasaki Frontale H 3–1 W

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 2' A stunning finish from Akito Fukuta — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 7' Park Ilkyu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 11' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Tiago Pagnussat by Haruya Fujii on 11 minute.
  • 16' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 21' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 26' A quiet spell here at . Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' Against the run of play, Akito Fukuta has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Keiya Sento is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 49' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Toshio Shimakawa has done his job and it is now time for Wataru Harada to step up.
  • 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 59' Yuki Soma has been relatively quiet despite scoring 29 goals in his last 443 appearances.
  • 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 67' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 67 minute. Yuta Fujihara leaves to be changed by Yuji Ono.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Keiya Sento as he leaves the pitch. Hiroyuki Abe steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 77' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
  • 80' Kei Koizumi was booked on 80.
  • 81' Yoichiro Kakitani is replacing Mateus for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Kyo Sato. He replaces Yuki Horigome on 83 minute.
  • 88' Toshio Shimakawa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 89' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Yutaka Yoshida gets a Yellow card.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus41% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
59%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus27% Draw54% Sagan Tosu FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13.4%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.