Sunday , 16 August 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Liverpool FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 9 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Home Park 16,724 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ryan Hardie pen 53' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Liverpool FCFA Cup at Home Park.

Head-to-Head

1
Plymouth Argyle FC 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals Liverpool FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Liverpool FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
25 Jan Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D
22 Jan Burnley FC H 0–5 L
18 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–1 L
14 Jan Oxford United FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–1 L
01 Feb AFC Bournemouth A 2–0 W
29 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
25 Jan Ipswich Town FC H 4–1 W
21 Jan Lille OSC H 2–1 W
18 Jan Brentford FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Plymouth Argyle FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Plymouth Argyle FC launch into their encounter with Liverpool FC.
  • 5' Julio Pleguezuelo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 414 appearances.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Trent Doherty, as he is very good at scoring at Home Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 11' Joe Gomez makes way for Isaac Mabaya at the 11 minute mark. A tactical switch from Liverpool FC.
  • 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Diogo Jota suffering a number of foals already.
  • 18' That is a card for Liverpool FC. Trey Nyoni will be fuming at that decision.
  • 23' Mustapha Bundu, a Sierra Leone , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 43' A moment of madness from Isaac Mabaya on 43 minutes earns him a card. Liverpool FC will be frustrated.
  • 48' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 53' A goal from the Scotland international Ryan Hardie! He fires home on 53 to make it 1-0!
  • 58' Another change for Liverpool FC made on 58 minute. Isaac Mabaya leaves to be changed by Darwin Nunez.
  • 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 67' Plymouth Argyle FC make a change. Julio Pleguezuelo trudges off to be replaced by Victor Palsson on 67 minutes.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Mustapha Bundu is booked for Plymouth Argyle FC — card on 70.
  • 72' Another change for Plymouth Argyle FC made on 72 minute. Mustapha Bundu leaves to be changed by Muhamed Tijani.
  • 73' Plymouth Argyle FC ring the changes. Adam Randell has done his job and it is now time for Malachi Boateng to step up.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Liverpool FC team. Trey Nyoni is replaced by Trent Doherty on 76 minute.
  • 79' Matthew Sorinola was booked on 79.
  • 81' Michael Obafemi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryan Hardie at the 81 minute mark.
  • 86' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 90' Conor Hazard has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Plymouth Argyle FC and Liverpool FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC42% Draw30% Liverpool FC28%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Liverpool FC
58%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Liverpool FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC26% Draw53% Liverpool FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.