New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

2 – 3

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Raheem Edwards 8' Y

Y 54' Maxi Moralez

Dennis Gjengaar 82' Y

Sean Nealis 90' Y

Y 90' Julian Fernandez

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC 2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC 2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	New York City FC	H	2–3	L
20 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–0	W
14 Sep	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L
30 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–0	D
24 Aug	Charlotte FC	A	0–1	L
16 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	3–2	W
24 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–4	L
20 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
17 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	H	3–2	W
14 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–1	W
30 Aug	D.C. United SC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		New York City FC
#10	Position	#8
33	Points	33
26	Played	27
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 10
34	Scored	41
48	Conceded	36
-14	GD	+5
1.27	PPG	1.22
35%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). New York City FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/4

61-75

4/6

76+

2/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. New York Red Bulls is hosting New York City FC for another epic battle.
2' GOAL! Nicolas Fernandez Marcau fires home to make it 0-1!
7' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York Red Bulls and New York City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
8' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Raheem Edwards on 8 minutes.
13' Argentina international Maxi Moralez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
18' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
23' Assisted by Maxim Choupo-Moting with the perfectly-timed delivery and Julian Hall makes no mistake. 1-1!
26' Sensational shot from Andres Perea. New York City FC is back in the lead.
31' Matt Freese is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York City FC tonight.
36' New York Red Bulls started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
46' Hannes Wolf is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
47' Brilliant from the ! Emil Forsberg makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 47.
52' New York City FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Andres Perea scoring 1 goals.
54' It’s gonna be a card for Maxi Moralez.
55' The whistle greets Raheem Edwards as he departs to be replaced by Marcelo Morales.
60' Agustin Ojeda has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Thiago Martins makes it 2-3.
66' Mohammed Sofo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Julian Hall on 66 minute.
67' The supporters are chanting for Tomas Romero. He replaces Matt Freese on 67 minute.
72' New York City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
77' Raheem Edwards has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
82' Dennis Gjengaar has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
82' Fresh legs for New York City FC! Kevin O'Toole comes on to replace Aiden O'Neill.
83' Gustav Berggren makes way for Serge Ngoma at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
88' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York Red Bulls must find a spark to ignite this game.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sean Nealis on 90.
90' The supporters are chanting for Sean Nealis. He replaces Kyle Duncan on 90 minute.
The points are shared — New York Red Bulls 2-3 New York City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting
10
Emil Forsberg
26
Tim Parker ↓ Alexander Hack 83'
6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Sean Nealis 90'
44
Raheem Edwards ↓ Marcelo Morales 55'
4
Gustav Berggren ↓ Serge Ngoma 83'
3
Noah Eile
31
Carlos Coronel
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 66'
48
Ronald Donkor
16
Julian Hall ↓ Mohammed Sofo 66'

Bench

42
Alexander Hack ↑ 83'
23
John McCarthy
15
Sean Nealis ↑ 90'
12
Dylan Nealis
75
Daniel Edelman
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 83'
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 66'
37
Mohammed Sofo ↑ 66'
14
Marcelo Morales ↑ 55'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

21
Aiden O'Neill ↓ Kevin O'Toole 82'
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Seymour Reid 90'
13
Thiago Martins
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Julian Fernandez 67'
49
Matt Freese ↓ Tomas Romero 67'
80
Justin Haak
8
Andres Perea
24
Tayvon Gray
34
Raul Gustavo
26
Agustin Ojeda
7
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau ↓ Strahinja Tanasijevic 90'

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Valentin Castellanos	5
Maxi Moralez	4
Omir Fernandez	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Andres Perea	3
Julian Hall	2
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Heber	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC L 2025-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 0–2 New York Red Bulls W 2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-30 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Columbus Crew SC D 2025-08-24 Charlotte FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W

New York City FC Form

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC W 2025-09-24 New York City FC 0–4 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-09-20 New York City FC 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2025-09-17 New York City FC 3–2 Columbus Crew SC W 2025-09-14 Chicago Fire FC 1–3 New York City FC W 2025-08-30 New York City FC 1–2 D.C. United SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.23 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.02 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls25% Draw25% New York City FC50%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.25

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

49%

Draw or New York City FC

75%

New York Red Bulls or New York City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls19% Draw41% New York City FC40%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.5%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

7.8%

0 – 1

7.2%

1 – 3

6.3%

2 – 2

5.7%

2 – 1

5.7%

0 – 0

5.4%

0 – 3

5.2%

1 – 0

4.1%

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 4

3.2%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	13%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	46%	—	54%
+1	46%	22%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	17%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.