Saturday , 14 November 2026

Ceará SC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 0
Full Time
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Santos FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Santos FC H 3–0 W
02 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
29 Sep São Paulo FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Ceará SC A 0–3 L
02 Oct Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
28 Sep RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
21 Sep São Paulo FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
31 Aug Fluminense FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
9/8
46-60
7/4
61-75
3/4
76+
11/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 15 G 4 A
Neymar 8 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Castelao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Ceará SC and Santos FC.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' A stunning finish from Lucas Mugni — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Juan Vojvoda might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Lourenco is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ceará SC so far.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Juan Vojvoda will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 37' The referee shows Ceara SC player a card on 37.
  • 39' Santos FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 39.
  • 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Santos FC that had 298 games and scored 375 goals.
  • 46' Alvaro Barreal gets the nod from Santos FC. He replaces Tomas Rincon and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Ceará SC have won 233 goals from 238 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' Santos FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
  • 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 63' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Lucas Mugni by Vina on 63 minute.
  • 66' What a moment for Pedro Henrique! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 68' Gustavo Caballero is ready to make an impact after coming on for Igor Vinicius at the 68 minute mark.
  • 72' The whistle greets Lourenco as he departs to be replaced by Richardson.
  • 76' The Santos FC manager makes a substitution. Guilherme departs to be replaced by Tiquinho Soares.
  • 81' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 82' The Santos FC bench stirs into life. Benjamin Rollheiser is withdrawn and Thaciano gets his opportunity.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tiquinho Soares on 85.
  • 90' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Antonio Galeano by Aylon on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Ceará SC beats Santos FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC53% Draw27% Santos FC20%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
80%
Draw or Santos FC
47%
Ceará SC or Santos FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC35% Draw50% Santos FC15%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.