New England Revolution vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New England Revolution

0 – 1

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 19:00 UTC Gillette Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 73' Federico Bernardeschi

Y 82' Nicksoen Gomis

Y 87' Sean Johnson

Y 90' Ayo Akinola

Overview

Match Preview

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC — MLS at Gillette Stadium.

New England Revolution 14 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New England Revolution 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC 2023-06-24 New England Revolution 2–1 Toronto FC 2023-05-06 Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution 2022-08-17 Toronto FC 2–2 New England Revolution 2022-07-31 New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
25 Feb	D.C. United SC	A	1–3	L
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W
15 Oct	Nashville SC	A	2–3	L
07 Oct	Orlando City SC	A	2–3	L
04 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–2	L

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	New England Revolution	A	1–0	W
25 Feb	FC Cincinnati	A	0–0	D
21 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	0–2	L
07 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	0–3	L
04 Oct	Charlotte FC	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–3	L

Season Stats

New England Revolution		Toronto FC
#4	Position	#11
25	Points	14
14	Played	14
8 / 1 / 5	W / D / L	3 / 5 / 6
22	Scored	22
18	Conceded	29
+4	GD	-7
1.79	PPG	1.00
57%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

36% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New England Revolution are 4th (25 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New England Revolution

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

3/–

61-75

1/–

76+

4/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

5/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! New England Revolution welcome Toronto FC for this crunch clash at Gillette Stadium.
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
10' New England Revolution is showing some good football. However, New England Revolution are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
15' It’s high time John Herdman made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
20' Toronto FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
25' New England Revolution currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
27' What a strike from Lorenzo Insigne! The score is 0-1.
32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Emmanuel Boateng, as he is very good at scoring at Gillette Stadium with 7 goals in the last 7 games.
37' A quiet spell here at Gillette Stadium. New England Revolution seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
46' Kobe Franklin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lorenzo Insigne on 46 minute.
51' New England Revolution are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
56' The home supporters are growing impatient. New England Revolution must find a spark to ignite this game.
61' New England Revolution make a change. Emmanuel Boateng trudges off to be replaced by Nacho Gil on 61 minutes.
66' Toronto FC make a change. Prince-Osei Owusu trudges off to be replaced by Ayo Akinola on 66 minutes.
71' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
73' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Federico Bernardeschi.
73' Another change for New England Revolution made on 73 minute. Andrew Farrell leaves to be changed by Nick Lima.
78' Kosi Thompson is replacing Raoul Petretta for the Toronto FC side.
82' It’s gonna be a card for Nicksoen Gomis.
87' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 87.
88' New England Revolution manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jack Panayotou is hanging DeJuan Jones on the field on 88 minute.
90' Ayo Akinola picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Toronto FC take all three points.

Lineups

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Caleb Porter

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Herdman

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Carles Gil	4
Cristian Penilla	3
Cristian Penilla	3
Ayo Akinola	2
Sebastian Giovinco	2
Gustavo Bou	2
Bobby Wood	2
Sebastian Giovinco	2

Head to Head

New England Revolution Form

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC L 2024-02-25 D.C. United SC 3–1 New England Revolution L 2023-10-21 New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union W 2023-10-15 Nashville SC 3–2 New England Revolution L 2023-10-07 Orlando City SC 3–2 New England Revolution L 2023-10-04 New England Revolution 1–2 Columbus Crew SC L

Toronto FC Form

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC W 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC D 2023-10-21 Toronto FC 0–2 Orlando City SC L 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-10-04 Charlotte FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.7 New England Revolution xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New England Revolution49% Draw27% Toronto FC24%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.69

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

New England Revolution or Draw

76%

Draw or Toronto FC

51%

New England Revolution or Toronto FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New England Revolution37% Draw46% Toronto FC17%

Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 0

10.6%

2 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

9.4%

0 – 0

8.6%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 1

5.3%

3 – 0

5.3%

2 – 2

4.7%

0 – 2

3.3%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — New England Revolution

Handicap	New England Revolution covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	23%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.