New England Revolution vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New England Revolution

0 – 1

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 19:00 UTC Gillette Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 73' Federico Bernardeschi

Y 82' Nicksoen Gomis

Y 87' Sean Johnson

Y 90' Ayo Akinola

Overview

Match Preview

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC — MLS at Gillette Stadium.

New England Revolution 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

New England Revolution 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC 2023-06-24 New England Revolution 2–1 Toronto FC 2023-05-06 Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution 2022-08-17 Toronto FC 2–2 New England Revolution 2022-07-31 New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
25 Feb	D.C. United SC	A	1–3	L
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W
15 Oct	Nashville SC	A	2–3	L
07 Oct	Orlando City SC	A	2–3	L
04 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–2	L

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	New England Revolution	A	1–0	W
25 Feb	FC Cincinnati	A	0–0	D
21 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	0–2	L
07 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	0–3	L
04 Oct	Charlotte FC	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–3	L

Season Stats

New England Revolution		Toronto FC
#3	Position	#12
30	Points	17
18	Played	18
9 / 3 / 6	W / D / L	3 / 8 / 7
28	Scored	24
23	Conceded	32
+5	GD	-8
1.67	PPG	0.94
50%	Win %	17%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New England Revolution are 3rd (30 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New England Revolution

0-15

3/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/3

46-60

4/2

61-75

2/–

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

6/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New England Revolution

Carles Gil

5 G

3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. New England Revolution kicks off things out of here…
5' DeJuan Jones has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 284 appearances.
10' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
15' Toronto FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
27' Lorenzo Insigne adds to his 0 season tally! Toronto FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
32' New England Revolution are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
37' Honduras international Deybi Flores has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
46' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Lorenzo Insigne is replaced by Kobe Franklin on 46 minute.
51' New England Revolution are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's shape.
56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
61' Another substitution for New England Revolution to replace Emmanuel Boateng by Nacho Gil on 61 minute.
66' Ayo Akinola is ready to make an impact after coming on for Prince-Osei Owusu at the 66 minute mark.
71' It is a cagey affair so far. New England Revolution in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
73' Federico Bernardeschi was booked on 73.
73' Fresh legs for New England Revolution! Nick Lima comes on to replace Andrew Farrell.
78' Toronto FC make a change. Raoul Petretta trudges off to be replaced by Kosi Thompson on 78 minutes.
82' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 82.
87' Toronto FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
88' Jack Panayotou is replacing DeJuan Jones for the New England Revolution side.
90' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 90.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Toronto FC take all three points.

Lineups

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Caleb Porter

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Herdman

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Carles Gil	4
Cristian Penilla	3
Cristian Penilla	3
Sebastian Giovinco	2
Jonathan Osorio	2
Ayo Akinola	2
Sebastian Giovinco	2
Gustavo Bou	2

Head to Head

New England Revolution Form

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC L 2024-02-25 D.C. United SC 3–1 New England Revolution L 2023-10-21 New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union W 2023-10-15 Nashville SC 3–2 New England Revolution L 2023-10-07 Orlando City SC 3–2 New England Revolution L 2023-10-04 New England Revolution 1–2 Columbus Crew SC L

Toronto FC Form

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC W 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC D 2023-10-21 Toronto FC 0–2 Orlando City SC L 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-10-04 Charlotte FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.56 New England Revolution xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.91 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New England Revolution47% Draw28% Toronto FC25%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.47

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

New England Revolution or Draw

76%

Draw or Toronto FC

53%

New England Revolution or Toronto FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New England Revolution35% Draw48% Toronto FC17%

Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 0

12.2%

0 – 0

10.5%

2 – 0

10%

2 – 1

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

5.1%

3 – 1

4.7%

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

2.3%

Asian Handicap — New England Revolution

Handicap	New England Revolution covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	16%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	24%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

41% ✓

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.