Thursday , 2 July 2026

CA Mineiro vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
CA Mineiro
3 – 1
Full Time
SC Recife
Wed 8 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Guilherme Arana 40' Y
Igor Gomes 44' Y
Y 53' Ramon
Y 85' Christian Rivera
Vitor Hugo 86' Y
Hulk 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs SC Recife — Serie A at Mineirao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

6
3
2
CA Mineiro 11 games · Avg 3.8 goals SC Recife
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife 2021-09-18 CA Mineiro 3–0 SC Recife 2021-06-06 SC Recife 0–1 CA Mineiro 2021-02-21 SC Recife 2–3 CA Mineiro 2020-10-25 CA Mineiro 0–0 SC Recife

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct SC Recife H 3–1 W
04 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct EC Juventude H 0–0 D
28 Sep Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
20 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–1 L
14 Sep Santos FC H 1–1 D
SC Recife
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
05 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CA Mineiro and SC Recife has kicked off!
  • 5' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Renzo Saravia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 9' GOAL! Vitor Hugo scores on 9. Assisted by Rony
  • 9' Rodrigo Atencio is replacing Hyoran for the SC Recife side.
  • 14' CA Mineiro started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 14.
  • 18' The whistle greets Lyanco as he departs to be replaced by Ruan.
  • 23' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Recife is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luan Candido made 386 appearances and scored 23 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' GOAL! Guilherme Arana scores on 38.
  • 40' Guilherme Arana was booked on 40.
  • 44' It’s gonna be a card for Igor Gomes.
  • 46' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace ze Lucas by Lucas Lima on 46 minute.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Igor Carius, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 53' The referee shows SC Recife player a card on 53.
  • 58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' The whistle greets Dudu as he departs to be replaced by Gabriel Teixeira.
  • 62' GOAL! Rony scores on 62. Assisted by Gabriel Teixeira
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Caio Paulista. He replaces Guilherme Arana on 66 minute.
  • 71' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 75' The whistle greets Aderlan Silva as he departs to be replaced by Matheus Alexandre.
  • 77' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Rodrigo Atencio by Sergio Oliveira on 77 minute.
  • 82' What a strike from Derik Lacerda! The score is 3-1.
  • 85' Christian Rivera was booked on 85.
  • 86' CA Mineiro receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 90' Hulk was booked on 90.
  • Full Time. CA Mineiro beats SC Recife

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jorge Sampaoli

SC Recife Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daniel Paulista

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rony 3
Hulk 3
Juan Cazares 2
Ricardo Oliveira 2
Michel Bastos 2
Juan Cazares 2
Leo Augusto 2
Ricardo Oliveira 2

Head to Head

2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife 2021-09-18 CA Mineiro 3–0 SC Recife 2021-06-06 SC Recife 0–1 CA Mineiro 2021-02-21 SC Recife 2–3 CA Mineiro 2020-10-25 CA Mineiro 0–0 SC Recife

CA Mineiro Form

2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife W 2025-10-04 Fluminense FC 3–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-10-01 CA Mineiro 0–0 EC Juventude D 2025-09-28 CA Mineiro 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2025-09-20 Botafogo FR 1–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-09-14 CA Mineiro 1–1 Santos FC D

SC Recife Form

2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife L 2025-10-05 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 SC Recife D 2025-10-01 SC Recife 2–2 Fluminense FC D 2025-09-27 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Recife L 2025-09-21 SC Recife 1–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2025-09-14 RB Bragantino 1–1 SC Recife D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.55 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro54% Draw26% SC Recife20%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Recife
46%
CA Mineiro or SC Recife
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro36% Draw49% SC Recife15%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.