Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 12 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Valencia CF 12 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Alejandro Estevez Iglesias (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 12 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla FC | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | Villarreal CF | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | RC Celta de Vigo | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Alavés | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 11 | 12 |
| 14 | CA Osasuna | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 12 | 12 |
| 16 | Getafe CF | 12 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 12 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 12 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 12 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Valencia CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | CD Leganes | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Mar | Villarreal CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 4–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | RCD Mallorca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Girona FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | Real Valladolid CF | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | CA Osasuna | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Feb | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Valencia CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #19 |
| 30 | Points | 9 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 10 / 0 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 7 |
| 31 | Scored | 8 |
| 10 | Conceded | 20 |
| +21 | GD | -12 |
| 2.50 | PPG | 0.75 |
| 83% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season
Valencia CF this season
Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts). Valencia CF are 19th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Valencia CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 13 G | 2 A |
| Jude Bellingham | 4 G | 3 A |
| Arda Guler | 3 G | 4 A |
| Yan Diomande | 3 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Espi | 2 G |
Valencia CF
| Umar Sadiq | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Real Madrid CF to score. At the same time, Valencia CF does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' The referee calls foul for Cesar Tarrega. He receives a card.
- 15' Mouctar Diakhaby adds to his 1 season tally! Valencia CF lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Giorgi Mamardashvili, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 22' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
- 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pablo Lopez suffering a number of foals already.
- 32' Arda Guler is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Valencia CF so far.
- 37' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Andre Almeida has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 47' Poor challenge from Umar Sadiq. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 50' What an equalizer from Vinicius Junior!
- 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
- 57' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 57 minute. Brahim Diaz leaves to be changed by Rodrygo.
- 59' The Valencia CF manager makes a substitution. Umar Sadiq departs to be replaced by Rafael Mir.
- 64' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 69' Valencia CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
- 74' Fresh legs for Valencia CF! Fran Perez comes on to replace Andre Almeida.
- 77' Endrick has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luka Modric on 77 minute.
- 82' Valencia CF come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 85' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Lucas Vazquez by Arda Guler on 85 minute.
- 90' That is a card for Valencia CF. Max Aarons will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Valencia CF ring the changes. Enzo Barrenechea has done his job and it is now time for Hugo Guillamon to step up.
- Full Time. Valencia CF beats Real Madrid CF
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Rodrygo 57'
- 9
- 14
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Endrick 77'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↓ Arda Guler 85'
- 8
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ David Alaba 77'
- 5
-
20
Fran Garcia ↓ Eduardo Camavinga 77'
- 26
Bench
-
4
David Alaba ↑ 77'
- 13
- 18
-
11
Rodrygo ↑ 57'
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 77'
-
15
Arda Guler ↑ 85'
-
16
Endrick ↑ 77'
- 34
- 35
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Valencia CF Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
19
Max Aarons ↓ Hugo Duro 74'
- 4
-
12
Umar Sadiq ↓ Rafael Mir 59'
- 25
-
10
Andre Almeida ↓ Fran Perez 74'
- 21
- 3
- 15
- 5
- 8
- 45
Bench
- 7
- 1
-
11
Rafael Mir ↑ 59'
-
9
Hugo Duro ↑ 74'
- 13
- 18
-
6
Hugo Guillamon ↑ 90'
- 31
-
23
Fran Perez ↑ 74'
- 24
- 38
- 40
Coach
Carlos Corberán
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 10 |
| Karim Benzema | 9 |
| Hugo Duro | 5 |
| Carlos Soler | 4 |
| Goncalo Guedes | 3 |
| Marco Asensio | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Yunus Musah | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
2025-04-05
Real Madrid CF
1–2
Valencia CF
L
2025-03-29
Real Madrid CF
3–2
CD Leganes
W
2025-03-15
Villarreal CF
1–2
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-03-12
Club Atlético de Madrid
3–4
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-03-09
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2025-03-04
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Club Atlético de Madrid
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.66
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Valencia CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Real Madrid CF to win 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Valencia CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
83%
Draw or Valencia CF
38%
Real Madrid CF or Valencia CF
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Valencia CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
7.6%
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
4 – 1
5.2%
4 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Valencia CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 20% | 50% |
| -1.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 20% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

