Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Philadelphia Union

2 – 0

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 12 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Jovan Lukic 62' Y

Nathan Harriel 62' Y

Y 84' Omar Valencia

Y 90' Dennis Gjengaar

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-08-31 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-05-06 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	2–0	W
06 Jul	Nashville SC	A	0–1	L
29 Jun	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–1	L
26 Jun	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–0	W
14 Jun	Charlotte FC	H	2–1	W
01 Jun	FC Dallas	A	0–0	D

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	0–2	L
06 Jul	San Jose Earthquakes	A	1–1	D
28 Jun	Minnesota United FC	H	2–2	D
25 Jun	Toronto FC	A	1–1	D
15 Jun	Austin FC	A	1–2	L
31 May	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York Red Bulls
#6	Position	#11
50	Points	42
34	Played	34
14 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16
66	Scored	48
52	Conceded	62
+14	GD	-14
1.47	PPG	1.24
41%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

6/7

31-45

8/7

46-60

12/2

61-75

17/5

76+

8/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	19 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	13 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	9 G	6 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Philadelphia Union have kicked off against New York Red Bulls. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Daniel Edelman needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
9' Indiana Vassilev has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
14' Philadelphia Union have won 521 goals from 305 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
19' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
24' A goal from the Uruguay international Bruno Damiani! He fires home on 24 to make it 2-0!
29' Maxim Choupo-Moting is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wikelmann Carmona suffering a number of foals already.
39' Sean Nealis has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
46' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Daniel Edelman exits the field as Ronald Donkor enters on 46.
51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kyle Duncan made 302 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
56' Carlos Coronel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
61' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
62' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 62.
67' USA international Quinn Sullivan has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
72' It looks surprising Philadelphia Union does not make any changes. Noah Eile has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
73' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Frankie Westfield comes on to replace Quinn Sullivan.
78' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
83' Both keepers have barely been tested. Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
84' Omar Valencia picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
86' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Kyle Duncan is replaced by Dennis Gjengaar.
87' Philadelphia Union make a change. Indiana Vassilev trudges off to be replaced by Alejandro Bedoya on 87 minutes.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dennis Gjengaar on 90.
90' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Chris Donovan comes on to replace Nathan Harriel.
Philadelphia Union celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
19
Indiana Vassilev ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 87'
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Frankie Westfield 73'
26
Nathan Harriel ↓ Chris Donovan 90'
21
Danley Jean Jacques
5
Jacob Glesnes
9
Tai Baribo ↓ Jeremy Rafanello 87'
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Sal Olivas 73'
29
Olwethu Makhanya
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 87'
15
Olivier Mbaizo
16
Ben Bender
25
Chris Donovan ↑ 90'
14
Jeremy Rafanello ↑ 87'
76
Andrew Rick
6
Cavan Sullivan
39
Frankie Westfield ↑ 73'
55
Sal Olivas ↑ 73'

Coach Bradley Carnell

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting
42
Alexander Hack
10
Emil Forsberg
6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 86'
15
Sean Nealis
3
Noah Eile ↓ Omar Valencia 46'
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman ↓ Ronald Donkor 46'
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Wiktor Bogacz 86'
8
Peter Stroud ↓ Julian Hall 73'
37
Mohammed Sofo

Bench

26
Tim Parker
12
Dylan Nealis
1
AJ Marcucci
48
Ronald Donkor ↑ 46'
5
Omar Valencia ↑ 46'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 73'
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 86'
7
Wiktor Bogacz ↑ 86'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Kaku	2
Indiana Vassilev	2
Kacper Przybylko	2
Milan Iloski	2
Ilsinho	2
Neil Pierre	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls W 2025-07-06 Nashville SC 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-06-29 Columbus Crew SC 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-06-26 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 Philadelphia Union W 2025-06-14 Philadelphia Union 2–1 Charlotte FC W 2025-06-01 FC Dallas 0–0 Philadelphia Union D

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-07-06 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-06-28 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Minnesota United FC D 2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-06-15 Austin FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-31 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Atlanta United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.18 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.84 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Philadelphia Union to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union65% Draw21% New York Red Bulls14%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 3.02

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

86%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

35%

Philadelphia Union or New York Red Bulls

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union48% Draw41% New York Red Bulls11%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 0

10.2%

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

9.4%

3 – 0

8.1%

3 – 1

6.8%

0 – 0

6.5%

4 – 0

4.4%

2 – 2

4 – 1

3.8%

1 – 2

3.6%

0 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	23%	—	77%
-2	23%	20%	57%
-1.5	43%	—	57%
-1	43%	23%	34%
-0.5	66%	—	34%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	8%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.