Saturday , 5 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 12:30 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,418 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 61' Mihailo Ivanovic

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Alex James (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Millwall FC H 0–1 L
21 Jan Oxford United FC A 2–3 L
18 Jan Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
06 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Norwich City FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
21 Jan Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D
18 Jan Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
13 Jan Dagenham & Redbridge FC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–2 D
01 Jan Oxford United FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Josh Coburn 2 G
Tairyk Arconte 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Kenilworth Road as Luton Town FC face off against Millwall FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Luton Town FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Mark McGuinness has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 17' Aaron Connolly gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Calum Scanlon and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 22' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mihailo Ivanovic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
  • 37' Japhet Tanganga has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 386 appearances.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 47' The 26-year-old Aaron Connolly has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 52' It’s high time Matt Bloomfield made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 57' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' Mihailo Ivanovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 61 minutes.
  • 61' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCElijah Adebayo on, Tom Krauss off on 61 minutes.
  • 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Jacob Brown as he leaves the pitch. Zack Nelson steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 71' George Saville was booked on 71.
  • 74' Poor challenge from Mads Juel Andersen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 76' Liam Walsh is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marvelous Nakamba at the 76 minute mark.
  • 81' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 83' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Duncan Watmore is withdrawn and George Honeyman gets his opportunity.
  • 88' George Honeyman is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Japhet Tanganga. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Lukas Jensen departs to be replaced by Liam Roberts.
  • 0-1 the final result. Luton Town FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC32% Draw33% Millwall FC35%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Millwall FC
68%
Luton Town FC or Millwall FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC21% Draw55% Millwall FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.