Internacional CF Miami vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Internacional CF Miami

0 – 1

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 23:30 UTC DRV PNK Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 78' Alvaro Barreal

Y 27' Obinna Nwobodo

Y 84' Roman Celentano

Overview

Match Preview

Internacional CF Miami vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at DRV PNK Stadium.

Internacional CF Miami 27 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Internacional CF Miami 13 games · Avg 3.2 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-07 Internacional CF Miami 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-01 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Internacional CF Miami 2022-07-31 Internacional CF Miami 4–4 FC Cincinnati 2022-03-19 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Internacional CF Miami 2021-10-24 Internacional CF Miami 5–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Internacional CF Miami

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	0–1	L
05 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–4	L
30 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–1	D
24 Sep	Orlando City SC	A	1–1	D
20 Sep	Toronto FC	H	4–0	W
16 Sep	Atlanta United FC	A	2–5	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Internacional CF Miami	A	1–0	W
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	1–2	L
30 Sep	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
23 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	3–0	W
20 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–1	D
16 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Internacional CF Miami		FC Cincinnati
#2	Position	#9
46	Points	33
27	Played	26
12 / 10 / 5	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
64	Scored	55
50	Conceded	64
+14	GD	-9
1.70	PPG	1.27
44%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Internacional CF Miami this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Internacional CF Miami are 2nd (46 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Internacional CF Miami

0-15

3/7

16-30

7/4

31-45

14/3

46-60

5/6

61-75

4/4

76+

12/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Internacional CF Miami

Lionel Messi	20 G	11 A
Luis Suarez	13 G	3 A
German Berterame	7 G	4 A
Rodrigo de Paul	4 G	3 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at DRV PNK Stadium as Internacional CF Miami face off against FC Cincinnati in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Internacional CF Miami and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Internacional CF Miami must find a spark to ignite this game.
27' The referee calls foul for Obinna Nwobodo. He receives a card.
32' Internacional CF Miami started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
37' Internacional CF Miami is showing some good football. However, Internacional CF Miami are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
47' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Obinna Nwobodo departs to be replaced by Aaron Boupendza.
52' Junior Moreno has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 285 appearances.
55' The Internacional CF Miami manager makes a substitution. David Ruiz departs to be replaced by Jean Mota.
60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
65' Junior Moreno makes way for Yuya Kubo at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
70' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
75' Benjamin Cremaschi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
76' Time for substitution for Internacional CF Miami. Josef Martinez is replaced by Nicolas Stefanelli.
78' GOAL! Alvaro Barreal scores on 78. Assisted by Alvaro Barreal
81' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Alvaro Barreal exits the field as Bret Halsey enters on 81.
84' It’s gonna be a card for Roman Celentano.
88' Dom Badji is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brandon Vazquez at the 88 minute mark.
The points are shared — Internacional CF Miami 0-1 FC Cincinnati. Honours even.

Lineups

Internacional CF Miami Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

2
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Robert Taylor 76'
5
Busquets
17
Josef Martinez ↓ Nicolas Stefanelli 76'
31
Kamal Miller
11
Facundo Farias
1
Drake Callender
32
Noah Allen
6
Tomas Aviles ↓ Lionel Messi 55'
30
Benjamin Cremaschi
41
David Ruiz ↓ Jean Mota 55'
27
Sergiy Kryvtsov

Bench

Coach Gerardo Martino

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 47'
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 65'
1
Alec Kann
15
Yerson Mosquera
42
Bret Halsey ↑ 81'
14
Dom Badji ↑ 88'
8
Marco Angulo
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 88'
58
Gerardo Valenzuela

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gonzalo Higuain	8
Brandon Vazquez	5
Yuya Kubo	2
Lewis Morgan	2
Gerardo Valenzuela	2
Ronald Matarrita	2
Luis Suarez	2
Brenner da Silva	2

Head to Head

Internacional CF Miami Form

2023-10-07 Internacional CF Miami 0–1 FC Cincinnati L 2023-10-05 Chicago Fire FC 4–1 Internacional CF Miami L 2023-09-30 Internacional CF Miami 1–1 New York City FC D 2023-09-24 Orlando City SC 1–1 Internacional CF Miami D 2023-09-20 Internacional CF Miami 4–0 Toronto FC W 2023-09-16 Atlanta United FC 5–2 Internacional CF Miami L

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-10-07 Internacional CF Miami 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls L 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2023-09-23 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Charlotte FC W 2023-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

2.86 Internacional CF Miami xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.96 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Internacional CF Miami48% Draw21% FC Cincinnati31%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes80% 0% No20%

Avg goals/match: 4.82

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	85%	15%
± 3.5	69%	31%
± 4.5	51%	49%

Double Chance

Internacional CF Miami or Draw

69%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

52%

Internacional CF Miami or FC Cincinnati

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Internacional CF Miami44% Draw33% FC Cincinnati23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

6.1%

3 – 1

3 – 2

5.8%

1 – 1

5.2%

1 – 2

4.5%

4 – 1

4.3%

4 – 2

4.1%

2 – 3

3 – 3

3.8%

2 – 0

3.5%

3 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Internacional CF Miami

Handicap	Internacional CF Miami covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	16%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	18%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	12%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Internacional CF Miami keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

7% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.