New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

1 – 0

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Dylan Nealis 77' Y

Wiktor Bogacz 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-08-31 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
10 Aug	Real Salt Lake	H	2–1	W
27 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	0–1	L
19 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–5	L
16 Jul	New England Revolution	H	5–3	W
12 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	0–2	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
09 Aug	Toronto FC	H	1–1	D
26 Jul	Colorado Rapids SC	H	3–1	W
20 Jul	Houston Dynamo	A	1–1	D
16 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–1	W
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Philadelphia Union
#10	Position	#6
33	Points	39
26	Played	27
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	11 / 6 / 10
34	Scored	54
48	Conceded	44
-14	GD	+10
1.27	PPG	1.44
35%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

4/7

31-45

6/4

46-60

9/1

61-75

14/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	16 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	8 G	1 A
Cavan Sullivan	7 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union has kicked off!
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
10' Tai Baribo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
20' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Milan Iloski scoring 2 goals.
25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bradley Carnell might look to freshen things up shortly.
28' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Andre Blake has done his job and it is now time for Andrew Rick to step up.
33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Philadelphia Union winning 100% of all matches.
38' The travelling Philadelphia Union supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
43' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
46' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Bruno Damiani comes on to replace Chris Donovan.
51' Philadelphia Union are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
56' It’s high time Sandro Schwarz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
58' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 58 minute. Serge Ngoma leaves to be changed by Dennis Gjengaar.
61' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Quinn Sullivan on, Alejandro Bedoya off on 61 minutes.
66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
74' What a strike from Dylan Nealis! The score is 1-0.
77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dylan Nealis on 77 minutes.
79' Jesus Bueno makes way for Danley Jean Jacques at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Philadelphia Union.
82' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Emil Forsberg exits the field as Julian Hall enters on 82.
87' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
90' A moment of madness from Wiktor Bogacz on 90 minutes earns him a card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
90' The crowd applauds Wikelmann Carmona as he leaves the pitch. Sean Nealis steps in for New York Red Bulls.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↓ Wiktor Bogacz 90'
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Julian Hall 82'
26
Tim Parker
44
Raheem Edwards
12
Dylan Nealis
3
Noah Eile
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman
81
Serge Ngoma ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 58'
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Sean Nealis 90'
8
Peter Stroud

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake ↓ Andrew Rick 28'
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↓ Quinn Sullivan 61'
15
Olivier Mbaizo
32
Milan Iloski
26
Nathan Harriel
8
Jesus Bueno ↓ Danley Jean Jacques 79'
25
Chris Donovan ↓ Bruno Damiani 46'
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Tai Baribo 61'
29
Olwethu Makhanya
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Tom Barlow	2
Sergio Santos	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Kaku	2
Indiana Vassilev	2
Kacper Przybylko	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-10 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Real Salt Lake W 2025-07-27 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-07-19 New York Red Bulls 1–5 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-07-16 New York Red Bulls 5–3 New England Revolution W 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls L

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-09 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC D 2025-07-26 Philadelphia Union 3–1 Colorado Rapids SC W 2025-07-20 Houston Dynamo 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2025-07-16 Philadelphia Union 2–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.32 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.78 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls33% Draw26% Philadelphia Union41%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.1

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

58%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

67%

New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls22% Draw43% Philadelphia Union35%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 1

7.2%

0 – 2

7.1%

2 – 1

6.7%

0 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

1 – 3

5.4%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 3

4.1%

2 – 0

3.9%

2 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	15%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	21%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

18% ✗

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.