VfB Stuttgart vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2016

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DFB-Pokal 2016/17 · 2016

VfB Stuttgart

2 – 0

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Tue 25 Oct 2016 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — DFB-Pokal .

VfB Stuttgart 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 7 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2016-10-25 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2016-03-02 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-09-26 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 VfB Stuttgart 2015-01-31 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 VfB Stuttgart 2014-08-24 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	2–0	W
22 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	A	0–2	L
19 Oct	KF Tirana	A	2–0	W
15 Oct	TuS Dassendorf	H	0–0	D
02 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	0–4	L
28 Sep	FC Ingolstadt 04	H	1–2	L

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	A	0–2	L
21 Oct	Vitória SC	H	2–1	W
15 Oct	FC Rot-Weiss Koblenz	A	0–5	L
03 Oct	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	H	4–0	W
23 Sep	Hannover 96	A	1–1	D
20 Sep	SSV Jeddeloh II	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)

29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfB Stuttgart to score. At the same time, FC Erzgebirge Aue does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
FC Erzgebirge Aue will have plenty to reflect on. VfB Stuttgart were simply the better side today.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart Form

2016-10-25 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2016-10-22 VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2016-10-19 KF Tirana 0–2 VfB Stuttgart W 2016-10-15 VfB Stuttgart 0–0 TuS Dassendorf D 2016-10-02 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2016-09-28 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 FC Ingolstadt 04 L

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2016-10-25 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2016-10-21 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Vitória SC W 2016-10-15 FC Rot-Weiss Koblenz 5–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2016-10-03 FC Erzgebirge Aue 4–0 SC Weiche Flensburg 08 W 2016-09-23 Hannover 96 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2016-09-20 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–0 SSV Jeddeloh II W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.71 VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.72 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart to win 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfB Stuttgart59% Draw25% FC Erzgebirge Aue16%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.43

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

84%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

41%

VfB Stuttgart or FC Erzgebirge Aue

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfB Stuttgart41% Draw47% FC Erzgebirge Aue12%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

14.3%

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

11.6%

0 – 0

10.8%

2 – 1

3 – 0

0 – 1

5.3%

3 – 1

5.2%

1 – 2

3.7%

2 – 2

3.3%

4 – 0

4 – 1

2.3%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap	VfB Stuttgart covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	19%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	25%	40%
-0.5	60%	—	40%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	10%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

49% ✗

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.