Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Ceará SC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 0
Full Time
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Santos FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Santos FC H 3–0 W
02 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
29 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Ceará SC A 0–3 L
02 Oct Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
28 Sep RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
21 Sep Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
31 Aug Fluminense FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
7/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/4
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 11 G 3 A
Neymar 6 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Ceará SC have kicked off against Santos FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Brazil international Matheus Bahia has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Ceara SC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lucas Mugni on 10.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Igor Vinicius is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Santos FC so far.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Ceará SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' Santos FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 37' Lourenco catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 37.
  • 39' Benjamin Rollheiser was booked on 39.
  • 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' A change in the Santos FC ranks — Tomas Rincon exits the field as Alvaro Barreal enters on 46.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' Poor challenge from Igor Vinicius. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 60' Souza is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Santos FC tonight.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Vina. He replaces Lucas Mugni on 63 minute.
  • 66' Goal! Pedro Henrique scores his 18 goal in 188 matches.
  • 68' The Santos FC bench stirs into life. Igor Vinicius is withdrawn and Gustavo Caballero gets his opportunity.
  • 72' Lourenco makes way for Richardson at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Ceara SC.
  • 76' Santos FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tiquinho Soares is hanging Guilherme on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 82' The Santos FC bench stirs into life. Benjamin Rollheiser is withdrawn and Thaciano gets his opportunity.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Tiquinho Soares.
  • 90' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Antonio Galeano is withdrawn and Aylon gets his opportunity.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC53% Draw27% Santos FC20%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
80%
Draw or Santos FC
47%
Ceará SC or Santos FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC35% Draw50% Santos FC15%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.