Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Real Madrid CF
1 – 2
Full Time
Valencia CF
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 75,382 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Mouctar Diakhaby
Vinicius Junior 50' 1–1
1–2 90+5' Hugo Duro
Y 10' Cesar Tarrega
Carlo Ancelotti 22' Y
Y 47' Umar Sadiq
Y 90' Max Aarons

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Alejandro Estevez Iglesias (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Barcelona 38 94
2 Real Madrid CF 38 86
3 Villarreal CF 38 72
4 Club Atletico de Madrid 38 69
5 Real Betis Balompie 38 60
6 RC Celta de Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe CF 38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 38 50
9 Valencia CF 38 49
10 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 38 46
11 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 38 46
12 Athletic Club 38 45
13 Elche CF 38 43
14 Deportivo Alaves 38 43
15 Sevilla FC 38 43
16 CA Osasuna 38 42
17 RCD Mallorca 38 42
18 Levante UD 38 42
19 Girona FC 38 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 29

Head-to-Head

12
2
4
Real Madrid CF 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals Valencia CF
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 Real Madrid CF 1–2 Valencia CF 2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Valencia CF H 1–2 L
29 Mar CD Leganes H 3–2 W
15 Mar Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
12 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid A 4–3 W
09 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
04 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 2–1 W
Valencia CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
30 Mar RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W
15 Mar Girona FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Real Valladolid CF H 2–1 W
02 Mar CA Osasuna A 3–3 D
22 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Valencia CF
#2 Position #9
86 Points 49
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 13 / 10 / 15
77 Scored 46
35 Conceded 55
+42 GD -9
2.26 PPG 1.29
71% Win % 34%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Valencia CF gets underway.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Valencia CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 15' Mouctar Diakhaby adds to his 0 season tally! Valencia CF lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 20' Valencia CF come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 22' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Carlo Ancelotti on 22 minutes.
  • 27' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Arda Guler has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 37' The home supporters are growing impatient. Real Madrid CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 42' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fran Garcia suffering a number of foals already.
  • 47' Umar Sadiq catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 47.
  • 50' What composure from Vinicius Junior! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 55' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 57' The crowd applauds Brahim Diaz as he leaves the pitch. Rodrygo steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 59' A tactical swap from Valencia CF — Rafael Mir on, Umar Sadiq off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 69' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Valencia CF backline.
  • 74' Fran Perez is replacing Andre Almeida for the Valencia CF side.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Endrick. He replaces Luka Modric on 77 minute.
  • 82' Spain international Hugo Guillamon has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 85' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Arda Guler on, Lucas Vazquez off on 85 minutes.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Max Aarons on 90 minutes earns him a card. Valencia CF will be frustrated.
  • 90' Hugo Guillamon is replacing Enzo Barrenechea for the Valencia CF side.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

Valencia CF Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlos Corberán

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vinicius Junior 10
Karim Benzema 9
Hugo Duro 5
Carlos Soler 4
Goncalo Guedes 3
Marco Asensio 2
Rodrygo 2
Dani Carvajal 1

Head to Head

2025-04-05 Real Madrid CF 1–2 Valencia CF 2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-04-05 Real Madrid CF 1–2 Valencia CF L 2025-03-29 Real Madrid CF 3–2 CD Leganes W 2025-03-15 Villarreal CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF W 2025-03-12 Club Atletico de Madrid 3–4 Real Madrid CF W 2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid W 2025-03-04 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Club Atletico de Madrid W

Valencia CF Form

2025-04-05 Real Madrid CF 1–2 Valencia CF W 2025-03-30 Valencia CF 1–0 RCD Mallorca W 2025-03-15 Girona FC 1–1 Valencia CF D 2025-03-08 Valencia CF 2–1 Real Valladolid CF W 2025-03-02 CA Osasuna 3–3 Valencia CF D 2025-02-22 Valencia CF 0–3 Club Atletico de Madrid L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.2 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF53% Draw24% Valencia CF23%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
77%
Draw or Valencia CF
47%
Real Madrid CF or Valencia CF
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF43% Draw40% Valencia CF17%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 17% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 21% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.