Portland Timbers vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | San Diego FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | FC Dallas | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | Charlotte FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Real Salt Lake | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #28 | Position | #5 |
| 14 | Points | 22 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 2 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 25 |
| 28 | Conceded | 32 |
| -6 | GD | -7 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 29% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
Portland Timbers are 28th (14 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Portland Timbers kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maxim Choupo-Moting, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 28' Portland Timbers is taking the lead after the goal scored by Matias Rojas on 28.
- 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 36' The referee shows Portland Timbers player a card on 36.
- 38' That looks like a foul for a card for Peter Stroud.
- 43' It looks surprising Portland Timbers does not make any changes. Daniel Edelman has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 45' Maxim Choupo-Moting is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Peter Stroud departs to be replaced by Ronald Donkor.
- 47' The supporters are chanting for Gustav Berggren. He replaces Daniel Edelman on 47 minute.
- 52' Juan Mosquera needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 56' The whistle greets Matias Rojas as he departs to be replaced by David Pereira da Costa.
- 61' It’s gonna be a card for Jimer Fory.
- 64' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Wikelmann Carmona departs to be replaced by Julian Hall.
- 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Peter Stroud suffering a number of foals already.
- 70' What a strike from Emil Forsberg! The score is 1-1.
- 73' Sensational shot from Antony. Portland Timbers is back in the lead.
- 75' The whistle greets Julio Ortiz as he departs to be replaced by Diego Chara.
- 80' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 81' Ariel Lassiter has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kristoffer Velde on 81 minute.
- 82' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Mohammed Sofo departs to be replaced by Serge Ngoma.
- 87' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Felipe Mora made 11 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for New York Red Bulls.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 41
- 35
- 13
-
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Kevin Kelsy 56'
- 99
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Cristhian Paredes 75'
- 11
- 20
- 29
- 27
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↓ Diego Chara 75'
Bench
-
21
Diego Chara ↑ 75'
-
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 75'
- 15
- 22
- 25
- 4
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 81'
-
10
David Pereira da Costa ↑ 56'
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 56'
Coach
Phil Neville
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 10
- 26
- 44
- 12
- 3
- 31
- 75
-
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Julian Hall 64'
-
8
Peter Stroud ↓ Ronald Donkor 46'
-
37
Mohammed Sofo ↓ Serge Ngoma 82'
Bench
- 6
- 23
-
4
Gustav Berggren ↑ 47'
- 15
-
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 82'
-
48
Ronald Donkor ↑ 46'
-
16
Julian Hall ↑ 64'
- 22
-
14
Marcelo Morales ↑ 82'
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Carlos Rivas | 2 |
| Carlos Rivas | 2 |
| Benjamin Mines | 1 |
| Emil Forsberg | 1 |
| Bradley Wright-Phillips | 1 |
| Benjamin Mines | 1 |
| Daniel Royer | 1 |
| Kyle Duncan | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2025-09-14
Portland Timbers
2–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2025-08-30
New York Red Bulls
0–0
Columbus Crew SC
D
2025-08-24
Charlotte FC
1–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2025-08-16
New York Red Bulls
1–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-08-10
New York Red Bulls
2–1
Real Salt Lake
W
2025-07-27
Chicago Fire FC
1–0
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or New York Red Bulls 76% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portland Timbers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
68%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
56%
Portland Timbers or New York Red Bulls
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Portland Timbers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
4.1%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.