Saturday , 14 November 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 75,382 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Mouctar Diakhaby
Vinicius Junior 50' 1–1
1–2 90+5' Hugo Duro

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Alejandro Estevez Iglesias (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Valencia CF H 1–2 L
29 Mar CD Leganes H 3–2 W
15 Mar Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
12 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid A 4–3 W
09 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
04 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
30 Mar RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W
15 Mar Girona FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Real Valladolid CF H 2–1 W
02 Mar CA Osasuna A 3–3 D
22 Feb Club Atlético de Madrid H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Valencia CF
#2 Position #19
30 Points 9
12 Played 12
10 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 7
31 Scored 8
10 Conceded 20
+21 GD -12
2.50 PPG 0.75
83% Win % 17%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
33% Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts). Valencia CF are 19th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Valencia CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 13 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 4 G 3 A
Arda Guler 3 G 4 A
Yan Diomande 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Valencia CF
Umar Sadiq 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Real Madrid CF to score. At the same time, Valencia CF does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' The referee calls foul for Cesar Tarrega. He receives a card.
  • 15' Mouctar Diakhaby adds to his 1 season tally! Valencia CF lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Giorgi Mamardashvili, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 22' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pablo Lopez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 32' Arda Guler is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Valencia CF so far.
  • 37' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Andre Almeida has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 47' Poor challenge from Umar Sadiq. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 50' What an equalizer from Vinicius Junior!
  • 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
  • 57' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 57 minute. Brahim Diaz leaves to be changed by Rodrygo.
  • 59' The Valencia CF manager makes a substitution. Umar Sadiq departs to be replaced by Rafael Mir.
  • 64' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 69' Valencia CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 74' Fresh legs for Valencia CF! Fran Perez comes on to replace Andre Almeida.
  • 77' Endrick has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luka Modric on 77 minute.
  • 82' Valencia CF come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 85' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Lucas Vazquez by Arda Guler on 85 minute.
  • 90' That is a card for Valencia CF. Max Aarons will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Valencia CF ring the changes. Enzo Barrenechea has done his job and it is now time for Hugo Guillamon to step up.
  • Full Time. Valencia CF beats Real Madrid CF

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.66 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Real Madrid CF to win 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF62% Draw20% Valencia CF18%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
83%
Draw or Valencia CF
38%
Real Madrid CF or Valencia CF
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF52% Draw35% Valencia CF13%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
7.6%
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
4 – 1
5.2%
4 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 30% — 70%
-2 30% 20% 50%
-1.5 50% — 50%
-1 50% 20% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.