Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Nottingham Forest FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Aston Villa FC

Sun 5 Nov 2023 · 14:00 UTC City Ground 29,313 HT 45' · FT 45'

Ola Aina 5' 1–0

Orel Mangala 47' 2–0

Y 64' Boubacar Kamara

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at City Ground.

Nottingham Forest FC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Aston Villa FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jarred Gillett
Assistant 1 Darren Cann
Assistant 2 Derek Eaton

5 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	10	27
2	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	10	22
3	Manchester City FC	10	21
4	Liverpool FC	10	18
5	Chelsea FC	10	16
6	Everton FC	10	16
7	AFC Bournemouth	10	15
8	Brentford FC	10	14
9	Leeds United FC	10	14
10	Aston Villa FC	10	13
11	Tottenham Hotspur FC	10	12
12	Newcastle United FC	10	12
13	Hull City AFC	10	11
14	Ipswich Town FC	10	11
15	Fulham FC	10	10
16	Nottingham Forest FC	10	9
17	Coventry City FC	10	9
18	Manchester United FC	10	8
19	Sunderland AFC	10	8
20	Crystal Palace FC	10	7

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest FC 13 games · Avg 3.5 goals Aston Villa FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-05 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC 2023-04-08 Aston Villa FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2022-10-10 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Aston Villa FC 2019-03-13 Nottingham Forest FC 1–3 Aston Villa FC 2018-11-28 Aston Villa FC 5–5 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Aston Villa FC	H	2–0	W
29 Oct	Liverpool FC	A	0–3	L
21 Oct	Luton Town FC	H	2–2	D
07 Oct	Crystal Palace FC	A	0–0	D
01 Oct	Brentford FC	H	1–1	D
23 Sep	Manchester City FC	A	0–2	L

Aston Villa FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Nottingham Forest FC	A	0–2	L
29 Oct	Luton Town FC	H	3–1	W
22 Oct	West Ham United FC	H	4–1	W
08 Oct	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	A	1–1	D
30 Sep	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	6–1	W
24 Sep	Chelsea FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC		Aston Villa FC
#16	Position	#10
9	Points	13
10	Played	10
2 / 3 / 5	W / D / L	3 / 4 / 3
9	Scored	14
13	Conceded	17
-4	GD	-3
0.90	PPG	1.30
20%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

10% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Nottingham Forest FC are 16th (9 pts). Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/4

61-75

2/1

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Aston Villa FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

–/3

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/3

61-75

2/–

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

Liam Delap	3 G
Dan Ndoye	2 G
Morgan Gibbs-White	1 G	2 A

Aston Villa FC

Nicolas Jackson	6 G	1 A
Johan Manzambi	2 G	3 A
Alysson	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nottingham Forest FC to score. At the same time, Aston Villa FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' What a moment for Ola Aina! That strike on 5 puts his side firmly in control.
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nottingham Forest FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
25' It looks surprising Nottingham Forest FC does not make any changes. Ezri Konsa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
30' Harry Toffolo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 333 appearances.
35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
45' Aston Villa FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
46' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Nicolo Zaniolo is replaced by Leon Bailey on 46 minute.
47' Orel Mangala does the damage! The net is bulging and Nottingham Forest FC surge ahead!
52' It is a cagey affair so far. Nottingham Forest FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Aston Villa FC's compact 4-4-2.
57' Nottingham Forest FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
59' The supporters are chanting for Youri Tielemans. He replaces Matty Cash on 59 minute.
64' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a Yellow card on 64.
69' Emiliano Martinez, a Argentina goalkeeper, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
71' A change in the Nottingham Forest FC ranks — Harry Toffolo exits the field as Serge Aurier enters on 71.
76' Nottingham Forest FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
78' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Boubacar Kamara departs to be replaced by Diego Carlos.
82' Nottingham Forest FC make a change. Taiwo Awoniyi trudges off to be replaced by Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira on 82 minutes.
86' The Aston Villa FC bench stirs into life. Douglas Luiz is withdrawn and Leander Dendoncker gets his opportunity.
87' The Nottingham Forest FC bench stirs into life. Nicolas Dominguez is withdrawn and Ryan Yates gets his opportunity.
88' A moment of madness from Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira on 88 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Nottingham Forest FC will be frustrated.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

10
Morgan Gibbs-White
15
Harry Toffolo ↓ Serge Aurier 71'
6
Ibrahim Sangare
5
Orel Mangala
19
Moussa Niakhate
43
Ola Aina ↓ Neco Williams 86'
23
Odisseas Vlachodimos
9
Taiwo Awoniyi ↓ Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 82'
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↓ Ryan Yates 87'
21
Anthony Elanga
40
Murillo

Bench

Coach Steve Cooper

Aston Villa FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Unai Emery

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
John McGinn	4
Tammy Abraham	4
Ollie Watkins	3
Douglas Luiz	2
Lewis Grabban	2
Morgan Gibbs-White	1
Donyell Malen	1
Anwar El Ghazi	1

Head to Head

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2023-11-05 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC W 2023-10-29 Liverpool FC 3–0 Nottingham Forest FC L 2023-10-21 Nottingham Forest FC 2–2 Luton Town FC D 2023-10-07 Crystal Palace FC 0–0 Nottingham Forest FC D 2023-10-01 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Brentford FC D 2023-09-23 Manchester City FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC L

Aston Villa FC Form

2023-11-05 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC L 2023-10-29 Aston Villa FC 3–1 Luton Town FC W 2023-10-22 Aston Villa FC 4–1 West Ham United FC W 2023-10-08 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1–1 Aston Villa FC D 2023-09-30 Aston Villa FC 6–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 2023-09-24 Chelsea FC 0–1 Aston Villa FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.49 Nottingham Forest FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 Aston Villa FC xG

I would bet for: Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nottingham Forest FC41% Draw28% Aston Villa FC31%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.8

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw

69%

Draw or Aston Villa FC

59%

Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nottingham Forest FC30% Draw46% Aston Villa FC24%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

2 – 1

8.5%

1 – 0

8.2%

0 – 0

1 – 2

7.5%

0 – 1

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

5.6%

0 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

4.2%

1 – 3

3.3%

3 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap	Nottingham Forest FC covers	Push	Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	20%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	18%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✗

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.