Portland Timbers vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Portland Timbers

2 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 02:30 UTC Providence Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Kristoffer Velde 36' Y

Y 38' Peter Stroud

Y 45' Maxim Choupo-Moting

Jimer Fory 61' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Providence Park.

Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Portland Timbers 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2022-05-07 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Portland Timbers 2019-09-19 Portland Timbers 0–2 New York Red Bulls 2018-03-11 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Sep	New York Red Bulls	H	2–1	W
31 Aug	Minnesota United FC	A	1–1	D
24 Aug	San Diego FC	A	0–0	D
17 Aug	FC Cincinnati	H	2–3	L
10 Aug	FC Dallas	A	0–2	L
26 Jul	Los Angeles FC	A	1–0	W

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Sep	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L
30 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–0	D
24 Aug	Charlotte FC	A	0–1	L
16 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
10 Aug	Real Salt Lake	H	2–1	W
27 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Portland Timbers		New York Red Bulls
#22	Position	#11
46	Points	42
34	Played	34
13 / 7 / 14	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16
62	Scored	48
61	Conceded	62
+1	GD	-14
1.35	PPG	1.24
38%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

9% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portland Timbers

0-15

7/10

16-30

8/10

31-45

9/9

46-60

6/5

61-75

10/4

76+

12/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portland Timbers

Kristoffer Velde	12 G	6 A
Ariel Lassiter	9 G	4 A
Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Portland Timbers vs New York Red Bulls — let the football do the talking.
5' USA international Julian Hall has been a key figure this campaign — 5 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portland Timbers and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
15' Portland Timbers are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York Red Bulls backline.
20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
25' It looks surprising Portland Timbers does not make any changes. Jimer Fory has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
28' Matias Rojas puts Portland Timbers on the lead.
33' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
36' A moment of madness from Kristoffer Velde on 36 minutes earns him a card. Portland Timbers will be frustrated.
38' The referee shows New York Red Bulls player a card on 38.
43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
45' A moment of madness from Maxim Choupo-Moting on 45 minutes earns him a card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
46' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Peter Stroud by Ronald Donkor on 46 minute.
47' Gustav Berggren is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Edelman at the 47 minute mark.
52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
56' The Portland Timbers bench stirs into life. Matias Rojas is withdrawn and David Pereira da Costa gets his opportunity.
61' The referee has no hesitation. Jimer Fory is booked for Portland Timbers — card on 61.
64' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — Julian Hall on, Wikelmann Carmona off on 64 minutes.
69' It’s high time Sandro Schwarz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
70' The Sweden Emil Forsberg breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 1-1!
73' A stunning finish from Antony — that came from absolutely nowhere!
75' The Portland Timbers bench stirs into life. Julio Ortiz is withdrawn and Diego Chara gets his opportunity.
80' Peter Stroud has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
81' Another change for Portland Timbers made on 81 minute. Kristoffer Velde leaves to be changed by Ariel Lassiter.
82' The crowd applauds Mohammed Sofo as he leaves the pitch. Serge Ngoma steps in for New York Red Bulls.
87' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 299 games and scored 434 goals.
Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

41
James Pantemis
35
Matias Rojas ↓ David Pereira da Costa 56'
13
Dario Zuparic
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Kevin Kelsy 56'
99
Kristoffer Velde ↓ Ariel Lassiter 81'
24
David Ayala ↓ Cristhian Paredes 75'
11
Antony
20
Finn Surman
29
Juan Mosquera
27
Jimer Fory
80
Julio Ortiz ↓ Diego Chara 75'

Bench

21
Diego Chara ↑ 75'
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 75'
15
Eric Miller
22
Omir Fernandez
25
Trey Muse
4
Kamal Miller
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 81'
10
David Pereira da Costa ↑ 56'
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 56'

Coach Phil Neville

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

6
Kyle Duncan
23
John McCarthy
4
Gustav Berggren ↑ 47'
15
Sean Nealis
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 82'
48
Ronald Donkor ↑ 46'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 64'
22
Dennis Gjengaar
14
Marcelo Morales ↑ 82'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Carlos Rivas	2
Carlos Rivas	2
Kyle Duncan	1
Jaroslaw Niezgoda	1
Aaron Long	1
Matias Rojas	1
Bradley Wright-Phillips	1
Antony	1

Head to Head

Portland Timbers Form

2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls W 2025-08-31 Minnesota United FC 1–1 Portland Timbers D 2025-08-24 San Diego FC 0–0 Portland Timbers D 2025-08-17 Portland Timbers 2–3 FC Cincinnati L 2025-08-10 FC Dallas 2–0 Portland Timbers L 2025-07-26 Los Angeles FC 0–1 Portland Timbers W

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-30 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Columbus Crew SC D 2025-08-24 Charlotte FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-10 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Real Salt Lake W 2025-07-27 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.88 Portland Timbers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.51 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers48% Draw24% New York Red Bulls28%

Actual: Portland Timbers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.39

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Draw

72%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

52%

Portland Timbers or New York Red Bulls

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Portland Timbers34% Draw41% New York Red Bulls25%

Actual: Portland Timbers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.5%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.5%

2 – 0

1 – 0

5.7%

3 – 1

5.4%

0 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.4%

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 0

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Handicap	Portland Timbers covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	20%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	16%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.