Portugal vs Belgium, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Belgium Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.04
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
Belgium xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Belgium win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
53%
Draw or Belgium
75%
Portugal or Belgium
72%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9%
0 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Belgium covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Belgium keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.