Luton Town FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Alex James (England)
3 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Charlton Athletic FC | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Bristol City FC | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Sheffield United FC | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Birmingham City FC | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Millwall FC | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Wrexham AFC | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | West Ham United FC | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Watford FC | 4 | 5 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby County FC | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Lincoln City FC | 4 | 4 |
| 18 | Southampton FC | 4 | 3 |
| 19 | Cardiff City FC | 4 | 3 |
| 20 | Norwich City FC | 4 | 3 |
| 21 | Portsmouth FC | 4 | 3 |
| 22 | Stoke City FC | 4 | 3 |
| 23 | Burnley FC | 4 | 2 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jan | Oxford United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jan | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jan | Norwich City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Luton Town FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | Hull City AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jan | Dagenham & Redbridge FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Josh Coburn | 2 G |
| Tairyk Arconte | 2 G |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Kenilworth Road as Luton Town FC face off against Millwall FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Luton Town FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' Mark McGuinness has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 17' Aaron Connolly gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Calum Scanlon and will look to change the dynamic.
- 22' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mihailo Ivanovic suffering a number of foals already.
- 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
- 37' Japhet Tanganga has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 386 appearances.
- 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 47' The 26-year-old Aaron Connolly has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 52' It’s high time Matt Bloomfield made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 57' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' Mihailo Ivanovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 61 minutes.
- 61' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Elijah Adebayo on, Tom Krauss off on 61 minutes.
- 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 68' The crowd applauds Jacob Brown as he leaves the pitch. Zack Nelson steps in for Luton Town FC.
- 71' George Saville was booked on 71.
- 74' Poor challenge from Mads Juel Andersen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 76' Liam Walsh is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marvelous Nakamba at the 76 minute mark.
- 81' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 83' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Duncan Watmore is withdrawn and George Honeyman gets his opportunity.
- 88' George Honeyman is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
- 90' Poor challenge from Japhet Tanganga. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Lukas Jensen departs to be replaced by Liam Roberts.
- 0-1 the final result. Luton Town FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
13
Marvelous Nakamba ↓ Liam Walsh 76'
-
19
Jacob Brown ↓ Zack Nelson 68'
-
45
Alfie Doughty ↓ Isaiah Jones 68'
- 3
- 9
- 18
- 27
- 24
-
8
Tom Krauss ↓ Elijah Adebayo 61'
- 5
- 6
Bench
-
20
Liam Walsh ↑ 76'
- 29
- 10
- 23
-
11
Elijah Adebayo ↑ 61'
-
25
Isaiah Jones ↑ 68'
- 17
- 2
-
37
Zack Nelson ↑ 68'
Coach
Matt Bloomfield
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 19
- 15
- 23
- 24
- 6
- 52
-
1
Lukas Jensen ↓ Liam Roberts 90'
- 26
-
33
Calum Scanlon ↓ Aaron Connolly 17'
- 31
Bench
-
9
Aaron Connolly ↑ 17'
- 4
- 3
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 83'
- 45
-
13
Liam Roberts ↑ 90'
- 8
- 12
- 29
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Elijah Adebayo | 3 |
| Harry Cornick | 2 |
| Connor Mahoney | 2 |
| Benik Afobe | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
| Callum McManaman | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Millwall FC
68%
Luton Town FC or Millwall FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 19% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

