Real Madrid CF vs Arsenal FC, Champions League 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Arsenal FC — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
- Arsenal FC 8 games · 24 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Francois Letexier
- Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
- Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
19 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Deportivo Alavés | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Arsenal FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Apr | Valencia CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | CD Leganes | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Mar | Villarreal CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Brentford FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Everton FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Apr | Fulham FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Chelsea FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Arsenal FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #1 |
| 15 | Points | 24 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 0 |
| 21 | Scored | 23 |
| 12 | Conceded | 4 |
| +9 | GD | +19 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 63% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
67%
Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
Arsenal FC this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Arsenal FC are 1st (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 15 G | 1 A |
| Vinicius Junior | 5 G | 6 A |
Arsenal FC
| Martinelli | 6 G | 2 A |
| Viktor Gyokeres | 5 G | 2 A |
| Kai Havertz | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Real Madrid CF get us underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- 4' A meaty challenge results in booking for David Alaba on 4.
- 9' It looks like no one’s ball. Arsenal FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 11' Raul catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 11.
- 16' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 26' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Arsenal FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 36' The referee has no hesitation. David Raya is booked for Arsenal FC — card on 36.
- 41' Arsenal FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
- 46' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mikel Arteta might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 51' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Arsenal FC backline.
- 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mikel Arteta will be considering his options from the bench.
- 61' Dani Ceballos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Vazquez on 61 minute.
- 65' Bukayo Saka makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Arsenal FC are in front.
- 67' Against the run of play, Vinicius Junior has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 73' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Raul has done his job and it is now time for Luka Modric to step up.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Brahim Diaz. He replaces Kylian Mbappe on 75 minute.
- 77' Leandro Trossard has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bukayo Saka on 77 minute.
- 82' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 85' The referee has no hesitation. Antonio Rudiger is booked for Real Madrid CF — card on 85.
- 90' Arsenal FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ben White is hanging Jurrien Timber on the field on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 22
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Brahim Diaz 75'
- 14
-
4
David Alaba ↓ Fran Garcia 61'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↓ Dani Ceballos 61'
- 8
- 7
- 1
- 11
- 5
-
35
Raul ↓ Luka Modric 73'
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 75'
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 73'
- 18
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 61'
- 15
-
16
Endrick ↑ 61'
- 34
-
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 61'
- 26
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Arsenal FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
41
Declan Rice ↓ Kieran Tierney 90'
- 22
- 8
- 2
- 23
- 5
-
7
Bukayo Saka ↓ Leandro Trossard 77'
- 11
-
12
Jurrien Timber ↓ Ben White 90'
- 15
- 49
Bench
- 30
-
17
Oleksandr Zinchenko ↑ 90'
- 32
-
3
Kieran Tierney ↑ 90'
-
19
Leandro Trossard ↑ 77'
-
4
Ben White ↑ 90'
- 37
- 53
- 36
- 44
- 45
- 63
Coach
Mikel Arteta
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Declan Rice | 2 |
| Bukayo Saka | 1 |
| Martinelli | 1 |
| Vinicius Junior | 1 |
| Mikel Merino | 1 |
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3
Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Arsenal FC to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Arsenal FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
41%
Draw or Arsenal FC
81%
Real Madrid CF or Arsenal FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 3
7.6%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 4
4.4%
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Arsenal FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +1 | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| +1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +2 | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.