Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 12:30 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,418 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 61' Mihailo Ivanovic

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Alex James (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Millwall FC H 0–1 L
21 Jan Oxford United FC A 2–3 L
18 Jan Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
06 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Norwich City FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
21 Jan Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D
18 Jan Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
13 Jan Dagenham & Redbridge FC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–2 D
01 Jan Oxford United FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Millwall FC gets underway.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 17' Another change for Millwall FC made on 17 minute. Calum Scanlon leaves to be changed by Aaron Connolly.
  • 22' Mads Juel Andersen has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 27' Daiki Hashioka has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 439 appearances.
  • 32' It’s high time Matt Bloomfield made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 42' Luton Town FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 47' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jordan Clark made 231 appearances and scored 34 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 52' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Millwall FC backline.
  • 57' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 61' What composure from Mihailo Ivanovic! The Serbia international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Elijah Adebayo. He replaces Tom Krauss on 61 minute.
  • 66' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Luton Town FC and Millwall FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 68' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Jacob Brown is replaced by Zack Nelson.
  • 71' George Saville picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mads Juel Andersen on 74.
  • 76' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Liam Walsh is hanging Marvelous Nakamba on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' Supporters expect more eagerness from Casper De Norre, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 83' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Duncan Watmore exits the field as George Honeyman enters on 83.
  • 88' The referee shows Millwall FC player a card on 88.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Japhet Tanganga on 90 minutes earns him a card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Lukas Jensen as he leaves the pitch. Liam Roberts steps in for Millwall FC.
  • Another three points for Millwall FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC32% Draw33% Millwall FC35%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Millwall FC
68%
Luton Town FC or Millwall FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC21% Draw55% Millwall FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.