Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, 2017

Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017
Sun 24 Sep 2017 · 19:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Sagan Tosu FC 2.80
Draw 3.00
Nagoya Grampus 2.70

Head-to-Head

5
7
4
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
16 Sep V-Varen Nagasaki A 1–2 L
11 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 2–1 W
27 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–1 L
20 Aug Jubilo Iwata H 0–2 L
13 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
17 Sep Kashima Antlers H 1–2 L
09 Sep V-Varen Nagasaki A 0–1 L
26 Aug Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
18 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–0 W
12 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–1 W

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.84 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC36% Draw36% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
64%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
64%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC21% Draw61% Nagoya Grampus18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
16%
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
2.1%
3 – 0
1.9%
3 – 1
1.6%
0 – 3
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 22% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 19% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.