Real Madrid CF vs Arsenal FC, Champions League 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Arsenal FC — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
- Arsenal FC 8 games · 24 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Francois Letexier
- Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
- Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
20 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Deportivo Alaves | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Arsenal FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Apr | Valencia CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | CD Leganes | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Mar | Villarreal CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Brentford FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Everton FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Apr | Fulham FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Chelsea FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Arsenal FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #1 |
| 15 | Points | 24 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 0 |
| 21 | Scored | 23 |
| 12 | Conceded | 4 |
| +9 | GD | +19 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 63% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
67%
Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
Arsenal FC this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Arsenal FC are 1st (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Real Madrid CF and Arsenal FC has kicked off!
- 4' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
- 9' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 11' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 11.
- 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 26' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 31' It’s high time Carlo Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 36' David Raya is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
- 41' Bukayo Saka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 46' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 51' Arsenal FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 56' It looks surprising Arsenal FC does not make any changes. Kieran Tierney has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 61' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 61 minute. Lucas Vazquez leaves to be changed by Dani Ceballos.
- 65' What a strike from Bukayo Saka! The score is 0-1.
- 67' What an equalizer from Vinicius Junior!
- 72' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 73' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Raul departs to be replaced by Luka Modric.
- 75' The whistle greets Kylian Mbappe as he departs to be replaced by Brahim Diaz.
- 77' The whistle greets Bukayo Saka as he departs to be replaced by Leandro Trossard.
- 82' Kylian Mbappe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 7 goals this season.
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Antonio Rudiger on 85.
- 90' Arsenal FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ben White is hanging Jurrien Timber on the field on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Arsenal FC players.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 22
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Brahim Diaz 75'
- 14
-
4
David Alaba ↓ Fran Garcia 61'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↓ Dani Ceballos 61'
- 8
- 7
- 1
- 11
- 5
-
35
Raul ↓ Luka Modric 73'
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 75'
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 73'
- 18
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 61'
- 15
-
16
Endrick ↑ 61'
- 34
-
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 61'
- 26
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Arsenal FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
41
Declan Rice ↓ Kieran Tierney 90'
- 22
- 8
- 2
- 23
- 5
-
7
Bukayo Saka ↓ Leandro Trossard 77'
- 11
-
12
Jurrien Timber ↓ Ben White 90'
- 15
- 49
Bench
- 30
-
17
Oleksandr Zinchenko ↑ 90'
- 32
-
3
Kieran Tierney ↑ 90'
-
19
Leandro Trossard ↑ 77'
-
4
Ben White ↑ 90'
- 37
- 53
- 36
- 44
- 45
- 63
Coach
Mikel Arteta
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Declan Rice | 2 |
| Mikel Merino | 1 |
| Bukayo Saka | 1 |
| Martinelli | 1 |
| Vinicius Junior | 1 |
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3
Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Arsenal FC to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Arsenal FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
41%
Draw or Arsenal FC
81%
Real Madrid CF or Arsenal FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 3
7.6%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 4
4.4%
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Arsenal FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +1 | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| +1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +2 | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.