New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

1 – 0

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Dylan Nealis 77' Y

Wiktor Bogacz 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-08-31 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
10 Aug	Real Salt Lake	H	2–1	W
27 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	0–1	L
19 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–5	L
16 Jul	New England Revolution	H	5–3	W
12 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	0–2	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
09 Aug	Toronto FC	H	1–1	D
26 Jul	Colorado Rapids SC	H	3–1	W
20 Jul	Houston Dynamo	A	1–1	D
16 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–1	W
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Philadelphia Union
#11	Position	#6
42	Points	50
34	Played	34
12 / 6 / 16	W / D / L	14 / 8 / 12
48	Scored	66
62	Conceded	52
-14	GD	+14
1.24	PPG	1.47
35%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

6/7

31-45

8/7

46-60

12/2

61-75

17/5

76+

8/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	19 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	13 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	9 G	6 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
10' New York Red Bulls are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Philadelphia Union backline.
15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
20' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
25' Emil Forsberg needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
28' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Andre Blake is withdrawn and Andrew Rick gets his opportunity.
33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
43' Jesus Bueno has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
46' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Chris Donovan is replaced by Bruno Damiani.
51' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Milan Iloski scoring 2 goals.
56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mikkel Uhre made 305 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
58' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Serge Ngoma exits the field as Dennis Gjengaar enters on 58.
61' The whistle greets Alejandro Bedoya as he departs to be replaced by Quinn Sullivan.
66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
71' Philadelphia Union seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
74' New York Red Bulls is taking the lead after the goal scored by Dylan Nealis on 74.
77' Dylan Nealis picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
79' The Philadelphia Union manager makes a substitution. Jesus Bueno departs to be replaced by Danley Jean Jacques.
82' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Emil Forsberg is replaced by Julian Hall on 82 minute.
87' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
90' Wiktor Bogacz is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
90' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Wikelmann Carmona is withdrawn and Sean Nealis gets his opportunity.
New York Red Bulls celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↓ Wiktor Bogacz 90'
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Julian Hall 82'
26
Tim Parker
44
Raheem Edwards
12
Dylan Nealis
3
Noah Eile
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman
81
Serge Ngoma ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 58'
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Sean Nealis 90'
8
Peter Stroud

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake ↓ Andrew Rick 28'
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↓ Quinn Sullivan 61'
15
Olivier Mbaizo
32
Milan Iloski
26
Nathan Harriel
8
Jesus Bueno ↓ Danley Jean Jacques 79'
25
Chris Donovan ↓ Bruno Damiani 46'
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Tai Baribo 61'
29
Olwethu Makhanya
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Kacper Przybylko	2
Milan Iloski	2
Ilsinho	2
Neil Pierre	2
Tom Barlow	2
Sergio Santos	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-10 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Real Salt Lake W 2025-07-27 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-07-19 New York Red Bulls 1–5 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-07-16 New York Red Bulls 5–3 New England Revolution W 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls L

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-09 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC D 2025-07-26 Philadelphia Union 3–1 Colorado Rapids SC W 2025-07-20 Houston Dynamo 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2025-07-16 Philadelphia Union 2–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.33 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls33% Draw26% Philadelphia Union41%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.06

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

59%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

67%

New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls23% Draw44% Philadelphia Union33%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.7%

1 – 2

0 – 1

7.4%

0 – 2

2 – 1

6.9%

0 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 3

5.2%

2 – 0

4.1%

0 – 3

3.9%

2 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	16%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	21%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	14%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

19% ✗

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.