Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Recife vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 1 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
31 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 2–3 L
25 Aug SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
31 Aug Santos FC A 0–0 D
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 2–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Jefferson Savarino 7 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Ilha do Retiro. Ninety minutes of football awaits between SC Recife and Fluminense FC.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Recife and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' Luciano Acosta is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at Ilha do Retiro. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 33' A moment of madness from Ignacio Ramirez on 33 minutes earns him a card. SC Recife will be frustrated.
  • 38' Hercules is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Recife tonight.
  • 43' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Recife in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 45' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 59' A change in the SC Recife ranks — Ignacio Ramirez exits the field as Pablo Felipe enters on 59.
  • 63' The referee has no hesitation. Matheus Alexandre is booked for SC Recife — card on 63.
  • 64' GOAL! Luciano Acosta fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 67' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Guga departs to be replaced by Samuel Xavier.
  • 68' A meaty challenge results in booking for ze Lucas on 68.
  • 71' A change in the SC Recife ranks — ze Lucas exits the field as Lucas Lima enters on 71.
  • 73' What a strike from Lucas Lima! The score is 1-1.
  • 76' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Agustin Canobbio has done his job and it is now time for Yeferson Soteldo to step up.
  • 81' Lima has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 83' John Kennedy doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 87' Rodrigo Atencio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hyoran at the 87 minute mark.
  • 88' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Hercules exits the field as Otavio enters on 88.
  • It finishes all square. SC Recife and Fluminense FC share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: SC Recife or Fluminense FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife35% Draw29% Fluminense FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
64%
Draw or Fluminense FC
65%
SC Recife or Fluminense FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife26% Draw48% Fluminense FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.