New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

2 – 3

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Raheem Edwards 8' Y

Y 54' Maxi Moralez

Dennis Gjengaar 82' Y

Sean Nealis 90' Y

Y 90' Julian Fernandez

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 19 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC 2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC 2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	New York City FC	H	2–3	L
20 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–0	W
14 Sep	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L
30 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–0	D
24 Aug	Charlotte FC	A	0–1	L
16 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	3–2	W
24 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–4	L
20 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
17 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	H	3–2	W
14 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–1	W
30 Aug	D.C. United SC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		New York City FC
#5	Position	#8
22	Points	19
15	Played	15
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	5 / 4 / 6
25	Scored	25
32	Conceded	21
-7	GD	+4
1.47	PPG	1.27
40%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). New York City FC are 8th (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. New York Red Bulls host New York City FC — let the battle begin!
2' GOAL! Nicolas Fernandez Marcau scores on 2. Assisted by Justin Haak
7' Agustin Ojeda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
8' Raheem Edwards is having his name booked by the referee on 8.
13' Aiden O'Neill has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 208 appearances.
18' New York Red Bulls is showing some good football. However, New York Red Bulls are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
23' Julian Hall does the damage! The net is bulging and New York Red Bulls surge ahead!
26' Andres Perea makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and New York City FC are in front.
31' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York Red Bulls and New York City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
46' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
47' What a strike from Emil Forsberg! The score is 2-2.
52' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maxi Moralez on 54.
55' Raheem Edwards makes way for Marcelo Morales at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
60' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
65' What composure from Thiago Martins! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-3.
66' The crowd applauds Julian Hall as he leaves the pitch. Mohammed Sofo steps in for New York Red Bulls.
67' Matt Freese makes way for Tomas Romero at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York City FC.
72' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
77' New York Red Bulls have won 418 goals from 283 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
82' Dennis Gjengaar catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
82' It is a substitution in New York City FC team. Aiden O'Neill is replaced by Kevin O'Toole on 82 minute.
83' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 83 minute. Gustav Berggren leaves to be changed by Serge Ngoma.
88' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
90' Sean Nealis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
90' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Kyle Duncan is replaced by Sean Nealis.
Full Time. New York City FC beats New York Red Bulls

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting
10
Emil Forsberg
26
Tim Parker ↓ Alexander Hack 83'
6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Sean Nealis 90'
44
Raheem Edwards ↓ Marcelo Morales 55'
4
Gustav Berggren ↓ Serge Ngoma 83'
3
Noah Eile
31
Carlos Coronel
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 66'
48
Ronald Donkor
16
Julian Hall ↓ Mohammed Sofo 66'

Bench

42
Alexander Hack ↑ 83'
23
John McCarthy
15
Sean Nealis ↑ 90'
12
Dylan Nealis
75
Daniel Edelman
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 83'
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 66'
37
Mohammed Sofo ↑ 66'
14
Marcelo Morales ↑ 55'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

21
Aiden O'Neill ↓ Kevin O'Toole 82'
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Seymour Reid 90'
13
Thiago Martins
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Julian Fernandez 67'
49
Matt Freese ↓ Tomas Romero 67'
80
Justin Haak
8
Andres Perea
24
Tayvon Gray
34
Raul Gustavo
26
Agustin Ojeda
7
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau ↓ Strahinja Tanasijevic 90'

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Valentin Castellanos	5
Maxi Moralez	4
Andres Perea	3
Omir Fernandez	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Daniel Royer	2
Kyle Duncan	2
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC L 2025-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 0–2 New York Red Bulls W 2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-30 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Columbus Crew SC D 2025-08-24 Charlotte FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W

New York City FC Form

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC W 2025-09-24 New York City FC 0–4 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-09-20 New York City FC 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2025-09-17 New York City FC 3–2 Columbus Crew SC W 2025-09-14 Chicago Fire FC 1–3 New York City FC W 2025-08-30 New York City FC 1–2 D.C. United SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.42 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.22 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls26% Draw24% New York City FC50%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.64

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

49%

Draw or New York City FC

74%

New York Red Bulls or New York City FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls20% Draw39% New York City FC41%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.1%

1 – 2

8.9%

1 – 3

6.5%

0 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

6.2%

2 – 1

5.7%

0 – 1

5.3%

0 – 3

4.7%

2 – 3

Actual

0 – 0

3.9%

1 – 4

3.6%

1 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	13%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	46%	—	54%
+1	46%	20%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	16%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.