Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Club Atletico de Madrid, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2022-23
Sat 25 Feb 2023 · 17:30 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 22' Koke
Y 23' Koke
Nacho 57' Y
R 64' Angel Correa
Luka Modric 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Club Atletico de MadridLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Javier Estrada
  • Referee Jesus Gil
  • Referee Angel Nevado
  • Referee Javier Martinez
  • Referee Guillermo Conejero Sanchez
  • Referee Jaime Latre

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid H 1–1 D
21 Feb Liverpool FC A 5–2 W
18 Feb CA Osasuna A 2–0 W
15 Feb Elche CF H 4–0 W
05 Feb RCD Mallorca A 0–1 L
02 Feb Valencia CF H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
19 Feb Athletic Club H 1–0 W
12 Feb RC Celta de Vigo A 1–0 W
04 Feb Getafe CF H 1–1 D
29 Jan CA Osasuna A 1–0 W
21 Jan Real Valladolid CF H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Club Atletico de Madrid
#2 Position #4
86 Points 69
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 21 / 6 / 11
77 Scored 62
35 Conceded 44
+42 GD +18
2.26 PPG 1.82
71% Win % 55%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Club Atletico de Madrid are 4th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.65 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Club Atletico de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF51% Draw27% Club Atletico de Madrid22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
78%
Draw or Club Atletico de Madrid
49%
Real Madrid CF or Club Atletico de Madrid
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF37% Draw47% Club Atletico de Madrid16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Club Atletico de Madrid covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
40%
Club Atletico de Madrid keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.