Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs CD Leganes, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 73,641 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe pen 32' 1–0
1–1 34' Diego Garcia
1–2 41' Dani Raba
Jude Bellingham 47' 2–2
Kylian Mbappe 76' 3–2
Raul 62' Y
Y 65' Diego Garcia
Y 75' Renato Tapia
Y 89' Oscar

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs CD LeganesLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Israel Barcena Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ruben Porras Rico (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar CD Leganes H 3–2 W
15 Mar Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
12 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid A 4–3 W
09 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
04 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 2–1 W
01 Mar Real Betis Balompie A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
16 Mar Real Betis Balompie H 2–3 L
08 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 1–2 L
02 Mar Getafe CF H 1–0 W
23 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–3 L
15 Feb Deportivo Alaves H 3–3 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Real Madrid CF and CD Leganes is underway.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fran Garcia suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' It’s high time Borja Jiménez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Leganes that had 199 games and scored 173 goals.
  • 32' What a strike from Kylian Mbappe! The score is 1-0.
  • 34' GOAL! Diego Garcia scores on 34.
  • 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 41' Dani Raba puts CD Leganes on the lead.
  • 46' Lucas Vazquez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 47' What a strike from Jude Bellingham! The score is 2-2.
  • 52' It looks like no one’s ball. CD Leganes is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' Antonio Rudiger has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 62' Raul was booked on 62.
  • 62' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 62 minute. Arda Guler leaves to be changed by Rodrygo.
  • 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Diego Garcia on 65.
  • 65' Another change for CD Leganes made on 65 minute. Yvan Neyou leaves to be changed by Seydouba Cisse.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Andriy Lunin made 199 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Lucas Vazquez is replaced by Federico Valverde.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Renato Tapia on 75.
  • 76' Sensational shot from Kylian Mbappe. Real Madrid CF is back in the lead.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Luka Modric is replaced by Aurelien Tchouameni on 81 minute.
  • 83' The CD Leganes manager makes a substitution. Diego Garcia departs to be replaced by Munir El Haddadi.
  • 86' Another substitution for CD Leganes to replace Juan Cruz by Darko Brasanac on 86 minute.
  • 89' The referee calls foul for Oscar. He receives a card.
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 CD Leganes xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Real Madrid CF to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF60% Draw22% CD Leganes18%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
82%
Draw or CD Leganes
40%
Real Madrid CF or CD Leganes
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF41% Draw42% CD Leganes17%
Actual: CD Leganes win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push CD Leganes covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 22% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%
CD Leganes keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.