Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
0 – 2
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 18 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Wataru Harada 12' Y
Wataru Harada 36' YR
Y 45' Ryuji Izumi

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
7
4
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
15 May Kawasaki Frontale H 5–2 W
11 May Jubilo Iwata A 3–0 W
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tokyo Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
15 May FC Tokyo H 3–1 W
11 May Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 3–2 W
03 May Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
28 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sagan Tosu FC host Nagoya Grampus — let the battle begin!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shota Hino made 279 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 6' Against the run of play, Sho Inagaki has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 11' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 12' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Wataru Harada on 12 minutes.
  • 17' Supporters expect more eagerness from Katsuhiro Nakayama, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 22' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 32' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 36' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
  • 41' Brazil international Patric has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 45' Ryuji Izumi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Ryuji Izumi departs to be replaced by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
  • 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ken Masui makes it 0-2.
  • 54' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Cayman Togashi exits the field as Katsunori Ueebisu enters on 54.
  • 59' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 64' Over 64 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 66' Atsushi Kawata has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 66 minute.
  • 71' Patric makes way for Kasper Junker at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Takuya Uchida is replaced by Masahito Ono.
  • 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 82' Tae-hyeon Kim makes way for Naoyuki Fujita at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2
Tomoya Koyamatsu 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2

Head to Head

2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale W 2024-05-11 Jubilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tokyo Verdy L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-05-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 FC Tokyo W 2024-05-11 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Gamba Osaka L 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-05-03 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Vissel Kobe L 2024-04-28 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC34% Draw29% Nagoya Grampus37%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
66%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC24% Draw48% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.