Luton Town FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Alex James (England)
5 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jan | Oxford United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jan | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jan | Norwich City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Luton Town FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | Hull City AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jan | Dagenham & Redbridge FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Millwall FC get us underway at Kenilworth Road.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Matt Bloomfield might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Duncan Watmore needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 17' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aaron Connolly is hanging Calum Scanlon on the field on 17 minute.
- 22' Denmark international Mads Juel Andersen has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Krauss made 519 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 42' Liam Walsh has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 395 appearances.
- 47' Jacob Brown has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 57' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 61' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mihailo Ivanovic makes it 0-1.
- 61' Elijah Adebayo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tom Krauss on 61 minute.
- 66' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Zack Nelson. He replaces Jacob Brown on 68 minute.
- 71' George Saville was booked on 71.
- 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mads Juel Andersen on 74 minutes.
- 76' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Marvelous Nakamba is replaced by Liam Walsh.
- 81' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 83' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Duncan Watmore by George Honeyman on 83 minute.
- 88' Millwall FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
- 90' A moment of madness from Japhet Tanganga on 90 minutes earns him a card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
- 90' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Lukas Jensen exits the field as Liam Roberts enters on 90.
- Full Time. Millwall FC beats Luton Town FC
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
13
Marvelous Nakamba ↓ Liam Walsh 76'
-
19
Jacob Brown ↓ Zack Nelson 68'
-
45
Alfie Doughty ↓ Isaiah Jones 68'
- 3
- 9
- 18
- 27
- 24
-
8
Tom Krauss ↓ Elijah Adebayo 61'
- 5
- 6
Bench
-
20
Liam Walsh ↑ 76'
- 29
- 10
- 23
-
11
Elijah Adebayo ↑ 61'
-
25
Isaiah Jones ↑ 68'
- 17
- 2
-
37
Zack Nelson ↑ 68'
Coach
Matt Bloomfield
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 19
- 15
- 23
- 24
- 6
- 52
-
1
Lukas Jensen ↓ Liam Roberts 90'
- 26
-
33
Calum Scanlon ↓ Aaron Connolly 17'
- 31
Bench
-
9
Aaron Connolly ↑ 17'
- 4
- 3
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 83'
- 45
-
13
Liam Roberts ↑ 90'
- 8
- 12
- 29
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Elijah Adebayo | 3 |
| Harry Cornick | 2 |
| Connor Mahoney | 2 |
| Benik Afobe | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
| Callum McManaman | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Millwall FC
68%
Luton Town FC or Millwall FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 19% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

