Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 23 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC The Den 13,954 HT 45' · FT 45'
Romain Esse 13' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Plymouth Argyle FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
19 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
01 Oct Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
28 Sep Preston North End FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Millwall FC A 0–1 L
19 Oct Cardiff City FC A 0–5 L
05 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
01 Oct Burnley FC A 0–1 L
27 Sep Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to The Den that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Plymouth Argyle FC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lukas Jensen, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 8' Millwall FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 13' Romain Esse puts Millwall FC on the lead.
  • 18' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 23' It looks surprising Plymouth Argyle FC does not make any changes. Japhet Tanganga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 28' Plymouth Argyle FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Plymouth Argyle FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Femi Azeez made 379 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 43' Plymouth Argyle FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Millwall FC player. Femi Azeez gets a card.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' The referee shows Millwall FC player a card on 59.
  • 62' Andre Gray is replacing Ryan Hardie for the Plymouth Argyle FC side.
  • 63' Plymouth Argyle FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
  • 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 70' Ryan Wintle is replacing Femi Azeez for the Millwall FC side.
  • 75' It looks like no one’s ball. Plymouth Argyle FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 76' Millwall FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 78' Macaulay Langstaff has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mihailo Ivanovic on 78 minute.
  • 80' Michael Obafemi is replacing Darko Gyabi for the Plymouth Argyle FC side.
  • 84' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dan McNamara is hanging Romain Esse on the field on 84 minute.
  • 85' It’s a booking for Millwall FC player. Joe Bryan gets a card.
  • 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Morgan Whittaker suffering a number of foals already.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC58% Draw27% Plymouth Argyle FC15%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
42%
Millwall FC or Plymouth Argyle FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC38% Draw51% Plymouth Argyle FC11%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.3%
2 – 0
13%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.4%
0 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 18% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 27% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
54%
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.