Thursday , 2 July 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Tue 3 Oct 2023 · 18:45 UTC Home Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 59' Zian Flemming
0–2 90+8' George Saville

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Home Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Assistant 1 Hristo Karaivanov
  • Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg

Head-to-Head

1
3
Plymouth Argyle FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Millwall FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Millwall FC H 0–2 L
30 Sep Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Norwich City FC H 6–2 W
19 Sep Bristol City FC A 1–4 L
16 Sep Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
02 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–0 W
30 Sep Swansea City AFC H 0–3 L
23 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
20 Sep Rotherham United FC H 3–0 W
17 Sep Leeds United FC H 0–3 L
02 Sep Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Plymouth Argyle FC welcome Millwall FC for this crunch clash at Home Park.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steven Schumacher will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Plymouth Argyle FC have won 402 goals from 331 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' Casper De Norre is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Plymouth Argyle FC tonight.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Home Park. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 31' Poor challenge from Mickel Miller. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 41' Plymouth Argyle FC is showing some good football. However, Plymouth Argyle FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 51' Duncan Watmore, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 52' Dan McNamara was booked on 52.
  • 54' A moment of madness from Allan Campbell on 54 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
  • 59' Zian Flemming does the damage! The net is bulging and Millwall FC surge ahead!
  • 63' Plymouth Argyle FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 68' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 72' The Plymouth Argyle FC bench stirs into life. Mickel Miller is withdrawn and Luke Cundle gets his opportunity.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Duncan Watmore as he leaves the pitch. Romain Esse steps in for Millwall FC.
  • 81' Over 81 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Plymouth Argyle FC. Morgan Whittaker is replaced by Matt Butcher.
  • 85' Murray Wallace is replacing Dan McNamara for the Millwall FC side.
  • 89' That is a Yellow card for Millwall FC. Ryan Leonard will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Murray Wallace.
  • 90' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Billy Mitchell is hanging Kevin Nisbet on the field on 90 minute.
  • Plymouth Argyle FC will have plenty to reflect on. Millwall FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC or Millwall FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC31% Draw30% Millwall FC39%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Millwall FC
69%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Millwall FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC22% Draw49% Millwall FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.