EC Vitoria vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Ceará SC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Fluminense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–8 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! EC Vitoria vs Ceará SC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' Paulo Baya needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' Ceará SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 19' The deadlock is broken! Ze Marcos gets on the scoresheet on 19 minutes.
- 24' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 29' Ceará SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 34' Ceará SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 39' Fernando Sobral has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 238 appearances.
- 44' Vinicius Zanocelo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ceará SC so far.
- 46' Vina is replacing Richardson for the Ceara SC side.
- 47' Controversy at the stadium! Vina argues furiously but the card stands.
- 52' Raul Caceres has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
- 55' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Aitor Cantalapiedra has done his job and it is now time for Matheuzinho to step up.
- 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Richardson suffering a number of foals already.
- 63' A tactical swap from Ceara SC — Paulo Baya on, Antonio Galeano off on 63 minutes.
- 68' Raul Caceres is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Ceará SC tonight.
- 72' Joao Pedro Pepe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ronald on 72 minute.
- 73' Ceara SC ring the changes. Pedro Henrique has done his job and it is now time for Aylon to step up.
- 76' Renzo Lopez is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
- 81' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Claudinho comes on to replace Raul Caceres.
- 82' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Lourenco by Lucas Mugni on 82 minute.
- 86' Ramon picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ze Marcos on 90 minutes.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for EC Vitoria players.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 79
- 27
- 5
- 13
- 3
- 8
- 44
- 1
- 4
Bench
- 6
- 43
- 11
- 31
- 29
- 12
- 21
- 19
- 10
- 2
- 66
- 7
Coach
Jair Ventura
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
26
Richardson ↓ Vina 46'
-
97
Lourenco ↓ Lucas Mugni 82'
-
7
Pedro Henrique ↓ Aylon 73'
- 88
- 94
- 9
- 79
- 70
- 44
-
27
Antonio Galeano ↓ Paulo Baya 63'
- 23
Bench
-
11
Aylon ↑ 73'
- 16
- 3
- 33
- 30
- 2
-
10
Lucas Mugni ↑ 82'
-
25
Vinicius Zanocelo ↑ 63'
-
17
Paulo Baya ↑ 63'
- 75
- 31
-
29
Vina ↑ 46'
Coach
Leo Condé
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Ceará SC xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
72%
Draw or Ceará SC
60%
EC Vitoria or Ceará SC
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.7%
2 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Ceará SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 22% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.