Saturday , 14 November 2026

CA Mineiro vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 1
Full Time
Wed 8 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Igor Gomes 44' Y
Y 53' Ramon
Vitor Hugo 86' Y
Hulk 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs SC Recife — Serie A at Mineirao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct SC Recife H 3–1 W
04 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct EC Juventude H 0–0 D
28 Sep Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
20 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–1 L
14 Sep Santos FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
05 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Bernard 5 G 4 A
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. ca mineiro host sc recife — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 9' The Brazil Vitor Hugo breaks the deadlock on 9 minutes. 0-1!
  • 9' Time for substitution for SC Recife. Hyoran is replaced by Rodrigo Atencio.
  • 14' Both keepers have barely been tested. ca mineiro and sc recife are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 18' Ruan is replacing Lyanco for the CA Mineiro side.
  • 23' It’s high time Daniel Paulista made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 28' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Christian Rivera suffering a number of foals already.
  • 38' Against the run of play, Guilherme Arana has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 40' The referee has no hesitation. Guilherme Arana is booked for CA Mineiro — card on 40.
  • 44' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace ze Lucas by Lucas Lima on 46 minute.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 53' Poor challenge from Ramon. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 58' The 40-year-old Hulk has been sensational this season — 6 goals and 4 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Dudu as he leaves the pitch. Gabriel Teixeira steps in for CA Mineiro.
  • 62' Brilliant from the ! Rony makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 62.
  • 66' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Guilherme Arana has done his job and it is now time for Caio Paulista to step up.
  • 71' Gustavo Scarpa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 75' Another change for SC Recife made on 75 minute. Aderlan Silva leaves to be changed by Matheus Alexandre.
  • 77' Sergio Oliveira is replacing Rodrigo Atencio for the SC Recife side.
  • 82' Derik Lacerda makes no mistake. The score reads 0-4 and SC Recife are in front.
  • 85' A moment of madness from Christian Rivera on 85 minutes earns him a card. SC Recife will be frustrated.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Vitor Hugo. He receives a card.
  • 90' The referee shows CA Mineiro player a card on 90.
  • 3-1 the final result. sc recife will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.55 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro54% Draw26% SC Recife20%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Recife
46%
CA Mineiro or SC Recife
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro36% Draw49% SC Recife15%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.