Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Recife vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 1 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
31 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 2–3 L
25 Aug SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
31 Aug Santos FC A 0–0 D
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 2–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ilha do Retiro. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Ramon has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Agustin Canobbio needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Guga, as he is very good at scoring at Ilha do Retiro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' Ignacio Ramirez was booked on 33.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 386 games and scored 415 goals.
  • 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Ignacio. He receives a card.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Recife is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 59' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Ignacio Ramirez by Pablo Felipe on 59 minute.
  • 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Alexandre on 63.
  • 64' Fluminense FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Luciano Acosta on 64.
  • 67' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 67 minute. Guga leaves to be changed by Samuel Xavier.
  • 68' ze Lucas is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
  • 71' Lucas Lima has so much to prove this time. He replaces ze Lucas on 71 minute.
  • 73' GOAL! Lucas Lima scores on 73. Assisted by Hyoran
  • 76' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 76 minute. Agustin Canobbio leaves to be changed by Yeferson Soteldo.
  • 81' Gabriel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 83' Fluminense FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by John Kennedy on 83.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Rodrigo Atencio. He replaces Hyoran on 87 minute.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Hercules is replaced by Otavio on 88 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: SC Recife or Fluminense FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife35% Draw29% Fluminense FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
64%
Draw or Fluminense FC
65%
SC Recife or Fluminense FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife26% Draw48% Fluminense FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
28%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.