SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | São Paulo FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CA Mineiro | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Oct | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | CA Boca Juniors | H | 3–5 | L |
| 01 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–5 | L |
| 21 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Coritiba FBC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #11 |
| 57 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 16 / 9 / 3 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 47 | Scored | 32 |
| 21 | Conceded | 30 |
| +26 | GD | +2 |
| 2.04 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 57% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras are looking to make home advantage count against Sao Paulo FC.
- 5' The deadlock is broken! Richard Rios gets on the scoresheet on 5 minutes.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rafael Monteiro made 480 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Endrick, a Brazil forward, has 15 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 16' The Brazil Breno Lopes breaks the deadlock on 16 minutes. 2-0!
- 21' Ze Rafael catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 21.
- 25' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Lucas Beraldo.
- 26' Breno Lopes makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
- 27' Assisted by Richard Rios with the perfectly-timed delivery and Breno Lopes makes no mistake. 4-0!
- 32' Lucas Moura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 36' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rodrigo Nestor is hanging Gabriel Neves on the field on 36 minute.
- 40' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Wellington Rato comes on to replace Lucas Moura.
- 44' Endrick is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
- 45' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a Yellow card on 45.
- 46' Sao Paulo FC make a change. James Rodriguez trudges off to be replaced by Jhegson Mendez on 46 minutes.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Abel Ferreira might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 52' The deadlock is broken! Joaquin Piquerez gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 57' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 61' Rafinha is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
- 63' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. David is withdrawn and Luciano gets his opportunity.
- 64' Nathan is replacing Alisson for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- 68' Marcos Rocha gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Mayke and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' Artur Guimaraes is replacing Raphael Veiga for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 78' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Wellington Rato argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 79' Luis Guilherme gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Breno Lopes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' Marcos Rocha adds to his 0 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 6-0 — and this changes everything.
- 87' Assisted by Marcos Rocha with the perfectly-timed delivery and Joaquin Piquerez makes no mistake. 7-0!
- It finishes all square. SE Palmeiras and Sao Paulo FC share the spoils 5-0.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Artur Guimaraes 73'
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Marcos Rocha 68'
- 15
-
19
Breno Lopes ↓ Luis Guilherme 79'
- 13
- 26
- 22
- 9
-
27
Richard Rios ↓ Fabinho 68'
Bench
- 30
-
10
Rony ↑ 73'
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↑ 68'
-
14
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 73'
- 42
- 6
- 18
- 34
- 40
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 68'
- 37
-
31
Luis Guilherme ↑ 79'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 25
- 38
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Wellington Rato 40'
- 13
- 19
- 15
- 4
- 35
-
20
Gabriel Neves ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 36'
- 23
Bench
-
10
Luciano ↑ 63'
- 93
- 28
-
21
Jhegson Mendez ↑ 46'
- 3
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 36'
- 6
-
27
Wellington Rato ↑ 40'
- 49
- 18
-
45
Nathan ↑ 64'
- 31
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 3 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 3 |
| Vitor Roque | 3 |
| Breno Lopes | 3 |
| Joaquin Piquerez | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
| Gabriel Sara | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or São Paulo FC
39%
SE Palmeiras or São Paulo FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–0 not predicted5 – 0Actual
2 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 24% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

