SC Recife vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | SC Recife | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Santos FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Ilha do Retiro. SC Recife are looking to make home advantage count against Ceará SC.
- 5' It’s high time Leo Condé made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 6' Derik Lacerda is having his name booked by the referee on 6.
- 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 16' Over 16 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luan Candido, as he is very good at scoring at Ilha do Retiro with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 26' Pedro Augusto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Recife and Ceará SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 36' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Recife is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' That is a card for Ceara SC. Lucas Mugni will be fuming at that decision.
- 50' It’s gonna be a card for Aderlan Silva.
- 55' Ceará SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 60' Ceará SC is showing some good football. However, Ceará SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 63' Sergio Oliveira gets the nod from SC Recife. He replaces Pedro Augusto and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' SC Recife is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 69' Vina has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Mugni on 69 minute.
- 73' It is a substitution in SC Recife team. Joao Silva is replaced by Igor Carius on 73 minute.
- 74' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 74.
- 75' A change in the Ceara SC ranks — Matheus Bahia exits the field as Rafael Ramos enters on 75.
- 80' Ceará SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 81' Controversy at the stadium! Rafael Thyere argues furiously but the card stands.
- 83' The Brazil Pedro Raul breaks the deadlock on 83 minutes. 0-1!
- 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Pedro Raul.
- 85' Pablo Felipe is replacing ze Lucas for the SC Recife side.
- 87' The Brazil Igor Carius breaks the deadlock on 87 minutes. 1-1!
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 15
- 10
- 36
- 11
- 18
- 17
-
28
Pedro Augusto ↓ Sergio Oliveira 63'
- 13
-
6
Joao Silva ↓ Igor Carius 73'
-
58
ze Lucas ↓ Pablo Felipe 85'
Bench
- 21
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↑ 85'
-
16
Igor Carius ↑ 73'
- 7
-
27
Sergio Oliveira ↑ 63'
- 38
- 22
- 9
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 73'
- 20
- 48
Coach
Daniel Paulista
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
77
Fernandinho ↓ Pedro Henrique 75'
- 97
-
10
Lucas Mugni ↓ Vina 69'
- 94
-
9
Pedro Raul ↓ Richardson 85'
-
79
Matheus Bahia ↓ Rafael Ramos 75'
- 70
- 25
-
27
Antonio Galeano ↓ Paulo Baya 85'
- 23
Bench
-
26
Richardson ↑ 85'
- 11
- 33
- 1
-
2
Rafael Ramos ↑ 75'
-
7
Pedro Henrique ↑ 75'
- 15
- 8
-
17
Paulo Baya ↑ 85'
- 31
-
29
Vina ↑ 69'
Coach
Leo Condé
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elton | 2 |
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Igor Carius | 1 |
| Cleber | 1 |
| Vitor Jacare | 1 |
| Jonathan Gomez | 1 |
| Vinicius | 1 |
| Marlon Adriano | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Recife Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09
SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Ceará SC xG
I would bet for:
SC Recife or Ceará SC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
SC Recife or Draw
67%
Draw or Ceará SC
64%
SC Recife or Ceará SC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — SC Recife
| Handicap | SC Recife covers | Push | Ceará SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 20% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.