FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 5–2 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #14 |
| 33 | Points | 27 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 14 |
| 55 | Scored | 32 |
| 64 | Conceded | 45 |
| -9 | GD | -13 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 31% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United FC get this one started.
- 5' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Atlanta United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 12' Georgios Giakoumakis makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Atlanta United FC are in front.
- 17' Supporters expect more eagerness from Xande Silva, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Thiago Almada suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' What composure from Dom Badji! The Senegal international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gonzalo Pineda will be considering his options from the bench.
- 32' What a strike from Georgios Giakoumakis! The score is 1-2.
- 36' Atlanta United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Junior Moreno by Yuya Kubo on 46 minute.
- 47' Luciano Acosta makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
- 51' Atlanta United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 51.
- 56' The 25-year-old Yerson Mosquera has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brad Guzan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 63' Atlanta United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Edwin Mosquera is hanging Saba Lobzhanidze on the field on 63 minute.
- 68' It looks surprising Atlanta United FC does not make any changes. Luis Abram has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 71' Sergio Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dom Badji at the 71 minute mark.
- 73' Poor challenge from Matt Miazga. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 75' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Xande Silva by Ajani Fortune on 75 minute.
- 80' Edwin Mosquera needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 85' Poor challenge from Jamal Thiare. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 89' The crowd applauds Caleb Wiley as he leaves the pitch. Brooks Lennon steps in for Atlanta United FC.
- 90' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Ian Murphy is replaced by Malik Pinto on 90 minute.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Nick Hagglund 90'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Bret Halsey 71'
- 10
-
93
Junior Moreno ↓ Yuya Kubo 46'
- 19
- 31
- 5
- 15
-
32
Ian Murphy ↓ Malik Pinto 90'
- 18
-
14
Dom Badji ↓ Sergio Santos 71'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 46'
- 28
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↑ 90'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 71'
-
42
Bret Halsey ↑ 71'
- 8
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 90'
- 58
Coach
Pat Noonan
Atlanta United FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 20
- 4
- 1
- 12
- 10
-
16
Xande Silva ↓ Ajani Fortune 75'
- 2
-
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Juan Sanchez 90'
-
26
Caleb Wiley ↓ Brooks Lennon 89'
- 7
- 9
Bench
-
29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 75'
- 31
-
11
Brooks Lennon ↑ 89'
- 18
- 13
- 19
-
21
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 63'
-
22
Juan Sanchez ↑ 90'
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 75'
Coach
Gonzalo Pineda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Dom Badji | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2023-10-21
FC Cincinnati
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
2023-10-07
Atlanta United FC
1–1
Columbus Crew SC
D
2023-10-04
Philadelphia Union
3–2
Atlanta United FC
L
2023-09-23
Atlanta United FC
4–1
Montreal Impact FC
W
2023-09-20
D.C. United SC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2023-09-16
Atlanta United FC
5–2
Internacional CF Miami
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.18
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
71%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
52%
FC Cincinnati or Atlanta United FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 19% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

