Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, 2018-19 FINAL

DFB-Pokal · 2018-19
Sat 25 May 2019 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — DFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Gittelmann
  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Referee Bibiana Steinhaus

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May FC Bayern München H 0–3 L
18 May SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
11 May FC Bayern München H 0–0 D
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–3 D
27 Apr SC Freiburg H 2–1 W
23 Apr Hamburger SV A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May RB Leipzig A 3–0 W
18 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 5–1 W
11 May RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
04 May Hannover 96 H 3–1 W
28 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg A 1–1 D
24 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 3–2 W

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' RB Leipzig have kicked off against FC Bayern München. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' FC Bayern München has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 15' FC Bayern München have won 1057 goals from 540 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' It’s high time Ralf Rangnick made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 29' Robert Lewandowski has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 29 minutes.
  • 34' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 513 games and scored 719 goals.
  • 44' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ibrahima Konate is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern München.
  • 49' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 49 minutes.
  • 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcel Halstenberg, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 59' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Thomas Muller has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 64' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 65' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Tyler Adams departs to be replaced by Konrad Laimer.
  • 70' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Willi Orban has done his job and it is now time for Dayot Upamecano to step up.
  • 73' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Serge Gnabry departs to be replaced by Arjen Robben.
  • 78' Kingsley Coman has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
  • 82' Dayot Upamecano picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 82' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Ibrahima Konate has done his job and it is now time for Amadou Haidara to step up.
  • 85' A stunning finish from Robert Lewandowski — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 86' Controversy at the stadium! Robert Lewandowski argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 87' Franck Ribery is replacing Kingsley Coman for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Robert Lewandowski on 89.
  • RB Leipzig will have plenty to reflect on. FC Bayern München were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.81 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig24% Draw30% FC Bayern München46%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
54%
Draw or FC Bayern München
76%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig16% Draw52% FC Bayern München32%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.5%
0 – 0
14%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 2
10%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
2 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 24% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
27%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.