Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 Vissel Kobe 18 35 2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31 3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30 5 Gamba Osaka 18 28 6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26 7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24 8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23 9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21 10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21 11 Kashima Antlers 18 45 12 FC Tōkyō 18 37 13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37 14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28 15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28 16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25 17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20 18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20 19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18 20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 18 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L 15 May Kawasaki Frontale H 5–2 W 11 May Jubilo Iwata A 3–0 W 06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L 03 May Tokyo Verdy H 0–2 L 28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 18 May Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W 15 May FC Tōkyō H 3–1 W 11 May Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L 06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 3–2 W 03 May Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L 28 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L Key Stats
31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus0-152/116-302/431-455/446-604/361-753/176+4/5■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Ken Masui has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 6' Sho Inagaki puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
- 11' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 11 minutes.
- 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Wataru Harada on 12.
- 17' Cayman Togashi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 22' So Kawahara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 5 Yellow cards this season.
- 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Il-kyu Park suffering a number of foals already.
- 32' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
- 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Wataru Harada on 36.
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
- 50' GOAL! Ken Masui scores on 50.
- 54' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Katsunori Ueebisu is hanging Cayman Togashi on the field on 54 minute.
- 59' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 66' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Atsushi Kawata is hanging Kohei Tezuka on the field on 66 minute.
- 71' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 71 minute. Patric leaves to be changed by Kasper Junker.
- 76' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masahito Ono is hanging Takuya Uchida on the field on 76 minute.
- 81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Chang-rae Ha made 439 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Naoyuki Fujita. He replaces Tae-hyeon Kim on 82 minute.
- 87' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- Another three points for Nagoya Grampus.
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Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
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7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Atsushi Kawata 66'
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99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 82'
- 88
- 71
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23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Shota Hino 82'
- 42
- 5
- 13
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20
Tae-hyeon Kim ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 82'
Bench
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11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 82'
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14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 82'
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9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 66'
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16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 54'
- 2
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18
Shota Hino ↑ 82'
- 1
Coach Kenta KawaiNagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
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34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Masahito Ono 76'
- 1
- 14
- 15
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10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 71'
- 7
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17
Ken Masui ↓ Kensuke Nagai 76'
- 5
- 20
- 3
Bench
- 8
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18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 76'
- 16
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27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
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77
Kasper Junker ↑ 71'
- 24
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41
Masahito Ono ↑ 76'
Coach Kenta Hasegawa -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Gabriel Xavier 2 Jo 2 Hikaru Nakahara 2 Noriyoshi Sakai 2 Gabriel Xavier 2 Sho Inagaki 2 Naoki Maeda 2 Ryuji Izumi 2 Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.22 Sagan Tosu FC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.34 Nagoya Grampus xGI would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 71%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.56Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 90% 10% ± 1.5 73% 27% ± 2.5 47% 53% ± 3.5 26% 74% ± 4.5 12% 88% Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 63%Draw or Nagoya Grampus 66%Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 71%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 13.6%0 – 0 9.8%0 – 1 9.3%1 – 0 8.3%1 – 2 8.1%2 – 1 7.4%0 – 2 Actual2 – 0 5.6%2 – 2 5%1 – 3 3.7%3 – 1 3%0 – 3 3%Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers -2.5 5% — 95% -2 5% 9% 86% -1.5 14% — 86% -1 14% 18% 68% -0.5 32% — 68% +0.5 62% — 38% +1 62% 20% 18% +1.5 82% — 18% +2 82% 11% 6% +2.5 94% — 6% Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet 27% ✓Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet 30% ✗Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.