New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

2 – 3

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Raheem Edwards 8' Y

Y 54' Maxi Moralez

Dennis Gjengaar 82' Y

Sean Nealis 90' Y

Y 90' Julian Fernandez

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC 2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC 2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	New York City FC	H	2–3	L
20 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–0	W
14 Sep	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L
30 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–0	D
24 Aug	Charlotte FC	A	0–1	L
16 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	3–2	W
24 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–4	L
20 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
17 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	H	3–2	W
14 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–1	W
30 Aug	D.C. United SC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		New York City FC
#11	Position	#10
42	Points	42
34	Played	34
12 / 6 / 16	W / D / L	10 / 12 / 12
48	Scored	49
62	Conceded	45
-14	GD	+4
1.24	PPG	1.24
35%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

18% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). New York City FC are 10th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

6/5

31-45

6/8

46-60

5/6

61-75

5/6

76+

5/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	16 G	6 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for New York Red Bulls to score. At the same time, New York City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
2' Nicolas Fernandez Marcau puts New York City FC on the lead.
7' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
8' New York Red Bulls player sees a card in front of him.
13' It looks surprising New York Red Bulls does not make any changes. Aiden O'Neill has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
18' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
23' Brilliant from the ! Julian Hall makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 23.
26' Sensational shot from Andres Perea. New York City FC is back in the lead.
31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Seymour Reid made 305 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York City FC that had 305 games and scored 475 goals.
47' Assisted by Maxim Choupo-Moting with the perfectly-timed delivery and Emil Forsberg makes no mistake. 2-2!
52' Raul Gustavo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
54' New York City FC player sees a card in front of him.
55' Marcelo Morales gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Raheem Edwards and will look to change the dynamic.
60' With 3 assists to his name this season, Kyle Duncan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York City FC.
65' What a moment for Thiago Martins! That strike on 65 puts his side firmly in control.
66' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Julian Hall is replaced by Mohammed Sofo on 66 minute.
67' Tomas Romero gets the nod from New York City FC. He replaces Matt Freese and will look to change the dynamic.
72' It is a cagey affair so far. New York Red Bulls in their trying to find a way past New York City FC's compact .
77' The 23-year-old Wikelmann Carmona has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
82' New York Red Bulls player sees a card in front of him.
82' Kevin O'Toole gets the nod from New York City FC. He replaces Aiden O'Neill and will look to change the dynamic.
83' Serge Ngoma is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gustav Berggren at the 83 minute mark.
88' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
90' Sean Nealis picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
90' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Kyle Duncan is replaced by Sean Nealis.
The referee brings this contest to a close. New York City FC take all three points.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting
10
Emil Forsberg
26
Tim Parker ↓ Alexander Hack 83'
6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Sean Nealis 90'
44
Raheem Edwards ↓ Marcelo Morales 55'
4
Gustav Berggren ↓ Serge Ngoma 83'
3
Noah Eile
31
Carlos Coronel
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 66'
48
Ronald Donkor
16
Julian Hall ↓ Mohammed Sofo 66'

Bench

42
Alexander Hack ↑ 83'
23
John McCarthy
15
Sean Nealis ↑ 90'
12
Dylan Nealis
75
Daniel Edelman
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 83'
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 66'
37
Mohammed Sofo ↑ 66'
14
Marcelo Morales ↑ 55'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

21
Aiden O'Neill ↓ Kevin O'Toole 82'
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Seymour Reid 90'
13
Thiago Martins
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Julian Fernandez 67'
49
Matt Freese ↓ Tomas Romero 67'
80
Justin Haak
8
Andres Perea
24
Tayvon Gray
34
Raul Gustavo
26
Agustin Ojeda
7
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau ↓ Strahinja Tanasijevic 90'

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Valentin Castellanos	5
Maxi Moralez	4
Omir Fernandez	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Andres Perea	3
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Heber	2
Daniel Royer	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC L 2025-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 0–2 New York Red Bulls W 2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-30 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Columbus Crew SC D 2025-08-24 Charlotte FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W

New York City FC Form

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC W 2025-09-24 New York City FC 0–4 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-09-20 New York City FC 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2025-09-17 New York City FC 3–2 Columbus Crew SC W 2025-09-14 Chicago Fire FC 1–3 New York City FC W 2025-08-30 New York City FC 1–2 D.C. United SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.27 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.96 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls26% Draw25% New York City FC49%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.23

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

51%

Draw or New York City FC

74%

New York Red Bulls or New York City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls20% Draw42% New York City FC38%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.7%

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 2

7.5%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 3

6.1%

2 – 1

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 0

5.5%

0 – 3

4.8%

1 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	21%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	16%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.