Saturday , 14 November 2026

Leeds United FC vs Millwall FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 12:15 UTC Elland Road 34,923 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 30' Femi Azeez
0–2 55' Femi Azeez

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Millwall FC — FA Cup at Elland Road.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Millwall FC H 0–2 L
05 Feb Coventry City FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Cardiff City FC H 7–0 W
27 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
22 Jan Norwich City FC H 2–0 W
19 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Leeds United FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W
28 Jan Portsmouth FC A 1–0 W
25 Jan Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
21 Jan Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D
18 Jan Hull City AFC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Leeds United FC to score. At the same time, Millwall FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Leeds United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Raees Bangura-Williams, as he is very good at scoring at Elland Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' Leeds United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' The deadlock is broken! Femi Azeez gets on the scoresheet on 30 minutes.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Leeds United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 39' A moment of madness from Josuha Guilavogui on 39 minutes earns him a card. Leeds United FC will be frustrated.
  • 44' Jake Cooper is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Leeds United FC so far.
  • 49' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Rothwell suffering a number of foals already.
  • 54' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 55' Against the run of play, Femi Azeez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 60' Both keepers have barely been tested. Leeds United FC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 65' Leeds United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 69' The whistle greets Mihailo Ivanovic as he departs to be replaced by Duncan Watmore.
  • 70' A change in the Leeds United FC ranks — Josuha Guilavogui exits the field as Ao Tanaka enters on 70.
  • 74' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Femi Azeez is replaced by George Honeyman on 74 minute.
  • 79' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Leeds United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 80' Leeds United FC make a change. Wilfried Gnonto trudges off to be replaced by Joel Piroe on 80 minutes.
  • 81' Daniel Kelly is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luke Cundle at the 81 minute mark.
  • 83' The Leeds United FC bench stirs into life. Ethan Ampadu is withdrawn and James Debayo gets his opportunity.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Japhet Tanganga. He receives a card.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Casper De Norre. He receives a card.
  • Millwall FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.41 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC42% Draw29% Millwall FC29%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Millwall FC
58%
Leeds United FC or Millwall FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC31% Draw49% Millwall FC20%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.