Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Recife vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
SC Recife
1 – 1
Full Time
Ceará SC
Wed 15 Oct 2025 · 23:00 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'
Derik Lacerda 6' Y
Y 46' Lucas Mugni
Aderlan Silva 50' Y
Igor Carius 74' Y
Rafael Thyere 81' Y
Y 83' Pedro Raul

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

2
3
3
SC Recife 8 games · Avg 1.8 goals Ceará SC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-15 SC Recife 1–1 Ceará SC 2025-05-17 Ceará SC 2–0 SC Recife 2021-11-14 Ceará SC 2–1 SC Recife 2021-07-25 SC Recife 0–0 Ceará SC 2020-11-08 Ceará SC 0–0 SC Recife

Recent Form

SC Recife
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Ceará SC H 1–1 D
08 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
05 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct SC Recife A 1–1 D
05 Oct Santos FC H 3–0 W
02 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
29 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! SC Recife vs Ceará SC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leo Condé might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 6' The referee shows SC Recife player a card on 6.
  • 11' It’s high time Daniel Paulista made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 16' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 21' Ceará SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 31' Derik Lacerda has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Recife in their trying to find a way past Ceará SC's compact .
  • 41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Recife and Ceará SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' Poor challenge from Lucas Mugni. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 50' Aderlan Silva catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 50.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Romarinho suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' Ceará SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 63' Sergio Oliveira is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pedro Augusto at the 63 minute mark.
  • 68' SC Recife have won 123 goals from 240 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 69' Lucas Mugni makes way for Vina at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Ceara SC.
  • 73' A change in the SC Recife ranks — Joao Silva exits the field as Igor Carius enters on 73.
  • 74' Igor Carius has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 75' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Matheus Bahia is withdrawn and Rafael Ramos gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Luan Candido is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Recife so far.
  • 81' Rafael Thyere is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
  • 83' What a moment for Pedro Raul! That strike on 83 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 83' The referee calls foul for Pedro Raul. He receives a card.
  • 85' The whistle greets ze Lucas as he departs to be replaced by Pablo Felipe.
  • 87' What composure from Igor Carius! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

SC Recife Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daniel Paulista

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Elton 2
Vinicius 1
Marlon Adriano 1
Mikael 1
Lucas Mugni 1
Arthur Cabral 1
Antonio Galeano 1
Arthur Cabral 1

Head to Head

2025-10-15 SC Recife 1–1 Ceará SC 2025-05-17 Ceará SC 2–0 SC Recife 2021-11-14 Ceará SC 2–1 SC Recife 2021-07-25 SC Recife 0–0 Ceará SC 2020-11-08 Ceará SC 0–0 SC Recife

SC Recife Form

2025-10-15 SC Recife 1–1 Ceará SC D 2025-10-08 CA Mineiro 3–1 SC Recife L 2025-10-05 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 SC Recife D 2025-10-01 SC Recife 2–2 Fluminense FC D 2025-09-27 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Recife L 2025-09-21 SC Recife 1–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W

Ceará SC Form

2025-10-15 SC Recife 1–1 Ceará SC D 2025-10-05 Ceará SC 3–0 Santos FC W 2025-10-02 EC Vitoria 1–0 Ceará SC L 2025-09-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC W 2025-09-20 Ceará SC 1–1 EC Bahia D 2025-09-14 CR Vasco da Gama 2–2 Ceará SC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: SC Recife or Ceará SC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife36% Draw32% Ceará SC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
67%
Draw or Ceará SC
64%
SC Recife or Ceará SC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife24% Draw53% Ceará SC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.