New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New England Revolution

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sun 17 Mar 2024 · 18:00 UTC Gillette Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Ian Harkes 48' Y

Y 63' DeAndre Yedlin

Y 69' Luca Orellano

Y 72' Luciano Acosta

DeJuan Jones 83' Y

Y 85' Pavel Bucha

Giacomo Vrioni 90' Y

Nacho Gil 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Gillette Stadium.

New England Revolution 27 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	27	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	St. Louis City	27	47
18	FC Dallas	27	47
19	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Seattle Sounders FC	27	38
23	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Head-to-Head

New England Revolution 13 games · Avg 3.1 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-07-01 FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution 2023-04-29 New England Revolution 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-03 New England Revolution 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-05-21 FC Cincinnati 2–3 New England Revolution

Recent Form

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
10 Mar	Atlanta United FC	A	1–4	L
03 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
25 Feb	D.C. United SC	A	1–3	L
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W
15 Oct	Nashville SC	A	2–3	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	New England Revolution	A	2–1	W
10 Mar	D.C. United SC	H	0–0	D
03 Mar	Chicago Fire FC	A	2–1	W
25 Feb	Toronto FC	H	0–0	D
21 Oct	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
07 Oct	Internacional CF Miami	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

New England Revolution		FC Cincinnati
#3	Position	#9
46	Points	33
27	Played	26
14 / 4 / 9	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
45	Scored	55
36	Conceded	64
+9	GD	-9
1.70	PPG	1.27
52%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New England Revolution are 3rd (46 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New England Revolution

0-15

4/3

16-30

2/2

31-45

7/5

46-60

6/2

61-75

2/4

76+

10/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New England Revolution

Carles Gil	12 G	4 A
Dor Turgeman	7 G	7 A
Peyton Miller	7 G	4 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Gillette Stadium. New England Revolution are looking to make home advantage count against FC Cincinnati.
5' Aaron Boupendza needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
10' It is a cagey affair so far. New England Revolution in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Caleb Porter might look to freshen things up shortly.
25' New England Revolution are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gerardo Valenzuela, as he is very good at scoring at Gillette Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Giacomo Vrioni suffering a number of foals already.
45' New England Revolution has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
46' FC Cincinnati make a change. Gerardo Valenzuela trudges off to be replaced by Luca Orellano on 46 minutes.
48' New England Revolution receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
50' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Malik Pinto by Luciano Acosta on 50 minute.
52' GOAL! Yuya Kubo fires home to make it 0-1!
54' A goal from the Argentina international Luciano Acosta! He fires home on 54 to make it 0-2!
59' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Caleb Porter will be considering his options from the bench.
62' Goal! Giacomo Vrioni scores his 20 goal in 521 matches.
63' DeAndre Yedlin picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
66' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Aaron Boupendza comes on to replace Sergio Santos.
69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luca Orellano on 69.
72' That looks like a foul for a card for Luciano Acosta.
74' The crowd applauds Kipp Keller as he leaves the pitch. Ian Murphy steps in for FC Cincinnati.
79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
83' The referee has no hesitation. DeJuan Jones is booked for New England Revolution — card on 83.
85' Controversy at the stadium! Pavel Bucha argues furiously but the card stands.
86' New England Revolution manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emmanuel Boateng is hanging Ian Harkes on the field on 86 minute.
87' The crowd applauds Corey Baird as he leaves the pitch. Stiven Jimenez steps in for FC Cincinnati.
90' Giacomo Vrioni has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
Full Time. FC Cincinnati beats New England Revolution

Lineups

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Caleb Porter

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

91
DeAndre Yedlin
21
Matt Miazga
7
Yuya Kubo
11
Corey Baird ↓ Stiven Jimenez 87'
12
Miles Robinson
20
Pavel Bucha
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Aaron Boupendza 66'
18
Roman Celentano
14
Kipp Keller ↓ Ian Murphy 74'
26
Malik Pinto ↓ Luciano Acosta 50'
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Luca Orellano 46'

Bench

9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 66'
36
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell
4
Nick Hagglund
10
Luciano Acosta ↑ 50'
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 46'
15
Bret Halsey
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 74'
37
Stiven Jimenez ↑ 87'

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Buksa	4
Giacomo Vrioni	3
Brandon Vazquez	2
Dom Badji	2
Gustavo Bou	2
Emmanuel Boateng	2
Brenner da Silva	2
Sebastian Lletget	1

Head to Head

New England Revolution Form

2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-03-10 Atlanta United FC 4–1 New England Revolution L 2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC L 2024-02-25 D.C. United SC 3–1 New England Revolution L 2023-10-21 New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union W 2023-10-15 Nashville SC 3–2 New England Revolution L

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-03-10 FC Cincinnati 0–0 D.C. United SC D 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC D 2023-10-21 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2023-10-07 Internacional CF Miami 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.1 New England Revolution xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.72 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: New England Revolution or FC Cincinnati 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New England Revolution42% Draw24% FC Cincinnati34%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.82

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

New England Revolution or Draw

66%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

58%

New England Revolution or FC Cincinnati

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New England Revolution35% Draw39% FC Cincinnati26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.8%

2 – 1

8.1%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

5.6%

2 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.8%

1 – 0

4.2%

2 – 3

3.9%

1 – 3

3.8%

0 – 0

3.4%

3 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — New England Revolution

Handicap	New England Revolution covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	19%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	15%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.