Thursday , 2 July 2026

Arsenal FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

Tue 8 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Emirates Stadium 60,110 HT 45' · FT 45'
Declan Rice 58' 1–0
Declan Rice 70' 2–0
Mikel Merino 75' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Irfan Peljto
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Davor Beljo
6 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 2.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Arsenal FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Real Madrid CF H 3–0 W
05 Apr Everton FC A 1–1 D
01 Apr Fulham FC H 2–1 W
16 Mar Chelsea FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar PSV H 2–2 D
09 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Arsenal FC A 0–3 L
05 Apr Valencia CF H 1–2 L
29 Mar CD Leganes H 3–2 W
15 Mar Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
12 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid A 4–3 W
09 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Real Madrid CF
#1 Position #9
24 Points 15
8 Played 8
8 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
23 Scored 21
4 Conceded 12
+19 GD +9
3.00 PPG 1.88
100% Win % 63%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Arsenal FC are 1st (24 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Arsenal FC and Real Madrid CF has kicked off!
  • 5' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Jurrien Timber needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 24 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Raya made 382 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Vinicius Junior has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 58 appearances with only 7 goals this season.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Martin Odegaard, as he is very good at scoring at Emirates Stadium with 21 goals in the last 16 games.
  • 54' The referee calls foul for Thomas Partey. He receives a card.
  • 58' Declan Rice puts Arsenal FC on the lead.
  • 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 68' It looks surprising Arsenal FC does not make any changes. Federico Valverde has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 70' What a strike from Declan Rice! The score is 2-0.
  • 70' It’s gonna be a card for Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 71' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Luka Modric by Lucas Vazquez on 71 minute.
  • 74' The whistle greets Bukayo Saka as he departs to be replaced by Leandro Trossard.
  • 75' Goal! Mikel Merino scores his 37 goal in 348 matches.
  • 79' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fran Garcia is hanging David Alaba on the field on 79 minute.
  • 80' Arsenal FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kieran Tierney is hanging Declan Rice on the field on 80 minute.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Brahim Diaz is replaced by Rodrygo.
  • 90' Eduardo Camavinga is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Arsenal FC to replace Jurrien Timber by Ben White on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Arsenal FC beats Real Madrid CF

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.8 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Arsenal FC to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC72% Draw17% Real Madrid CF11%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
28%
Arsenal FC or Real Madrid CF
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC59% Draw34% Real Madrid CF7%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
7.2%
1 – 1
6.6%
4 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
5 – 0
4.1%
5 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 37% 63%
-2 37% 22% 41%
-1.5 59% 41%
-1 59% 20% 21%
-0.5 79% 21%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.