Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Atlanta United FC

4 – 1

Full Time

New England Revolution

Sun 10 Mar 2024 · 00:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Matt Polster

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
New England Revolution 34 games · 58 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 17 games · Avg 3.0 goals New England Revolution

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-10 Atlanta United FC 4–1 New England Revolution 2023-07-12 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC 2023-05-31 Atlanta United FC 3–3 New England Revolution 2022-10-01 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC 2022-05-15 Atlanta United FC 2–2 New England Revolution

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	New England Revolution	H	4–1	W
24 Feb	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–1	L
21 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	2–2	D
07 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–1	D
04 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	2–3	L
23 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	H	4–1	W

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Atlanta United FC	A	1–4	L
03 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
25 Feb	D.C. United SC	A	1–3	L
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W
15 Oct	Nashville SC	A	2–3	L
07 Oct	Orlando City SC	A	2–3	L

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		New England Revolution
#13	Position	#3
33	Points	58
34	Played	34
9 / 6 / 19	W / D / L	18 / 4 / 12
43	Scored	55
60	Conceded	47
-17	GD	+8
0.97	PPG	1.71
26%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

24% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts). New England Revolution are 3rd (58 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

5/6

31-45

4/7

46-60

5/12

61-75

6/8

76+

7/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New England Revolution

0-15

5/5

16-30

4/2

31-45

9/6

46-60

9/3

61-75

2/8

76+

12/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

New England Revolution

Carles Gil	13 G	7 A
Dor Turgeman	12 G	7 A
Peyton Miller	7 G	7 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Mercedes-Benz Stadium that hosts another battle between Atlanta United FC and New England Revolution.
5' New England Revolution looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Peyton Miller scoring 2 goals.
10' New England Revolution has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
20' Atlanta United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and New England Revolution are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
30' Brooks Lennon has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryan Spaulding made 301 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
40' Xande Silva has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 356 appearances.
45' The referee calls foul for Matt Polster. He receives a card.
47' Thiago Almada doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atlanta United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
55' Magnificent from Georgios Giakoumakis! That is 13 goals in 303 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
56' New England Revolution manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Esmir Bajraktarevic is hanging Mark-Anthony Kaye on the field on 56 minute.
60' GOAL! Georgios Giakoumakis fires home to make it 3-0!
65' New England Revolution come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
70' Another change for Atlanta United FC made on 70 minute. Xande Silva leaves to be changed by Tyler Wolff.
74' Against the run of play, Georgios Giakoumakis has scored! This game has turned on its head.
74' A tactical swap from New England Revolution — Ryan Spaulding on, Nick Lima off on 74 minutes.
79' The whistle greets Tristan Muyumba as he departs to be replaced by Ajani Fortune.
83' Against the run of play, Carles Gil has scored! This game has turned on its head.
85' The supporters are chanting for Jamal Thiare. He replaces Georgios Giakoumakis on 85 minute.
89' A tactical swap from New England Revolution — Emmanuel Boateng on, Giacomo Vrioni off on 89 minutes.
Another three points for Atlanta United FC.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Derrick Williams
11
Brooks Lennon
1
Brad Guzan
10
Thiago Almada
5
Stian Gregersen
16
Xande Silva ↓ Tyler Wolff 70'
6
Bartosz Slisz ↓ Dax McCarty 85'
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Ajani Fortune 79'
26
Caleb Wiley
7
Georgios Giakoumakis ↓ Jamal Thiare 85'
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Edwin Mosquera 79'

Bench

29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 85'
4
Luis Abram
13
Dax McCarty ↑ 85'
2
Ronald Hernandez
30
Nicolas Firmino
22
Josh Cohen
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 70'
20
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 79'
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 79'

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

9
Giacomo Vrioni ↓ Emmanuel Boateng 89'
10
Carles Gil
12
Nick Lima ↓ Ryan Spaulding 74'
28
Mark-Anthony Kaye ↓ Esmir Bajraktarevic 56'
8
Matt Polster ↓ Noel Buck 89'
14
Ian Harkes
5
Tomas Chancalay
1
Henrich Ravas
24
DeJuan Jones
4
Henry Kessler
2
Dave Romney

Bench

Coach Caleb Porter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Carles Gil	6
Giacomo Vrioni	5
Josef Martinez	3
Gustavo Bou	3
Thiago Almada	3
Georgios Giakoumakis	3
Peyton Miller	2
Dor Turgeman	2

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2024-03-10 Atlanta United FC 4–1 New England Revolution W 2024-02-24 Columbus Crew SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC L 2023-10-21 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2023-10-07 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Columbus Crew SC D 2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC L 2023-09-23 Atlanta United FC 4–1 Montreal Impact FC W

New England Revolution Form

2024-03-10 Atlanta United FC 4–1 New England Revolution L 2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC L 2024-02-25 D.C. United SC 3–1 New England Revolution L 2023-10-21 New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union W 2023-10-15 Nashville SC 3–2 New England Revolution L 2023-10-07 Orlando City SC 3–2 New England Revolution L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.09 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.62 New England Revolution xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC50% Draw23% New England Revolution27%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.71

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

72%

Draw or New England Revolution

50%

Atlanta United FC or New England Revolution

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Atlanta United FC36% Draw39% New England Revolution25%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted

4 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

9.1%

2 – 1

8.4%

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

5.8%

2 – 0

5.4%

3 – 2

4.7%

1 – 0

4.6%

0 – 0

3.7%

3 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

3.6%

1 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	New England Revolution covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	14%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	19%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	15%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.