Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Arsenal FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

Tue 8 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Emirates Stadium 60,110 HT 45' · FT 45'
Declan Rice 58' 1–0
Declan Rice 70' 2–0
Mikel Merino 75' 3–0

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Arsenal FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Real Madrid CF H 3–0 W
05 Apr Everton FC A 1–1 D
01 Apr Fulham FC H 2–1 W
16 Mar Chelsea FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar PSV H 2–2 D
09 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Arsenal FC A 0–3 L
05 Apr Valencia CF H 1–2 L
29 Mar CD Leganes H 3–2 W
15 Mar Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
12 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid A 4–3 W
09 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Real Madrid CF
#1 Position #9
24 Points 15
8 Played 8
8 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
23 Scored 21
4 Conceded 12
+19 GD +9
3.00 PPG 1.88
100% Win % 63%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Arsenal FC are 1st (24 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arsenal FC
Martin Odegaard 1 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Arsenal FC have kicked off against Real Madrid CF. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Arsenal FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Lucas Vazquez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mikel Arteta will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' Arsenal FC have won 734 goals from 420 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 50' It’s high time Carlo Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 54' Controversy at the stadium! Thomas Partey argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 58' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Declan Rice makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Arsenal FC that had 420 games and scored 734 goals.
  • 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 70' What a moment for Declan Rice! That strike on 70 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Eduardo Camavinga is booked for Real Madrid CF — card on 70.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Luka Modric is replaced by Lucas Vazquez.
  • 74' Arsenal FC ring the changes. Bukayo Saka has done his job and it is now time for Leandro Trossard to step up.
  • 75' Assisted by Myles Lewis-Skelly with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mikel Merino makes no mistake. 3-0!
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Fran Garcia. He replaces David Alaba on 79 minute.
  • 80' Another substitution for Arsenal FC to replace Declan Rice by Kieran Tierney on 80 minute.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Rodrygo. He replaces Brahim Diaz on 85 minute.
  • 90' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Arsenal FC! Ben White comes on to replace Jurrien Timber.
  • Another three points for Arsenal FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.8 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Arsenal FC to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC72% Draw17% Real Madrid CF11%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
28%
Arsenal FC or Real Madrid CF
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC59% Draw34% Real Madrid CF7%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
7.2%
1 – 1
6.6%
4 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
5 – 0
4.1%
5 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 37% — 63%
-2 37% 22% 41%
-1.5 59% — 41%
-1 59% 20% 21%
-0.5 79% — 21%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.