Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Recife vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Wed 15 Oct 2025 · 23:00 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Ceará SC H 1–1 D
08 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
05 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct SC Recife A 1–1 D
05 Oct Santos FC H 3–0 W
02 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
29 Sep São Paulo FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and SC Recife launch into their encounter with Ceará SC.
  • 5' SC Recife is showing some good football. However, SC Recife are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 6' SC Recife player sees a card in front of him.
  • 11' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 16' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel made 197 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 26' SC Recife currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 31' Ceará SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 41' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Recife in their trying to find a way past Ceará SC's compact .
  • 46' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Mugni on 46.
  • 50' The referee calls foul for Aderlan Silva. He receives a card.
  • 55' Paulo Baya is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Recife tonight.
  • 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 63' A change in the SC Recife ranks — Pedro Augusto exits the field as Sergio Oliveira enters on 63.
  • 68' SC Recife are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Ceará SC's shape.
  • 69' Ceara SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vina is hanging Lucas Mugni on the field on 69 minute.
  • 73' SC Recife manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Igor Carius is hanging Joao Silva on the field on 73 minute.
  • 74' Igor Carius is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
  • 75' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Matheus Bahia is withdrawn and Rafael Ramos gets his opportunity.
  • 80' The 34-year-old Marllon has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 81' The referee has no hesitation. Rafael Thyere is booked for SC Recife — card on 81.
  • 83' Against the run of play, Pedro Raul has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pedro Raul on 83.
  • 85' The SC Recife manager makes a substitution. ze Lucas departs to be replaced by Pablo Felipe.
  • 87' The deadlock is broken! Igor Carius gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: SC Recife or Ceará SC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife36% Draw32% Ceará SC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
67%
Draw or Ceará SC
64%
SC Recife or Ceará SC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife24% Draw53% Ceará SC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.