Wednesday , 16 September 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 12 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Home Park 15,453 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joe Bryan og 6' 1–0
Ryan Hardie pen 10' 2–0
Mustapha Bundu 53' 3–0
Ryan Hardie 56' 4–0
4–1 80' Joe Bryan
Nikola Katic 86' 5–1
Adam Randell 40' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Home Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Simpson
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Feb Millwall FC H 5–1 W
09 Feb Liverpool FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
25 Jan Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D
22 Jan Burnley FC H 0–5 L
18 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–5 L
08 Feb Leeds United FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W
28 Jan Portsmouth FC A 1–0 W
25 Jan Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
21 Jan Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Plymouth Argyle FC is hosting Millwall FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 6' Millwall FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Joe Bryan on 6.
  • 10' What composure from Ryan Hardie! The Scotland international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 15' Billy Mitchell has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Nikola Katic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Plymouth Argyle FC tonight.
  • 25' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at Home Park. Plymouth Argyle FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' Controversy at the stadium! Adam Randell argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mustapha Bundu made 392 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' Sensational shot from Mustapha Bundu. Plymouth Argyle FC is back in the lead.
  • 56' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryan Hardie makes no mistake. 3-1!
  • 58' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Camiel Neghli departs to be replaced by Raees Bangura-Williams.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Luke Cundle as he leaves the pitch. Femi Azeez steps in for Millwall FC.
  • 62' The Plymouth Argyle FC manager makes a substitution. Nathanael Ogbeta departs to be replaced by Bali Mumba.
  • 63' A tactical swap from Plymouth Argyle FCDarko Gyabi on, Adam Randell off on 63 minutes.
  • 68' It’s high time Alex Neil made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 71' Kornel Szucs is replacing Matthew Sorinola for the Plymouth Argyle FC side.
  • 76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Plymouth Argyle FC and Millwall FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 77' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Duncan Watmore comes on to replace Aaron Connolly.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Plymouth Argyle FC team. Mustapha Bundu is replaced by Rami Hajal on 78 minute.
  • 80' A stunning finish from Joe Bryan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 85' Millwall FC come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 86' Magnificent from Nikola Katic! That is 6 goals in 404 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • The final score is 5-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC or Millwall FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC42% Draw28% Millwall FC30%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Millwall FC
58%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Millwall FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Plymouth Argyle FC31% Draw47% Millwall FC22%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.