New England Revolution vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New England Revolution

0 – 1

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 19:00 UTC Gillette Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 73' Federico Bernardeschi

Y 82' Nicksoen Gomis

Y 87' Sean Johnson

Y 90' Ayo Akinola

Overview

Match Preview

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC — MLS at Gillette Stadium.

New England Revolution 27 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New England Revolution 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC 2023-06-24 New England Revolution 2–1 Toronto FC 2023-05-06 Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution 2022-08-17 Toronto FC 2–2 New England Revolution 2022-07-31 New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
25 Feb	D.C. United SC	A	1–3	L
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W
15 Oct	Nashville SC	A	2–3	L
07 Oct	Orlando City SC	A	2–3	L
04 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–2	L

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	New England Revolution	A	1–0	W
25 Feb	FC Cincinnati	A	0–0	D
21 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	0–2	L
07 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	0–3	L
04 Oct	Charlotte FC	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–3	L

Season Stats

New England Revolution		Toronto FC
#3	Position	#13
46	Points	29
27	Played	27
14 / 4 / 9	W / D / L	6 / 11 / 10
45	Scored	39
36	Conceded	51
+9	GD	-12
1.70	PPG	1.07
52%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New England Revolution are 3rd (46 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New England Revolution

0-15

4/3

16-30

2/2

31-45

7/5

46-60

6/2

61-75

2/4

76+

10/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/6

46-60

4/7

61-75

7/6

76+

9/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New England Revolution

Carles Gil	12 G	4 A
Dor Turgeman	7 G	7 A
Peyton Miller	7 G	4 A

Toronto FC

Daniel Salloi	7 G	5 A
Josh Sargent	7 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Gillette Stadium. New England Revolution are looking to make home advantage count against Toronto FC.
5' The 28-year-old Henry Kessler has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
10' It’s high time Caleb Porter made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New England Revolution that had 289 games and scored 415 goals.
20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kosi Thompson suffering a number of foals already.
25' Noel Buck has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
27' Lorenzo Insigne adds to his 0 season tally! Toronto FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
32' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
37' The energy levels are beginning to show. Caleb Porter might look to freshen things up shortly.
42' Over 42 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
46' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Lorenzo Insigne is withdrawn and Kobe Franklin gets his opportunity.
51' It looks like no one’s ball. New England Revolution is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New England Revolution side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
61' Another substitution for New England Revolution to replace Emmanuel Boateng by Nacho Gil on 61 minute.
66' Ayo Akinola is ready to make an impact after coming on for Prince-Osei Owusu at the 66 minute mark.
71' New England Revolution have won 415 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
73' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Federico Bernardeschi.
73' Nick Lima is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andrew Farrell at the 73 minute mark.
78' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Raoul Petretta is replaced by Kosi Thompson on 78 minute.
82' The referee calls foul for Nicksoen Gomis. He receives a card.
87' Controversy at the stadium! Sean Johnson argues furiously but the card stands.
88' Jack Panayotou gets the nod from New England Revolution. He replaces DeJuan Jones and will look to change the dynamic.
90' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 90.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for New England Revolution.

Lineups

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Caleb Porter

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Herdman

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Carles Gil	4
Cristian Penilla	3
Cristian Penilla	3
Jonathan Osorio	2
Ayo Akinola	2
Sebastian Giovinco	2
Gustavo Bou	2
Bobby Wood	2

Head to Head

New England Revolution Form

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC L 2024-02-25 D.C. United SC 3–1 New England Revolution L 2023-10-21 New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union W 2023-10-15 Nashville SC 3–2 New England Revolution L 2023-10-07 Orlando City SC 3–2 New England Revolution L 2023-10-04 New England Revolution 1–2 Columbus Crew SC L

Toronto FC Form

2024-03-03 New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC W 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC D 2023-10-21 Toronto FC 0–2 Orlando City SC L 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-10-04 Charlotte FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.69 New England Revolution xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.98 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New England Revolution49% Draw27% Toronto FC24%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.67

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

New England Revolution or Draw

76%

Draw or Toronto FC

51%

New England Revolution or Toronto FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New England Revolution37% Draw46% Toronto FC17%

Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 0

10.8%

2 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

9.3%

0 – 0

8.8%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

5.4%

3 – 1

5.3%

2 – 2

4.6%

0 – 2

3.2%

3 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — New England Revolution

Handicap	New England Revolution covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	23%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.