Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 12:30 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,418 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 61' Mihailo Ivanovic

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Alex James (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Millwall FC H 0–1 L
21 Jan Oxford United FC A 2–3 L
18 Jan Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
06 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Norwich City FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
21 Jan Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D
18 Jan Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
13 Jan Dagenham & Redbridge FC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–2 D
01 Jan Oxford United FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Luton Town FC and Millwall FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' The travelling Millwall FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
  • 17' Aaron Connolly is replacing Calum Scanlon for the Millwall FC side.
  • 22' Lukas Jensen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 32' It’s high time Alex Neil made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 47' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 52' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Amari'i Bell has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 57' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
  • 61' GOAL! Mihailo Ivanovic scores on 61. Assisted by Raees Bangura-Williams
  • 61' The whistle greets Tom Krauss as he departs to be replaced by Elijah Adebayo.
  • 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alfie Doughty made 378 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 68' Zack Nelson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jacob Brown on 68 minute.
  • 71' Millwall FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 74' It’s gonna be a card for Mads Juel Andersen.
  • 76' Liam Walsh has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marvelous Nakamba on 76 minute.
  • 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 83' Another change for Millwall FC made on 83 minute. Duncan Watmore leaves to be changed by George Honeyman.
  • 88' The referee calls foul for George Honeyman. He receives a card.
  • 90' Japhet Tanganga is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Lukas Jensen is replaced by Liam Roberts on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Millwall FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC32% Draw33% Millwall FC35%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Millwall FC
68%
Luton Town FC or Millwall FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC21% Draw55% Millwall FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.