Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 May | Júbilo Iwata | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Sagan Tosu FC gets underway.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 6' The Japan Sho Inagaki breaks the deadlock on 6 minutes. 0-1!
- 11' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 12' A moment of madness from Wataru Harada on 12 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
- 17' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 22' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 32' Yoichi Naganuma has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 36' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wataru Harada.
- 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
- 45' A moment of madness from Ryuji Izumi on 45 minutes earns him a card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
- 46' The crowd applauds Ryuji Izumi as he leaves the pitch. Katsuhiro Nakayama steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
- 50' What a strike from Ken Masui! The score is 0-2.
- 54' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Cayman Togashi is replaced by Katsunori Ueebisu.
- 59' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 66' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Kohei Tezuka is replaced by Atsushi Kawata.
- 71' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kasper Junker is hanging Patric on the field on 71 minute.
- 76' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Takuya Uchida trudges off to be replaced by Masahito Ono on 76 minutes.
- 81' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
- 82' The crowd applauds Tae-hyeon Kim as he leaves the pitch. Naoyuki Fujita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Atsushi Kawata 66'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 82'
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Shota Hino 82'
- 42
- 5
- 13
-
20
Tae-hyeon Kim ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 82'
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 82'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 82'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 66'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 54'
- 2
-
18
Shota Hino ↑ 82'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Masahito Ono 76'
- 1
- 14
- 15
-
10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 71'
- 7
-
17
Ken Masui ↓ Kensuke Nagai 76'
- 5
- 20
- 3
Bench
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 76'
- 16
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 71'
- 24
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 76'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Hikaru Nakahara | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Naoki Maeda | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
66%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

