Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Real Madrid CF
1 – 2
Full Time
Valencia CF
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 75,382 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Mouctar Diakhaby
Vinicius Junior 50' 1–1
1–2 90+5' Hugo Duro
Y 10' Cesar Tarrega
Carlo Ancelotti 22' Y
Y 47' Umar Sadiq
Y 90' Max Aarons

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Alejandro Estevez Iglesias (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Barcelona 7 21
2 Club Atlético de Madrid 7 16
3 Real Betis Balompié 7 16
4 Real Madrid CF 7 15
5 Sevilla FC 7 13
6 Deportivo Alavés 7 11
7 RC Deportivo La Coruña 7 10
8 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 7 10
9 CA Osasuna 7 8
10 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 7 8
11 Villarreal CF 7 8
12 Athletic Club 6 8
13 Getafe CF 7 8
14 RC Celta de Vigo 7 7
15 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 7 7
16 Real Racing Club de Santander 7 7
17 Levante UD 6 5
18 Elche CF 7 5
19 Valencia CF 7 4
20 Málaga CF 7 3

Head-to-Head

12
2
4
Real Madrid CF 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals Valencia CF
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 Real Madrid CF 1–2 Valencia CF 2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Valencia CF H 1–2 L
29 Mar CD Leganes H 3–2 W
15 Mar Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
12 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid A 4–3 W
09 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
04 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 2–1 W
Valencia CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
30 Mar RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W
15 Mar Girona FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Real Valladolid CF H 2–1 W
02 Mar CA Osasuna A 3–3 D
22 Feb Club Atlético de Madrid H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Valencia CF
#4 Position #19
15 Points 4
7 Played 7
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
18 Scored 4
8 Conceded 13
+10 GD -9
2.14 PPG 0.57
71% Win % 14%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
29% Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Valencia CF are 19th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Valencia CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Real Madrid CF launch into their encounter with Valencia CF.
  • 5' Real Madrid CF currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Valencia CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 10.
  • 15' Brilliant from the ! Mouctar Diakhaby makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 15.
  • 20' Pablo Lopez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 22' A moment of madness from Carlo Ancelotti on 22 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Antonio Rudiger suffering a number of foals already.
  • 32' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 47' Valencia CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' Vinicius Junior doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 55' The 21-year-old Arda Guler has been sensational this season — 5 goals and 4 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 57' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 57 minute. Brahim Diaz leaves to be changed by Rodrygo.
  • 59' Umar Sadiq makes way for Rafael Mir at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Valencia CF.
  • 64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Valencia CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 74' Valencia CF make a change. Andre Almeida trudges off to be replaced by Fran Perez on 74 minutes.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Endrick on, Luka Modric off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Max Aarons is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Valencia CF tonight.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Arda Guler. He replaces Lucas Vazquez on 85 minute.
  • 90' Max Aarons was booked on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Valencia CF to replace Enzo Barrenechea by Hugo Guillamon on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Valencia CF players.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

Valencia CF Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlos Corberán

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vinicius Junior 10
Karim Benzema 9
Hugo Duro 5
Carlos Soler 4
Goncalo Guedes 3
Marco Asensio 2
Rodrygo 2
Raphael Varane 1

Head to Head

2025-04-05 Real Madrid CF 1–2 Valencia CF 2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-04-05 Real Madrid CF 1–2 Valencia CF L 2025-03-29 Real Madrid CF 3–2 CD Leganes W 2025-03-15 Villarreal CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF W 2025-03-12 Club Atlético de Madrid 3–4 Real Madrid CF W 2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid W 2025-03-04 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Club Atlético de Madrid W

Valencia CF Form

2025-04-05 Real Madrid CF 1–2 Valencia CF W 2025-03-30 Valencia CF 1–0 RCD Mallorca W 2025-03-15 Girona FC 1–1 Valencia CF D 2025-03-08 Valencia CF 2–1 Real Valladolid CF W 2025-03-02 CA Osasuna 3–3 Valencia CF D 2025-02-22 Valencia CF 0–3 Club Atlético de Madrid L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.76 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Real Madrid CF to win 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF63% Draw20% Valencia CF17%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
83%
Draw or Valencia CF
37%
Real Madrid CF or Valencia CF
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF53% Draw35% Valencia CF12%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
7.6%
1 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.4%
4 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 31% — 69%
-2 31% 20% 49%
-1.5 51% — 49%
-1 51% 20% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.