SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | São Paulo FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CA Mineiro | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Oct | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | CA Boca Juniors | H | 3–5 | L |
| 01 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–5 | L |
| 21 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Coritiba FBC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #10 |
| 73 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 21 / 10 / 3 | W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 14 |
| 62 | Scored | 39 |
| 23 | Conceded | 39 |
| +39 | GD | +0 |
| 2.15 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 62% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SE Palmeiras and Sao Paulo FC has kicked off!
- 5' Assisted by Mayke with the perfectly-timed delivery and Richard Rios makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Moura made 391 appearances and scored 49 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
- 16' Brilliant from the ! Breno Lopes makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 16.
- 21' A moment of madness from Ze Rafael on 21 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
- 25' Lucas Beraldo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 25.
- 26' Breno Lopes makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
- 27' Assisted by Richard Rios with the perfectly-timed delivery and Breno Lopes makes no mistake. 4-0!
- 32' Over 32 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 36' The whistle greets Gabriel Neves as he departs to be replaced by Rodrigo Nestor.
- 40' The whistle greets Lucas Moura as he departs to be replaced by Wellington Rato.
- 44' SE Palmeiras receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 44.
- 45' A moment of madness from Rafinha on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 46' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Jhegson Mendez comes on to replace James Rodriguez.
- 51' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Murilo Cerqueira scoring 1 goals.
- 52' Magnificent from Joaquin Piquerez! That is 13 goals in 398 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 57' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 61' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Rafinha gets a Red card.
- 63' Luciano is ready to make an impact after coming on for David at the 63 minute mark.
- 64' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Nathan on, Alisson off on 64 minutes.
- 68' SE Palmeiras make a change. Mayke trudges off to be replaced by Marcos Rocha on 68 minutes.
- 73' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Raphael Veiga is withdrawn and Artur Guimaraes gets his opportunity.
- 78' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 79' Wellington Rato picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 79' The crowd applauds Breno Lopes as he leaves the pitch. Luis Guilherme steps in for SE Palmeiras.
- 84' What a moment for Marcos Rocha! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
- 87' The Uruguay Joaquin Piquerez breaks the deadlock on 87 minutes. 7-0!
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 5-0.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Artur Guimaraes 73'
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Marcos Rocha 68'
- 15
-
19
Breno Lopes ↓ Luis Guilherme 79'
- 13
- 26
- 22
- 9
-
27
Richard Rios ↓ Fabinho 68'
Bench
- 30
-
10
Rony ↑ 73'
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↑ 68'
-
14
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 73'
- 42
- 6
- 18
- 34
- 40
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 68'
- 37
-
31
Luis Guilherme ↑ 79'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 25
- 38
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Wellington Rato 40'
- 13
- 19
- 15
- 4
- 35
-
20
Gabriel Neves ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 36'
- 23
Bench
-
10
Luciano ↑ 63'
- 93
- 28
-
21
Jhegson Mendez ↑ 46'
- 3
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 36'
- 6
-
27
Wellington Rato ↑ 40'
- 49
- 18
-
45
Nathan ↑ 64'
- 31
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Breno Lopes | 3 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 3 |
| Vitor Roque | 3 |
| Joaquin Piquerez | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
| Gabriel Sara | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.1
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
85%
Draw or São Paulo FC
37%
SE Palmeiras or São Paulo FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–0 not predicted5 – 0Actual
2 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
9%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
3.5%
4 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 21% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

