Real Madrid CF vs Arsenal FC, Champions League 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Arsenal FC — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Arsenal FC 8 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Francois Letexier
- Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
- Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
18 games this season
🟨 4.1/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Deportivo Alavés | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Arsenal FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Apr | Valencia CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | CD Leganes | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Mar | Villarreal CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Brentford FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Everton FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Apr | Fulham FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Chelsea FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Arsenal FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #1 |
| 15 | Points | 24 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 0 |
| 21 | Scored | 23 |
| 12 | Conceded | 4 |
| +9 | GD | +19 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 63% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
Arsenal FC this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Arsenal FC are 1st (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Arsenal FC
| Eberechi Eze | 2 G |
| Martin Odegaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Arsenal FC gets underway.
- 4' Poor challenge from David Alaba. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 9' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 11' Raul was booked on 11.
- 16' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Thibaut Courtois made 558 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 21' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Arsenal FC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 26' Arsenal FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 36' That looks like a foul for a card for David Raya.
- 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' Kieran Tierney needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 51' Arsenal FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 558 games and scored 808 goals.
- 61' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Lucas Vazquez exits the field as Dani Ceballos enters on 61.
- 65' Against the run of play, Bukayo Saka has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 67' A stunning finish from Vinicius Junior — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 72' Over 72 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 73' The whistle greets Raul as he departs to be replaced by Luka Modric.
- 75' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Kylian Mbappe is replaced by Brahim Diaz on 75 minute.
- 77' Leandro Trossard is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bukayo Saka at the 77 minute mark.
- 82' Arsenal FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 85' Antonio Rudiger is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
- 90' A change in the Arsenal FC ranks — Jurrien Timber exits the field as Ben White enters on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Arsenal FC take all three points.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 22
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Brahim Diaz 75'
- 14
-
4
David Alaba ↓ Fran Garcia 61'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↓ Dani Ceballos 61'
- 8
- 7
- 1
- 11
- 5
-
35
Raul ↓ Luka Modric 73'
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 75'
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 73'
- 18
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 61'
- 15
-
16
Endrick ↑ 61'
- 34
-
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 61'
- 26
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Arsenal FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
41
Declan Rice ↓ Kieran Tierney 90'
- 22
- 8
- 2
- 23
- 5
-
7
Bukayo Saka ↓ Leandro Trossard 77'
- 11
-
12
Jurrien Timber ↓ Ben White 90'
- 15
- 49
Bench
- 30
-
17
Oleksandr Zinchenko ↑ 90'
- 32
-
3
Kieran Tierney ↑ 90'
-
19
Leandro Trossard ↑ 77'
-
4
Ben White ↑ 90'
- 37
- 53
- 36
- 44
- 45
- 63
Coach
Mikel Arteta
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Declan Rice | 2 |
| Mikel Merino | 1 |
| Bukayo Saka | 1 |
| Martinelli | 1 |
| Vinicius Junior | 1 |
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3
Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Arsenal FC to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Arsenal FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
41%
Draw or Arsenal FC
81%
Real Madrid CF or Arsenal FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 3
7.6%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 4
4.4%
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Arsenal FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +1 | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| +1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +2 | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.