RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Stefan Lupp
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Referee Jan Seidel
- Referee Lasse Koslowski
- Referee Benjamin Brand
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Mar | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Mar | Liverpool FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Mar | SC Freiburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | SS Lazio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | A | 3–1 | W |
| 06 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–2 | W |
| 27 Feb | 1. FC Koln | H | 5–1 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #1 |
| 65 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 20 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 66 | Scored | 122 |
| 47 | Conceded | 36 |
| +19 | GD | +86 |
| 1.91 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 59% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FC Bayern München get us underway at Red Bull Arena.
- 5' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Leon Goretzka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' RB Leipzig currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 26' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Nordi Mukiele.
- 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Julian Nagelsmann will be considering his options from the bench.
- 33' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Joshua Kimmich.
- 38' The Germany Leon Goretzka breaks the deadlock on 38 minutes. 0-1!
- 38' Marcel Sabitzer is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
- 43' It’s high time Hansi Flick made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' Emil Forsberg makes way for Justin Kluivert at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Manuel Neuer, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 61' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Dayot Upamecano.
- 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 72' Serge Gnabry is replacing Kingsley Coman for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
- 73' Yussuf Poulsen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dani Olmo on 73 minute.
- 74' RB Leipzig make a change. Amadou Haidara trudges off to be replaced by Alexander Sorloth on 74 minutes.
- 79' Emil Forsberg has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 81' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a Yellow card on 81.
- 81' Javi Martinez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leroy Sane at the 81 minute mark.
- 82' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 82 minute. Tyler Adams leaves to be changed by Hwang Heechan.
- 87' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 88' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Yussuf Poulsen departs to be replaced by Ibrahima Konate.
- RB Leipzig will have plenty to reflect on. FC Bayern München were simply the better side today.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Justin Kluivert 46'
- 22
- 1
- 16
- 4
- 5
- 7
-
14
Tyler Adams ↓ Hwang Heechan 82'
-
25
Dani Olmo ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 73'
- 8
Bench
-
19
Alexander Sorloth ↑ 74'
- 39
-
11
Hwang Heechan ↑ 82'
- 13
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 73'
- 6
-
21
Justin Kluivert ↑ 46'
- 20
- 33
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
FC Bayern München Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Javi Martinez 81'
- 13
- 1
- 27
- 4
- 6
-
29
Kingsley Coman ↓ Serge Gnabry 72'
- 25
-
18
Leon Goretzka ↓ Jamal Musiala 72'
- 5
- 21
Bench
- 20
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↑ 72'
-
8
Javi Martinez ↑ 81'
- 35
- 22
- 23
- 28
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↑ 72'
- 32
Coach
Hansi Flick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 4 |
| Thomas Muller | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
FC Bayern München Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.08
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
45%
Draw or FC Bayern München
79%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 3
6.5%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 4
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
0 – 4
3.6%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 10% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +1 | 38% | 22% | 40% |
| +1.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +2 | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

