Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 6 Mar 2022 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 80' Kei Koizumi

Yutaka Yoshida 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
19 Feb	Vissel Kobe	H	2–0	W
27 Nov	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
20 Nov	Gamba Osaka	A	3–1	W
07 Nov	Vegalta Sendai	A	1–1	D
03 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D
26 Feb	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–1	D
19 Feb	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–0	D
27 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L
20 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–0	W
07 Nov	Kawasaki Frontale	H	3–1	W

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Nagoya Grampus are looking to make home advantage count against Sagan Tosu FC.
2' GOAL! Akito Fukuta scores on 2.
7' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 7.
11' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Tiago Pagnussat has done his job and it is now time for Haruya Fujii to step up.
16' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
26' Noriyoshi Sakai has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
30' Brilliant from the ! Akito Fukuta makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 30.
35' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
49' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 49 minute. Toshio Shimakawa leaves to be changed by Wataru Harada.
54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
59' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
67' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Yuji Ono on, Yuta Fujihara off on 67 minutes.
72' Hiroyuki Abe gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Keiya Sento and will look to change the dynamic.
77' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
80' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 80.
81' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Mateus exits the field as Yoichiro Kakitani enters on 81.
83' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yuki Horigome has done his job and it is now time for Kyo Sato to step up.
88' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
89' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Yutaka Yoshida.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Hiroyuki Abe ↑ 72'
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 72'
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↑ 81'
21
Yohei Takeda
13
Haruya Fujii ↑ 11'
26
Shumpei Naruse

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Yuji Ono ↑ 67'
13
Shinya Nakano ↑ 83'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
42
Wataru Harada ↑ 49'
22
Kyo Sato ↑ 83'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ryuji Izumi	2
Tomoya Koyamatsu	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Jo	2
Hikaru Nakahara	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Sho Inagaki	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-02-19 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Vissel Kobe W 2021-11-27 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2021-11-20 Gamba Osaka 1–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-11-07 Vegalta Sendai 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-11-03 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-11-20 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.17 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.9 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus41% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	62%	38%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

73%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

59%

Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus27% Draw54% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15%

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

13.4%

0 – 1

10%

2 – 0

8.2%

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

5.8%

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 0

3.2%

3 – 1

1 – 3

1.8%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	23%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	17%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

41% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.