Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Atlanta United FC

4 – 1

Full Time

New England Revolution

Sun 10 Mar 2024 · 00:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Matt Polster

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
New England Revolution 27 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 17 games · Avg 3.0 goals New England Revolution

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-10 Atlanta United FC 4–1 New England Revolution 2023-07-12 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC 2023-05-31 Atlanta United FC 3–3 New England Revolution 2022-10-01 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC 2022-05-15 Atlanta United FC 2–2 New England Revolution

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	New England Revolution	H	4–1	W
24 Feb	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–1	L
21 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	2–2	D
07 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–1	D
04 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	2–3	L
23 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	H	4–1	W

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Atlanta United FC	A	1–4	L
03 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
25 Feb	D.C. United SC	A	1–3	L
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W
15 Oct	Nashville SC	A	2–3	L
07 Oct	Orlando City SC	A	2–3	L

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		New England Revolution
#14	Position	#3
27	Points	46
27	Played	27
7 / 6 / 14	W / D / L	14 / 4 / 9
32	Scored	45
45	Conceded	36
-13	GD	+9
1.00	PPG	1.70
26%	Win %	52%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

26% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). New England Revolution are 3rd (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

3/5

31-45

2/5

46-60

3/6

61-75

4/7

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New England Revolution

0-15

4/3

16-30

2/2

31-45

7/5

46-60

6/2

61-75

2/4

76+

10/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

New England Revolution

Carles Gil	12 G	4 A
Dor Turgeman	7 G	7 A
Peyton Miller	7 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' New England Revolution is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atlanta United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
15' New England Revolution fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
20' It’s high time Gonzalo Pineda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tristan Muyumba is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New England Revolution.
30' Tomas Chancalay is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New England Revolution tonight.
35' It looks like no one’s ball. New England Revolution is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atlanta United FC and New England Revolution are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matt Polster on 45 minutes.
47' Thiago Almada is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the midfielder.
52' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
55' What a strike from Georgios Giakoumakis! The score is 2-0.
56' New England Revolution make a change. Mark-Anthony Kaye trudges off to be replaced by Esmir Bajraktarevic on 56 minutes.
60' What a strike from Georgios Giakoumakis! The score is 3-0.
65' Emmanuel Boateng has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
70' The whistle greets Xande Silva as he departs to be replaced by Tyler Wolff.
74' What composure from Georgios Giakoumakis! The Greece international strokes it home. 4-0.
74' Another change for New England Revolution made on 74 minute. Nick Lima leaves to be changed by Ryan Spaulding.
79' Ajani Fortune is replacing Tristan Muyumba for the Atlanta United FC side.
83' GOAL! Carles Gil fires home to make it 4-1!
85' Georgios Giakoumakis makes way for Jamal Thiare at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Atlanta United FC.
89' Fresh legs for New England Revolution! Emmanuel Boateng comes on to replace Giacomo Vrioni.
Full Time. Atlanta United FC beats New England Revolution

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Derrick Williams
11
Brooks Lennon
1
Brad Guzan
10
Thiago Almada
5
Stian Gregersen
16
Xande Silva ↓ Tyler Wolff 70'
6
Bartosz Slisz ↓ Dax McCarty 85'
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Ajani Fortune 79'
26
Caleb Wiley
7
Georgios Giakoumakis ↓ Jamal Thiare 85'
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Edwin Mosquera 79'

Bench

29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 85'
4
Luis Abram
13
Dax McCarty ↑ 85'
2
Ronald Hernandez
30
Nicolas Firmino
22
Josh Cohen
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 70'
20
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 79'
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 79'

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

9
Giacomo Vrioni ↓ Emmanuel Boateng 89'
10
Carles Gil
12
Nick Lima ↓ Ryan Spaulding 74'
28
Mark-Anthony Kaye ↓ Esmir Bajraktarevic 56'
8
Matt Polster ↓ Noel Buck 89'
14
Ian Harkes
5
Tomas Chancalay
1
Henrich Ravas
24
DeJuan Jones
4
Henry Kessler
2
Dave Romney

Bench

Coach Caleb Porter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Carles Gil	6
Giacomo Vrioni	5
Josef Martinez	3
Gustavo Bou	3
Thiago Almada	3
Georgios Giakoumakis	3
Peyton Miller	2
Dor Turgeman	2

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2024-03-10 Atlanta United FC 4–1 New England Revolution W 2024-02-24 Columbus Crew SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC L 2023-10-21 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2023-10-07 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Columbus Crew SC D 2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC L 2023-09-23 Atlanta United FC 4–1 Montreal Impact FC W

New England Revolution Form

2024-03-10 Atlanta United FC 4–1 New England Revolution L 2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC L 2024-02-25 D.C. United SC 3–1 New England Revolution L 2023-10-21 New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union W 2023-10-15 Nashville SC 3–2 New England Revolution L 2023-10-07 Orlando City SC 3–2 New England Revolution L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.04 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.61 New England Revolution xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC49% Draw23% New England Revolution28%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.65

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

72%

Draw or New England Revolution

51%

Atlanta United FC or New England Revolution

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Atlanta United FC36% Draw40% New England Revolution24%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted

4 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

9.4%

2 – 1

8.4%

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

5.7%

2 – 0

5.5%

1 – 0

4.8%

3 – 2

4.6%

0 – 0

3.9%

3 – 0

3.6%

0 – 1

3.6%

2 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	New England Revolution covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	19%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	15%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.