Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Tue 3 Oct 2023 · 18:45 UTC Home Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 59' Zian Flemming
0–2 90+8' George Saville

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Home Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Assistant 1 Hristo Karaivanov
  • Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
3
Plymouth Argyle FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Millwall FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Millwall FC H 0–2 L
30 Sep Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Norwich City FC H 6–2 W
19 Sep Bristol City FC A 1–4 L
16 Sep Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
02 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–0 W
30 Sep Swansea City AFC H 0–3 L
23 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
20 Sep Rotherham United FC H 3–0 W
17 Sep Leeds United FC H 0–3 L
02 Sep Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Plymouth Argyle FC welcome Millwall FC for this crunch clash at Home Park.
  • 5' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Rowett will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' It looks surprising Plymouth Argyle FC does not make any changes. Kaine Kesler has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Plymouth Argyle FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Millwall FC's compact 3-4-1-2.
  • 25' Jordan Houghton needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 30' Plymouth Argyle FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 31' Mickel Miller was booked on 31.
  • 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dan McNamara is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Plymouth Argyle FC.
  • 46' Ryan Hardie has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Plymouth Argyle FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 52' That is a Yellow card for Millwall FC. Dan McNamara will be fuming at that decision.
  • 54' Allan Campbell has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 54.
  • 59' Brilliant from the forward! Zian Flemming makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 59.
  • 63' Julio Pleguezuelo picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 68' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 72' It is a substitution in Plymouth Argyle FC team. Mickel Miller is replaced by Luke Cundle on 72 minute.
  • 76' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Duncan Watmore by Romain Esse on 76 minute.
  • 81' Murray Wallace has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 83' Plymouth Argyle FC make a change. Morgan Whittaker trudges off to be replaced by Matt Butcher on 83 minutes.
  • 85' Murray Wallace gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Dan McNamara and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ryan Leonard.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Murray Wallace on 90.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Billy Mitchell comes on to replace Kevin Nisbet.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Millwall FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC or Millwall FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC31% Draw30% Millwall FC39%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Millwall FC
69%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Millwall FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC22% Draw49% Millwall FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.