Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Philadelphia Union

2 – 0

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 12 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Jovan Lukic 62' Y

Nathan Harriel 62' Y

Y 84' Omar Valencia

Y 90' Dennis Gjengaar

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 19 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-08-31 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-05-06 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	2–0	W
06 Jul	Nashville SC	A	0–1	L
29 Jun	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–1	L
26 Jun	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–0	W
14 Jun	Charlotte FC	H	2–1	W
01 Jun	FC Dallas	A	0–0	D

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	0–2	L
06 Jul	San Jose Earthquakes	A	1–1	D
28 Jun	Minnesota United FC	H	2–2	D
25 Jun	Toronto FC	A	1–1	D
15 Jun	Austin FC	A	1–2	L
31 May	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York Red Bulls
#13	Position	#8
16	Points	25
18	Played	18
4 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
25	Scored	29
33	Conceded	39
-8	GD	-10
0.89	PPG	1.39
22%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

37% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

26% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Subaru Park will turn into a battlefield for Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls.
5' Jacob Glesnes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 20 cards already picked up this season.
9' Indiana Vassilev doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
14' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maxim Choupo-Moting made 520 appearances and scored 68 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
19' Supporters expect more eagerness from Emil Forsberg, as he is very good at scoring at Subaru Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
24' Bruno Damiani doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
29' Philadelphia Union are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's shape.
34' Philadelphia Union is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Olwethu Makhanya is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
44' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
46' The crowd applauds Daniel Edelman as he leaves the pitch. Ronald Donkor steps in for New York Red Bulls.
51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bradley Carnell might look to freshen things up shortly.
56' Omar Valencia, a Panama , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
61' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Indiana Vassilev scoring 1 goals.
62' Poor challenge from Jovan Lukic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
67' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
72' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
73' Frankie Westfield is replacing Quinn Sullivan for the Philadelphia Union side.
78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
83' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
84' The referee calls foul for Omar Valencia. He receives a card.
86' New York Red Bulls make a change. Kyle Duncan trudges off to be replaced by Dennis Gjengaar on 86 minutes.
87' The whistle greets Indiana Vassilev as he departs to be replaced by Alejandro Bedoya.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Dennis Gjengaar is booked for New York Red Bulls — card on 90.
90' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Nathan Harriel is replaced by Chris Donovan.
Full Time. Philadelphia Union beats New York Red Bulls

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
19
Indiana Vassilev ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 87'
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Frankie Westfield 73'
26
Nathan Harriel ↓ Chris Donovan 90'
21
Danley Jean Jacques
5
Jacob Glesnes
9
Tai Baribo ↓ Jeremy Rafanello 87'
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Sal Olivas 73'
29
Olwethu Makhanya
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 87'
15
Olivier Mbaizo
16
Ben Bender
25
Chris Donovan ↑ 90'
14
Jeremy Rafanello ↑ 87'
76
Andrew Rick
6
Cavan Sullivan
39
Frankie Westfield ↑ 73'
55
Sal Olivas ↑ 73'

Coach Bradley Carnell

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting
42
Alexander Hack
10
Emil Forsberg
6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 86'
15
Sean Nealis
3
Noah Eile ↓ Omar Valencia 46'
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman ↓ Ronald Donkor 46'
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Wiktor Bogacz 86'
8
Peter Stroud ↓ Julian Hall 73'
37
Mohammed Sofo

Bench

26
Tim Parker
12
Dylan Nealis
1
AJ Marcucci
48
Ronald Donkor ↑ 46'
5
Omar Valencia ↑ 46'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 73'
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 86'
7
Wiktor Bogacz ↑ 86'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Kaku	2
Indiana Vassilev	2
Kacper Przybylko	2
Ilsinho	2
Tom Barlow	2
Sergio Santos	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls W 2025-07-06 Nashville SC 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-06-29 Columbus Crew SC 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-06-26 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 Philadelphia Union W 2025-06-14 Philadelphia Union 2–1 Charlotte FC W 2025-06-01 FC Dallas 0–0 Philadelphia Union D

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-07-06 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-06-28 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Minnesota United FC D 2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-06-15 Austin FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-31 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Atlanta United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Philadelphia Union to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union59% Draw23% New York Red Bulls18%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 3.08

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

81%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

41%

Philadelphia Union or New York Red Bulls

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union41% Draw42% New York Red Bulls17%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 1

9.6%

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 0

8.5%

3 – 1

6.4%

0 – 0

6.2%

3 – 0

5.9%

1 – 2

5.2%

2 – 2

5.2%

0 – 1

4.2%

3 – 2

3.5%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	18%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	22%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.