Sunday , 16 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 75,382 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Mouctar Diakhaby
Vinicius Junior 50' 1–1
1–2 90+5' Hugo Duro

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CFLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Alejandro Estevez Iglesias (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Valencia CF H 1–2 L
29 Mar CD Leganes H 3–2 W
15 Mar Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
12 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid A 4–3 W
09 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
04 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
30 Mar RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W
15 Mar Girona FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Real Valladolid CF H 2–1 W
02 Mar CA Osasuna A 3–3 D
22 Feb Club Atlético de Madrid H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Valencia CF
#11 Position #15
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 11th (0 pts). Valencia CF are 15th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu!
  • 5' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' That is a card for Valencia CF. Cesar Tarrega will be fuming at that decision.
  • 15' The deadlock is broken! Mouctar Diakhaby gets on the scoresheet on 15 minutes.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Enzo Barrenechea made 519 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 22' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 22.
  • 27' Morocco international Brahim Diaz has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 5 assists in the Array this season.
  • 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 37' With 3 assists to his name this season, Arda Guler is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
  • 42' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Real Madrid CF and Valencia CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 47' That is a card for Valencia CF. Umar Sadiq will be fuming at that decision.
  • 50' Against the run of play, Vinicius Junior has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Valencia CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' Real Madrid CF make a change. Brahim Diaz trudges off to be replaced by Rodrygo on 57 minutes.
  • 59' Valencia CF make a change. Umar Sadiq trudges off to be replaced by Rafael Mir on 59 minutes.
  • 64' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 69' Valencia CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 74' Fran Perez gets the nod from Valencia CF. He replaces Andre Almeida and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Real Madrid CF make a change. Luka Modric trudges off to be replaced by Endrick on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Valencia CF have won 398 goals from 422 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 85' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Lucas Vazquez departs to be replaced by Arda Guler.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Max Aarons. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Valencia CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hugo Guillamon is hanging Enzo Barrenechea on the field on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.95 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Real Madrid CF or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF37% Draw34% Valencia CF29%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
71%
Draw or Valencia CF
63%
Real Madrid CF or Valencia CF
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF23% Draw58% Valencia CF19%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.1%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
14.2%
0 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2.2%
3 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 22% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
43%
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.