Portland Timbers vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Portland Timbers

2 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 02:30 UTC Providence Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Kristoffer Velde 36' Y

Y 38' Peter Stroud

Y 45' Maxim Choupo-Moting

Jimer Fory 61' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Providence Park.

Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Portland Timbers 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2022-05-07 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Portland Timbers 2019-09-19 Portland Timbers 0–2 New York Red Bulls 2018-03-11 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Sep	New York Red Bulls	H	2–1	W
31 Aug	Minnesota United FC	A	1–1	D
24 Aug	San Diego FC	A	0–0	D
17 Aug	FC Cincinnati	H	2–3	L
10 Aug	FC Dallas	A	0–2	L
26 Jul	Los Angeles FC	A	1–0	W

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Sep	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L
30 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–0	D
24 Aug	Charlotte FC	A	0–1	L
16 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
10 Aug	Real Salt Lake	H	2–1	W
27 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Portland Timbers		New York Red Bulls
#26	Position	#10
32	Points	33
27	Played	26
9 / 5 / 13	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
48	Scored	34
51	Conceded	48
-3	GD	-14
1.19	PPG	1.27
33%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

4% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portland Timbers

0-15

4/9

16-30

7/9

31-45

5/8

46-60

5/4

61-75

7/–

76+

10/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A
Kristoffer Velde	8 G	5 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Portland Timbers kicks off things out of here…
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Portland Timbers in their trying to find a way past New York Red Bulls's compact .
10' Tim Parker has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 294 appearances.
15' Maxim Choupo-Moting is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Portland Timbers tonight.
20' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Portland Timbers and New York Red Bulls are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
28' A goal from the Paraguay international Matias Rojas! He fires home on 28 to make it 1-0!
33' New York Red Bulls fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
36' Poor challenge from Kristoffer Velde. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
38' That is a card for New York Red Bulls. Peter Stroud will be fuming at that decision.
43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Maxim Choupo-Moting on 45 minutes.
46' The whistle greets Peter Stroud as he departs to be replaced by Ronald Donkor.
47' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Daniel Edelman exits the field as Gustav Berggren enters on 47.
52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
56' A tactical swap from Portland Timbers — David Pereira da Costa on, Matias Rojas off on 56 minutes.
61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jimer Fory on 61.
64' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 64 minute. Wikelmann Carmona leaves to be changed by Julian Hall.
69' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
70' Brilliant from the ! Emil Forsberg makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 70.
73' Antony puts Portland Timbers on the lead.
75' Portland Timbers make a change. Julio Ortiz trudges off to be replaced by Diego Chara on 75 minutes.
80' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
81' Ariel Lassiter is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kristoffer Velde at the 81 minute mark.
82' Serge Ngoma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mohammed Sofo on 82 minute.
87' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Portland Timbers side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

41
James Pantemis
35
Matias Rojas ↓ David Pereira da Costa 56'
13
Dario Zuparic
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Kevin Kelsy 56'
99
Kristoffer Velde ↓ Ariel Lassiter 81'
24
David Ayala ↓ Cristhian Paredes 75'
11
Antony
20
Finn Surman
29
Juan Mosquera
27
Jimer Fory
80
Julio Ortiz ↓ Diego Chara 75'

Bench

21
Diego Chara ↑ 75'
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 75'
15
Eric Miller
22
Omir Fernandez
25
Trey Muse
4
Kamal Miller
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 81'
10
David Pereira da Costa ↑ 56'
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 56'

Coach Phil Neville

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

6
Kyle Duncan
23
John McCarthy
4
Gustav Berggren ↑ 47'
15
Sean Nealis
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 82'
48
Ronald Donkor ↑ 46'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 64'
22
Dennis Gjengaar
14
Marcelo Morales ↑ 82'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Carlos Rivas	2
Carlos Rivas	2
Kyle Duncan	1
Jaroslaw Niezgoda	1
Aaron Long	1
Matias Rojas	1
Bradley Wright-Phillips	1
Antony	1

Head to Head

Portland Timbers Form

2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls W 2025-08-31 Minnesota United FC 1–1 Portland Timbers D 2025-08-24 San Diego FC 0–0 Portland Timbers D 2025-08-17 Portland Timbers 2–3 FC Cincinnati L 2025-08-10 FC Dallas 2–0 Portland Timbers L 2025-07-26 Los Angeles FC 0–1 Portland Timbers W

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-30 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Columbus Crew SC D 2025-08-24 Charlotte FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-10 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Real Salt Lake W 2025-07-27 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.88 Portland Timbers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.49 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers48% Draw24% New York Red Bulls28%

Actual: Portland Timbers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Draw

72%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

52%

Portland Timbers or New York Red Bulls

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Portland Timbers34% Draw41% New York Red Bulls25%

Actual: Portland Timbers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.5%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.1%

1 – 0

5.8%

3 – 1

5.4%

0 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.5%

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 0

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Handicap	Portland Timbers covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	20%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	16%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.