Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 5 Nov 2023 · 14:00 UTC City Ground 29,313 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ola Aina 5' 1–0
Orel Mangala 47' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at City Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Derek Eaton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Aston Villa FC H 2–0 W
29 Oct Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
21 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–2 D
07 Oct Crystal Palace FC A 0–0 D
01 Oct Brentford FC H 1–1 D
23 Sep Manchester City FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
29 Oct Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
22 Oct West Ham United FC H 4–1 W
08 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 6–1 W
24 Sep Chelsea FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Aston Villa FC
#23 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Nottingham Forest FC are 23rd (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.84 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 80% + Nottingham Forest FC or Draw 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC38% Draw36% Aston Villa FC26%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 45%
55%
± 2.5 20%
80%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
62%
Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC22% Draw62% Aston Villa FC16%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
24.8%
1 – 0
17.1%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
2%
2 – 2
1.9%
3 – 1
1.5%
0 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 23% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 18% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
52%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.