New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

1 – 0

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Dylan Nealis 77' Y

Wiktor Bogacz 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 19 games · Avg 2.3 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-08-31 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
10 Aug	Real Salt Lake	H	2–1	W
27 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	0–1	L
19 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–5	L
16 Jul	New England Revolution	H	5–3	W
12 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	0–2	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
09 Aug	Toronto FC	H	1–1	D
26 Jul	Colorado Rapids SC	H	3–1	W
20 Jul	Houston Dynamo	A	1–1	D
16 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–1	W
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Philadelphia Union
#8	Position	#13
25	Points	16
18	Played	18
7 / 4 / 7	W / D / L	4 / 4 / 10
29	Scored	25
39	Conceded	33
-10	GD	-8
1.39	PPG	0.89
39%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

37% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

26% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Red Bull Arena. New York Red Bulls are looking to make home advantage count against Philadelphia Union.
5' It’s high time Bradley Carnell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
10' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Indiana Vassilev scoring 1 goals.
15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Quinn Sullivan made 289 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
20' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
25' Nathan Harriel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
28' The whistle greets Andre Blake as he departs to be replaced by Andrew Rick.
33' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York Red Bulls must find a spark to ignite this game.
38' New York Red Bulls are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Philadelphia Union's shape.
43' Emil Forsberg needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 14 Yellow cards this season.
46' Philadelphia Union make a change. Chris Donovan trudges off to be replaced by Bruno Damiani on 46 minutes.
51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
58' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Serge Ngoma by Dennis Gjengaar on 58 minute.
61' Quinn Sullivan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alejandro Bedoya on 61 minute.
66' Tai Baribo, a Israel , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
71' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
74' Dylan Nealis is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
77' The referee calls foul for Dylan Nealis. He receives a card.
79' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Jesus Bueno is withdrawn and Danley Jean Jacques gets his opportunity.
82' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Emil Forsberg by Julian Hall on 82 minute.
87' It is a cagey affair so far. New York Red Bulls in their trying to find a way past Philadelphia Union's compact .
90' New York Red Bulls player sees a card in front of him.
90' Wikelmann Carmona makes way for Sean Nealis at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
Philadelphia Union will have plenty to reflect on. New York Red Bulls were simply the better side today.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↓ Wiktor Bogacz 90'
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Julian Hall 82'
26
Tim Parker
44
Raheem Edwards
12
Dylan Nealis
3
Noah Eile
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman
81
Serge Ngoma ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 58'
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Sean Nealis 90'
8
Peter Stroud

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake ↓ Andrew Rick 28'
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↓ Quinn Sullivan 61'
15
Olivier Mbaizo
32
Milan Iloski
26
Nathan Harriel
8
Jesus Bueno ↓ Danley Jean Jacques 79'
25
Chris Donovan ↓ Bruno Damiani 46'
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Tai Baribo 61'
29
Olwethu Makhanya
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Omir Fernandez	2
Kaku	2
Indiana Vassilev	2
Kacper Przybylko	2
Ilsinho	2
Tom Barlow	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-10 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Real Salt Lake W 2025-07-27 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-07-19 New York Red Bulls 1–5 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-07-16 New York Red Bulls 5–3 New England Revolution W 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls L

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-09 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC D 2025-07-26 Philadelphia Union 3–1 Colorado Rapids SC W 2025-07-20 Houston Dynamo 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2025-07-16 Philadelphia Union 2–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.62 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.58 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls40% Draw26% Philadelphia Union34%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.2

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

66%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

60%

New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls29% Draw43% Philadelphia Union28%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

7.9%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

5.7%

0 – 1

5.7%

2 – 0

5.3%

0 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

4.4%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	18%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	18%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

21% ✗

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.