New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

1 – 0

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Dylan Nealis 77' Y

Wiktor Bogacz 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-08-31 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
10 Aug	Real Salt Lake	H	2–1	W
27 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	0–1	L
19 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–5	L
16 Jul	New England Revolution	H	5–3	W
12 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	0–2	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
09 Aug	Toronto FC	H	1–1	D
26 Jul	Colorado Rapids SC	H	3–1	W
20 Jul	Houston Dynamo	A	1–1	D
16 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–1	W
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Philadelphia Union
#5	Position	#15
22	Points	7
15	Played	15
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	1 / 4 / 10
25	Scored	18
32	Conceded	30
-7	GD	-12
1.47	PPG	0.47
40%	Win %	7%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

2/3

16-30

1/4

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. New York Red Bulls is hosting Philadelphia Union for another epic battle.
5' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York Red Bulls needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
25' New York Red Bulls are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Philadelphia Union's shape.
28' Philadelphia Union make a change. Andre Blake trudges off to be replaced by Andrew Rick on 28 minutes.
33' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
38' Philadelphia Union come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
46' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Bruno Damiani on, Chris Donovan off on 46 minutes.
51' Philadelphia Union started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sandro Schwarz might look to freshen things up shortly.
58' The supporters are chanting for Dennis Gjengaar. He replaces Serge Ngoma on 58 minute.
61' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Alejandro Bedoya is withdrawn and Quinn Sullivan gets his opportunity.
66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Olivier Mbaizo suffering a number of foals already.
71' It is a cagey affair so far. New York Red Bulls in their trying to find a way past Philadelphia Union's compact .
74' Goal! Dylan Nealis scores his 2 goal in 214 matches.
77' That looks like a foul for a card for Dylan Nealis.
79' The crowd applauds Jesus Bueno as he leaves the pitch. Danley Jean Jacques steps in for Philadelphia Union.
82' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Emil Forsberg departs to be replaced by Julian Hall.
87' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
90' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Wiktor Bogacz gets a card.
90' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — Sean Nealis on, Wikelmann Carmona off on 90 minutes.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↓ Wiktor Bogacz 90'
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Julian Hall 82'
26
Tim Parker
44
Raheem Edwards
12
Dylan Nealis
3
Noah Eile
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman
81
Serge Ngoma ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 58'
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Sean Nealis 90'
8
Peter Stroud

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake ↓ Andrew Rick 28'
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↓ Quinn Sullivan 61'
15
Olivier Mbaizo
32
Milan Iloski
26
Nathan Harriel
8
Jesus Bueno ↓ Danley Jean Jacques 79'
25
Chris Donovan ↓ Bruno Damiani 46'
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Tai Baribo 61'
29
Olwethu Makhanya
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Omir Fernandez	2
Kaku	2
Kacper Przybylko	2
Ilsinho	2
Tom Barlow	2
Sergio Santos	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-10 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Real Salt Lake W 2025-07-27 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-07-19 New York Red Bulls 1–5 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-07-16 New York Red Bulls 5–3 New England Revolution W 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls L

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-09 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC D 2025-07-26 Philadelphia Union 3–1 Colorado Rapids SC W 2025-07-20 Houston Dynamo 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2025-07-16 Philadelphia Union 2–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.72 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.43 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls44% Draw26% Philadelphia Union30%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.15

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

70%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

56%

New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls32% Draw43% Philadelphia Union25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

7.2%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 0

5.9%

0 – 1

5.3%

3 – 1

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

3.6%

3 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	20%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	16%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

25% ✗

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.