FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 5–2 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #13 |
| 46 | Points | 33 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 19 |
| 67 | Scored | 43 |
| 75 | Conceded | 60 |
| -8 | GD | -17 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/6
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/12
61-75
6/8
76+
7/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Cincinnati have kicked off against Atlanta United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' USA international Brandon Vazquez has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 12' Magnificent from Georgios Giakoumakis! That is 13 goals in 303 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 17' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 22' Matt Miazga needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 25' A goal from the Senegal international Dom Badji! He fires home on 25 to make it 1-1!
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 32' Georgios Giakoumakis has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
- 36' A moment of madness from Thiago Almada on 36 minutes earns him a card. Atlanta United FC will be frustrated.
- 41' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Junior Moreno is replaced by Yuya Kubo on 46 minute.
- 47' Luciano Acosta is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 51' Thiago Almada catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 51.
- 56' Atlanta United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 100% of all matches.
- 63' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FC — Edwin Mosquera on, Saba Lobzhanidze off on 63 minutes.
- 68' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 71' The crowd applauds Dom Badji as he leaves the pitch. Sergio Santos steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matt Miazga on 73.
- 75' A change in the Atlanta United FC ranks — Xande Silva exits the field as Ajani Fortune enters on 75.
- 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 85' It’s a booking for Atlanta United FC player. Jamal Thiare gets a card.
- 89' Another change for Atlanta United FC made on 89 minute. Caleb Wiley leaves to be changed by Brooks Lennon.
- 90' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Ian Murphy has done his job and it is now time for Malik Pinto to step up.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Nick Hagglund 90'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Bret Halsey 71'
- 10
-
93
Junior Moreno ↓ Yuya Kubo 46'
- 19
- 31
- 5
- 15
-
32
Ian Murphy ↓ Malik Pinto 90'
- 18
-
14
Dom Badji ↓ Sergio Santos 71'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 46'
- 28
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↑ 90'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 71'
-
42
Bret Halsey ↑ 71'
- 8
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 90'
- 58
Coach
Pat Noonan
Atlanta United FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 20
- 4
- 1
- 12
- 10
-
16
Xande Silva ↓ Ajani Fortune 75'
- 2
-
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Juan Sanchez 90'
-
26
Caleb Wiley ↓ Brooks Lennon 89'
- 7
- 9
Bench
-
29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 75'
- 31
-
11
Brooks Lennon ↑ 89'
- 18
- 13
- 19
-
21
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 63'
-
22
Juan Sanchez ↑ 90'
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 75'
Coach
Gonzalo Pineda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2023-10-21
FC Cincinnati
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
2023-10-07
Atlanta United FC
1–1
Columbus Crew SC
D
2023-10-04
Philadelphia Union
3–2
Atlanta United FC
L
2023-09-23
Atlanta United FC
4–1
Montreal Impact FC
W
2023-09-20
D.C. United SC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2023-09-16
Atlanta United FC
5–2
Internacional CF Miami
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
72%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
51%
FC Cincinnati or Atlanta United FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%
0 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 19% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.