New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

2 – 3

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Raheem Edwards 8' Y

Y 54' Maxi Moralez

Dennis Gjengaar 82' Y

Sean Nealis 90' Y

Y 90' Julian Fernandez

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 19 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC 2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC 2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	New York City FC	H	2–3	L
20 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–0	W
14 Sep	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L
30 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–0	D
24 Aug	Charlotte FC	A	0–1	L
16 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	3–2	W
24 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–4	L
20 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
17 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	H	3–2	W
14 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–1	W
30 Aug	D.C. United SC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		New York City FC
#8	Position	#5
25	Points	26
18	Played	18
7 / 4 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
29	Scored	31
39	Conceded	24
-10	GD	+7
1.39	PPG	1.44
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). New York City FC are 5th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

4/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	11 G	3 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A
Agustin Ojeda	4 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. New York Red Bulls is hosting New York City FC for another epic battle.
2' Brilliant from the ! Nicolas Fernandez Marcau makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 2.
7' Agustin Ojeda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
8' The referee calls foul for Raheem Edwards. He receives a card.
13' The travelling New York City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
18' Justin Haak is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York City FC tonight.
23' What a moment for Julian Hall! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
26' The USA Andres Perea breaks the deadlock on 26 minutes. 1-2!
31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sandro Schwarz might look to freshen things up shortly.
41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
46' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Emil Forsberg makes it 2-2.
52' Strahinja Tanasijevic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
54' It’s gonna be a card for Maxi Moralez.
55' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 55 minute. Raheem Edwards leaves to be changed by Marcelo Morales.
60' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and New York City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
65' Thiago Martins is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
66' Mohammed Sofo gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Julian Hall and will look to change the dynamic.
67' The supporters are chanting for Tomas Romero. He replaces Matt Freese on 67 minute.
72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 286 games and scored 422 goals.
82' New York Red Bulls player sees a card in front of him.
82' The whistle greets Aiden O'Neill as he departs to be replaced by Kevin O'Toole.
83' New York Red Bulls manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Serge Ngoma is hanging Gustav Berggren on the field on 83 minute.
88' Noah Eile is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Sean Nealis.
90' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Kyle Duncan is replaced by Sean Nealis on 90 minute.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from New York City FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting
10
Emil Forsberg
26
Tim Parker ↓ Alexander Hack 83'
6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Sean Nealis 90'
44
Raheem Edwards ↓ Marcelo Morales 55'
4
Gustav Berggren ↓ Serge Ngoma 83'
3
Noah Eile
31
Carlos Coronel
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 66'
48
Ronald Donkor
16
Julian Hall ↓ Mohammed Sofo 66'

Bench

42
Alexander Hack ↑ 83'
23
John McCarthy
15
Sean Nealis ↑ 90'
12
Dylan Nealis
75
Daniel Edelman
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 83'
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 66'
37
Mohammed Sofo ↑ 66'
14
Marcelo Morales ↑ 55'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

21
Aiden O'Neill ↓ Kevin O'Toole 82'
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Seymour Reid 90'
13
Thiago Martins
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Julian Fernandez 67'
49
Matt Freese ↓ Tomas Romero 67'
80
Justin Haak
8
Andres Perea
24
Tayvon Gray
34
Raul Gustavo
26
Agustin Ojeda
7
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau ↓ Strahinja Tanasijevic 90'

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Valentin Castellanos	5
Maxi Moralez	4
Omir Fernandez	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Andres Perea	3
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Heber	2
Daniel Royer	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC L 2025-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 0–2 New York Red Bulls W 2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-30 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Columbus Crew SC D 2025-08-24 Charlotte FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W

New York City FC Form

2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC W 2025-09-24 New York City FC 0–4 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-09-20 New York City FC 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2025-09-17 New York City FC 3–2 Columbus Crew SC W 2025-09-14 Chicago Fire FC 1–3 New York City FC W 2025-08-30 New York City FC 1–2 D.C. United SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.38 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.3 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls24% Draw23% New York City FC53%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.68

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

48%

Draw or New York City FC

76%

New York Red Bulls or New York City FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls19% Draw38% New York City FC43%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

8.9%

1 – 1

8.8%

1 – 3

6.8%

0 – 2

6.7%

2 – 2

6.1%

2 – 1

5.4%

0 – 1

5.4%

0 – 3

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 4

3.9%

0 – 0

3.8%

1 – 0

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	12%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	43%	—	57%
+1	43%	21%	36%
+1.5	64%	—	36%
+2	64%	17%	19%
+2.5	81%	—	19%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.