New England Revolution vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New England Revolution

0 – 1

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 19:00 UTC Gillette Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 73' Federico Bernardeschi

Y 82' Nicksoen Gomis

Y 87' Sean Johnson

Y 90' Ayo Akinola

Overview

Match Preview

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC — MLS at Gillette Stadium.

New England Revolution 34 games · 58 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

New England Revolution 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC 2023-06-24 New England Revolution 2–1 Toronto FC 2023-05-06 Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution 2022-08-17 Toronto FC 2–2 New England Revolution 2022-07-31 New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
25 Feb	D.C. United SC	A	1–3	L
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W
15 Oct	Nashville SC	A	2–3	L
07 Oct	Orlando City SC	A	2–3	L
04 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–2	L

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	New England Revolution	A	1–0	W
25 Feb	FC Cincinnati	A	0–0	D
21 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	0–2	L
07 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	0–3	L
04 Oct	Charlotte FC	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–3	L

Season Stats

New England Revolution		Toronto FC
#3	Position	#12
58	Points	39
34	Played	34
18 / 4 / 12	W / D / L	9 / 12 / 13
55	Scored	52
47	Conceded	67
+8	GD	-15
1.71	PPG	1.15
53%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New England Revolution are 3rd (58 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New England Revolution

0-15

5/5

16-30

4/2

31-45

9/6

46-60

9/3

61-75

2/8

76+

12/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/10

31-45

6/9

46-60

5/12

61-75

9/7

76+

16/12

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New England Revolution

Carles Gil	13 G	7 A
Dor Turgeman	12 G	7 A
Peyton Miller	7 G	7 A

Toronto FC

Josh Sargent	10 G	4 A
Daniel Salloi	9 G	6 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. New England Revolution is hosting Toronto FC for another epic battle.
5' Noel Buck is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New England Revolution so far.
10' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
15' The home supporters are growing impatient. New England Revolution must find a spark to ignite this game.
20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New England Revolution side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
25' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Niklas Dorsch scoring 1 goals.
27' Lorenzo Insigne puts Toronto FC on the lead.
32' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Caleb Porter will be considering his options from the bench.
37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
46' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Lorenzo Insigne is replaced by Kobe Franklin.
51' Kosi Thompson, a Canada , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
56' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
61' Another substitution for New England Revolution to replace Emmanuel Boateng by Nacho Gil on 61 minute.
66' Prince-Osei Owusu makes way for Ayo Akinola at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
71' Dave Romney needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
73' It’s gonna be a card for Federico Bernardeschi.
73' Andrew Farrell makes way for Nick Lima at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from New England Revolution.
78' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Raoul Petretta is withdrawn and Kosi Thompson gets his opportunity.
82' Poor challenge from Nicksoen Gomis. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
87' That looks like a foul for a card for Sean Johnson.
88' The New England Revolution bench stirs into life. DeJuan Jones is withdrawn and Jack Panayotou gets his opportunity.
90' Ayo Akinola catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
0-1 the final result. New England Revolution will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Caleb Porter

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Herdman

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Carles Gil	4
Cristian Penilla	3
Cristian Penilla	3
Sebastian Giovinco	2
Jonathan Osorio	2
Ayo Akinola	2
Sebastian Giovinco	2
Gustavo Bou	2

Head to Head

New England Revolution Form

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC L 2024-02-25 D.C. United SC 3–1 New England Revolution L 2023-10-21 New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union W 2023-10-15 Nashville SC 3–2 New England Revolution L 2023-10-07 Orlando City SC 3–2 New England Revolution L 2023-10-04 New England Revolution 1–2 Columbus Crew SC L

Toronto FC Form

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC W 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC D 2023-10-21 Toronto FC 0–2 Orlando City SC L 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-10-04 Charlotte FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.7 New England Revolution xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.03 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New England Revolution48% Draw27% Toronto FC25%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.73

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

New England Revolution or Draw

75%

Draw or Toronto FC

52%

New England Revolution or Toronto FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New England Revolution37% Draw46% Toronto FC17%

Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 0

10.2%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

9.2%

0 – 0

8.4%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

5.3%

3 – 0

5.1%

2 – 2

4.9%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — New England Revolution

Handicap	New England Revolution covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	23%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	13%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.