Saturday , 14 November 2026

Cruzeiro EC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Hyoran
Keny Arroyo 26' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cruzeiro EC vs SC Recife — Serie A at Mineirao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct SC Recife H 1–1 D
02 Oct CR Flamengo A 0–0 D
27 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
21 Sep RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
15 Sep EC Bahia A 2–1 W
31 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
31 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 2–3 L

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
14% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Kaio Jorge 14 G 2 A
Matheus Pereira 9 G 7 A
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Cruzeiro EC gets underway.
  • 5' Ramon needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 16' Christian is replacing Matheus Henrique for the Cruzeiro EC side.
  • 21' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 21.
  • 26' The referee calls foul for Keny Arroyo. He receives a card.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 33' Aderlan Silva has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 33.
  • 38' Lucas Villalba has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 41 cards already picked up this season.
  • 41' GOAL! Derik Lacerda fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 46' Igor Carius is replacing Romarinho for the SC Recife side.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 55' Luis Sinisterra has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonathan on 55 minute.
  • 59' Gabriel Barbosa does the damage! The net is bulging and Cruzeiro EC surge ahead!
  • 64' It looks surprising Cruzeiro EC does not make any changes. Carlos Eduardo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 66' Hyoran makes way for Rodrigo Atencio at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Recife.
  • 71' Lucas Silva is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cruzeiro EC tonight.
  • 76' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cruzeiro EC and SC Recife are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 79' The Cruzeiro EC manager makes a substitution. Christian departs to be replaced by Ryan Guilherme.
  • 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 86' A tactical swap from SC Recife — Chrystian Barletta on, Matheusinho off on 86 minutes.
  • 90' Lucas Kal is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christian Rivera at the 90 minute mark.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.38 Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cruzeiro EC51% Draw28% SC Recife21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Cruzeiro EC or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Recife
49%
Cruzeiro EC or SC Recife
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cruzeiro EC33% Draw52% SC Recife15%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.5%
0 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC

Handicap Cruzeiro EC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.