FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 5–2 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #15 |
| 26 | Points | 12 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 12 |
| 45 | Scored | 19 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +1 | GD | -14 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 39% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at TQL Stadium!
- 5' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 12' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Georgios Giakoumakis makes it 0-1.
- 17' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pat Noonan will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' Assisted by Alvas Powell with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dom Badji makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 30' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atlanta United FC backline.
- 32' Magnificent from Georgios Giakoumakis! That is 13 goals in 287 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 36' The referee has no hesitation. Thiago Almada is booked for Atlanta United FC — card on 36.
- 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Miles Robinson, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 46' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Junior Moreno has done his job and it is now time for Yuya Kubo to step up.
- 47' The deadlock is broken! Luciano Acosta gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Thiago Almada.
- 56' The 33-year-old Junior Moreno has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 61' Atlanta United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 63' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Saba Lobzhanidze is replaced by Edwin Mosquera.
- 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 71' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Dom Badji exits the field as Sergio Santos enters on 71.
- 73' Matt Miazga was booked on 73.
- 75' Ajani Fortune is ready to make an impact after coming on for Xande Silva at the 75 minute mark.
- 80' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 85' Atlanta United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 89' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Caleb Wiley by Brooks Lennon on 89 minute.
- 90' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Malik Pinto on, Ian Murphy off on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Nick Hagglund 90'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Bret Halsey 71'
- 10
-
93
Junior Moreno ↓ Yuya Kubo 46'
- 19
- 31
- 5
- 15
-
32
Ian Murphy ↓ Malik Pinto 90'
- 18
-
14
Dom Badji ↓ Sergio Santos 71'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 46'
- 28
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↑ 90'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 71'
-
42
Bret Halsey ↑ 71'
- 8
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 90'
- 58
Coach
Pat Noonan
Atlanta United FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 20
- 4
- 1
- 12
- 10
-
16
Xande Silva ↓ Ajani Fortune 75'
- 2
-
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Juan Sanchez 90'
-
26
Caleb Wiley ↓ Brooks Lennon 89'
- 7
- 9
Bench
-
29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 75'
- 31
-
11
Brooks Lennon ↑ 89'
- 18
- 13
- 19
-
21
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 63'
-
22
Juan Sanchez ↑ 90'
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 75'
Coach
Gonzalo Pineda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Luiz Araujo | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2023-10-21
FC Cincinnati
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
2023-10-07
Atlanta United FC
1–1
Columbus Crew SC
D
2023-10-04
Philadelphia Union
3–2
Atlanta United FC
L
2023-09-23
Atlanta United FC
4–1
Montreal Impact FC
W
2023-09-20
D.C. United SC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2023-09-16
Atlanta United FC
5–2
Internacional CF Miami
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.56
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
76%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
45%
FC Cincinnati or Atlanta United FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.4%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 20% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

