Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 12:30 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,418 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 61' Mihailo Ivanovic

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Alex James (England)
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Millwall FC H 0–1 L
21 Jan Oxford United FC A 2–3 L
18 Jan Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
06 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Norwich City FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
21 Jan Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D
18 Jan Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
13 Jan Dagenham & Redbridge FC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–2 D
01 Jan Oxford United FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Millwall FC get us underway at Kenilworth Road.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Matt Bloomfield might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Duncan Watmore needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 17' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aaron Connolly is hanging Calum Scanlon on the field on 17 minute.
  • 22' Denmark international Mads Juel Andersen has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Krauss made 519 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 37' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 42' Liam Walsh has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 395 appearances.
  • 47' Jacob Brown has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 57' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 61' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mihailo Ivanovic makes it 0-1.
  • 61' Elijah Adebayo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tom Krauss on 61 minute.
  • 66' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Zack Nelson. He replaces Jacob Brown on 68 minute.
  • 71' George Saville was booked on 71.
  • 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mads Juel Andersen on 74 minutes.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Marvelous Nakamba is replaced by Liam Walsh.
  • 81' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 83' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Duncan Watmore by George Honeyman on 83 minute.
  • 88' Millwall FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Japhet Tanganga on 90 minutes earns him a card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Lukas Jensen exits the field as Liam Roberts enters on 90.
  • Full Time. Millwall FC beats Luton Town FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC32% Draw33% Millwall FC35%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Millwall FC
68%
Luton Town FC or Millwall FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC21% Draw55% Millwall FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.