Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Recife vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
SC Recife
1 – 1
Full Time
Ceará SC
Wed 15 Oct 2025 · 23:00 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'
Derik Lacerda 6' Y
Y 46' Lucas Mugni
Aderlan Silva 50' Y
Igor Carius 74' Y
Rafael Thyere 81' Y
Y 83' Pedro Raul

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

2
3
3
SC Recife 8 games · Avg 1.8 goals Ceará SC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-15 SC Recife 1–1 Ceará SC 2025-05-17 Ceará SC 2–0 SC Recife 2021-11-14 Ceará SC 2–1 SC Recife 2021-07-25 SC Recife 0–0 Ceará SC 2020-11-08 Ceará SC 0–0 SC Recife

Recent Form

SC Recife
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Ceará SC H 1–1 D
08 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
05 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct SC Recife A 1–1 D
05 Oct Santos FC H 3–0 W
02 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
29 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Ceará SC gets underway.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 6' Derik Lacerda is having his name booked by the referee on 6.
  • 11' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 16' Ceará SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 21' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 21 minutes.
  • 26' It looks surprising Ceará SC does not make any changes. Rafael Thyere has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 31' The travelling Ceará SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 36' Ceará SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
  • 41' Ceará SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Mugni on 46.
  • 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aderlan Silva on 50.
  • 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 63' Sergio Oliveira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pedro Augusto on 63 minute.
  • 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 69' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Mugni departs to be replaced by Vina.
  • 73' Igor Carius is replacing Joao Silva for the SC Recife side.
  • 74' It’s gonna be a card for Igor Carius.
  • 75' Another change for Ceara SC made on 75 minute. Matheus Bahia leaves to be changed by Rafael Ramos.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Lima made 386 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 81' Rafael Thyere was booked on 81.
  • 83' Pedro Raul puts Ceara SC on the lead.
  • 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pedro Raul on 83.
  • 85' Another change for SC Recife made on 85 minute. ze Lucas leaves to be changed by Pablo Felipe.
  • 87' GOAL! Igor Carius scores on 87. Assisted by Lucas Lima
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

SC Recife Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daniel Paulista

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Elton 2
Mikael 1
Lucas Mugni 1
Arthur Cabral 1
Antonio Galeano 1
Arthur Cabral 1
Pedro Raul 1
Gabriel 1

Head to Head

2025-10-15 SC Recife 1–1 Ceará SC 2025-05-17 Ceará SC 2–0 SC Recife 2021-11-14 Ceará SC 2–1 SC Recife 2021-07-25 SC Recife 0–0 Ceará SC 2020-11-08 Ceará SC 0–0 SC Recife

SC Recife Form

2025-10-15 SC Recife 1–1 Ceará SC D 2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife L 2025-10-05 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 SC Recife D 2025-10-01 SC Recife 2–2 Fluminense FC D 2025-09-27 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Recife L 2025-09-21 SC Recife 1–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W

Ceará SC Form

2025-10-15 SC Recife 1–1 Ceará SC D 2025-10-05 Ceará SC 3–0 Santos FC W 2025-10-02 EC Vitoria 1–0 Ceará SC L 2025-09-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC W 2025-09-20 Ceará SC 1–1 EC Bahia D 2025-09-14 CR Vasco da Gama 2–2 Ceará SC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: SC Recife or Ceará SC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife36% Draw32% Ceará SC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
67%
Draw or Ceará SC
64%
SC Recife or Ceará SC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife24% Draw53% Ceará SC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.