Thursday , 2 July 2026

Ceará SC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 0
Full Time
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Santos FCSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Santos FC H 3–0 W
02 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
29 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Ceará SC A 0–3 L
02 Oct Grêmio FBPA H 1–1 D
28 Sep RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
21 Sep Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
31 Aug Fluminense FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/4
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 7 G 2 A
Neymar 4 G 2 A
Alvaro Barreal 3 G
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Santos FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Ceará SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' What a strike from Lucas Mugni! The score is 0-1.
  • 15' Ceará SC is showing some good football. However, Ceará SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' It’s high time Juan Vojvoda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Souza suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' The referee shows Ceara SC player a card on 37.
  • 39' Benjamin Rollheiser was booked on 39.
  • 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' Alvaro Barreal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomas Rincon on 46 minute.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel Brazao made 27 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a card for Igor Vinicius.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Santos FC that had 284 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Lucas Mugni is replaced by Vina.
  • 66' What a strike from Pedro Henrique! The score is 0-2.
  • 68' Santos FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gustavo Caballero is hanging Igor Vinicius on the field on 68 minute.
  • 72' Richardson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lourenco on 72 minute.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Tiquinho Soares. He replaces Guilherme on 76 minute.
  • 81' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 82' Thaciano is replacing Benjamin Rollheiser for the Santos FC side.
  • 85' The referee calls foul for Tiquinho Soares. He receives a card.
  • 90' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Antonio Galeano by Aylon on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for Ceará SC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC53% Draw27% Santos FC20%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
80%
Draw or Santos FC
47%
Ceará SC or Santos FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC35% Draw50% Santos FC15%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
46%
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.