Sunday , 16 August 2026

Cruzeiro EC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Hyoran
Keny Arroyo 26' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cruzeiro EC vs SC RecifeSerie A at Mineirao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct SC Recife H 1–1 D
02 Oct CR Flamengo A 0–0 D
27 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
21 Sep RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
15 Sep EC Bahia A 2–1 W
31 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
31 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 2–3 L

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
14% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/
61-75
4/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Kaio Jorge 6 G
Christian 5 G 3 A
Matheus Pereira 5 G 2 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Cruzeiro EC have kicked off against SC Recife. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Cruzeiro EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leonardo Jardim will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' Jonathan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 16' Christian is replacing Matheus Henrique for the Cruzeiro EC side.
  • 21' The referee calls foul for Hyoran. He receives a card.
  • 26' It’s gonna be a card for Keny Arroyo.
  • 31' Cruzeiro EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 33' The referee shows SC Recife player a card on 33.
  • 38' Brazil international Cassio has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' Derik Lacerda makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and SC Recife are in front.
  • 46' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Romarinho is withdrawn and Igor Carius gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' The crowd applauds Jonathan as he leaves the pitch. Luis Sinisterra steps in for Cruzeiro EC.
  • 59' Gabriel Barbosa does the damage! The net is bulging and Cruzeiro EC surge ahead!
  • 64' It looks surprising SC Recife does not make any changes. Lucas Villalba has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 66' SC Recife make a change. Hyoran trudges off to be replaced by Rodrigo Atencio on 66 minutes.
  • 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 76' SC Recife is showing some good football. However, SC Recife are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 79' Ryan Guilherme has so much to prove this time. He replaces Christian on 79 minute.
  • 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' Chrystian Barletta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matheusinho at the 86 minute mark.
  • 90' A tactical swap from SC RecifeLucas Kal on, Christian Rivera off on 90 minutes.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.38 Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cruzeiro EC51% Draw28% SC Recife21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Cruzeiro EC or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Recife
49%
Cruzeiro EC or SC Recife
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cruzeiro EC33% Draw52% SC Recife15%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.5%
0 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC

Handicap Cruzeiro EC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
45%
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.