Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Nottingham Forest FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Aston Villa FC

Sun 5 Nov 2023 · 14:00 UTC City Ground 29,313 HT 45' · FT 45'

Ola Aina 5' 1–0

Orel Mangala 47' 2–0

Y 64' Boubacar Kamara

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at City Ground.

Nottingham Forest FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Aston Villa FC 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jarred Gillett
Assistant 1 Darren Cann
Assistant 2 Derek Eaton

4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Manchester City FC	5	15
2	Arsenal FC	5	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	5	10
4	Brentford FC	5	9
5	Leeds United FC	5	9
6	Liverpool FC	5	9
7	Everton FC	5	9
8	Hull City AFC	5	8
9	Newcastle United FC	5	8
10	Chelsea FC	5	7
11	Ipswich Town FC	5	6
12	Manchester United FC	5	5
13	Nottingham Forest FC	5	5
14	Sunderland AFC	5	4
15	Crystal Palace FC	5	4
16	Aston Villa FC	5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	3
18	Coventry City FC	5	3
19	Fulham FC	5	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur FC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest FC 13 games · Avg 3.5 goals Aston Villa FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-05 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC 2023-04-08 Aston Villa FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2022-10-10 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Aston Villa FC 2019-03-13 Nottingham Forest FC 1–3 Aston Villa FC 2018-11-28 Aston Villa FC 5–5 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Aston Villa FC	H	2–0	W
29 Oct	Liverpool FC	A	0–3	L
21 Oct	Luton Town FC	H	2–2	D
07 Oct	Crystal Palace FC	A	0–0	D
01 Oct	Brentford FC	H	1–1	D
23 Sep	Manchester City FC	A	0–2	L

Aston Villa FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Nottingham Forest FC	A	0–2	L
29 Oct	Luton Town FC	H	3–1	W
22 Oct	West Ham United FC	H	4–1	W
08 Oct	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	A	1–1	D
30 Sep	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	6–1	W
24 Sep	Chelsea FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC		Aston Villa FC
#13	Position	#16
5	Points	4
5	Played	5
1 / 2 / 2	W / D / L	1 / 1 / 3
4	Scored	4
5	Conceded	9
-1	GD	-5
1.00	PPG	0.80
20%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (5 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

1/1

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Aston Villa FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

2/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

Morgan Gibbs-White	1 G	2 A
Dan Ndoye	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to City Ground that hosts another battle between Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC.
5' The Nigeria Ola Aina breaks the deadlock on 5 minutes. 1-0!
10' Nottingham Forest FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Aston Villa FC's 4-4-2 shape.
15' Youri Tielemans is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Aston Villa FC tonight.
20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nottingham Forest FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
35' Aston Villa FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
40' A quiet spell here at City Ground. Nottingham Forest FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
45' Ezri Konsa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
46' Leon Bailey is replacing Nicolo Zaniolo for the Aston Villa FC side.
47' A goal from the Belgium international Orel Mangala! He fires home on 47 to make it 2-0!
52' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
57' Nottingham Forest FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aston Villa FC backline.
59' The Aston Villa FC bench stirs into life. Matty Cash is withdrawn and Youri Tielemans gets his opportunity.
64' That is a Yellow card for Aston Villa FC. Boubacar Kamara will be fuming at that decision.
69' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nicolas Dominguez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aston Villa FC.
71' The supporters are chanting for Serge Aurier. He replaces Harry Toffolo on 71 minute.
76' The travelling Aston Villa FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
78' Diego Carlos is replacing Boubacar Kamara for the Aston Villa FC side.
82' The whistle greets Taiwo Awoniyi as he departs to be replaced by Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira.
86' Fresh legs for Aston Villa FC! Leander Dendoncker comes on to replace Douglas Luiz.
87' The Nottingham Forest FC bench stirs into life. Nicolas Dominguez is withdrawn and Ryan Yates gets his opportunity.
88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira.
It finishes all square. Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

10
Morgan Gibbs-White
15
Harry Toffolo ↓ Serge Aurier 71'
6
Ibrahim Sangare
5
Orel Mangala
19
Moussa Niakhate
43
Ola Aina ↓ Neco Williams 86'
23
Odisseas Vlachodimos
9
Taiwo Awoniyi ↓ Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 82'
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↓ Ryan Yates 87'
21
Anthony Elanga
40
Murillo

Bench

Coach Steve Cooper

Aston Villa FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Unai Emery

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tammy Abraham	4
John McGinn	4
Ollie Watkins	3
Douglas Luiz	2
Lewis Grabban	2
Chris Wood	1
Matty Cash	1
Orel Mangala	1

Head to Head

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2023-11-05 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC W 2023-10-29 Liverpool FC 3–0 Nottingham Forest FC L 2023-10-21 Nottingham Forest FC 2–2 Luton Town FC D 2023-10-07 Crystal Palace FC 0–0 Nottingham Forest FC D 2023-10-01 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Brentford FC D 2023-09-23 Manchester City FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC L

Aston Villa FC Form

2023-11-05 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC L 2023-10-29 Aston Villa FC 3–1 Luton Town FC W 2023-10-22 Aston Villa FC 4–1 West Ham United FC W 2023-10-08 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1–1 Aston Villa FC D 2023-09-30 Aston Villa FC 6–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 2023-09-24 Chelsea FC 0–1 Aston Villa FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.43 Nottingham Forest FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.94 Aston Villa FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nottingham Forest FC46% Draw29% Aston Villa FC25%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.37

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Aston Villa FC

54%

Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nottingham Forest FC32% Draw50% Aston Villa FC18%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.5%

1 – 0

12.3%

0 – 0

11.5%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

8.7%

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 0

4.3%

3 – 1

4.2%

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap	Nottingham Forest FC covers	Push	Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	15%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.