Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 – 1
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC EDION Stadium Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 57' Kasper Junker
Shinnosuke Nakatani og 72' 1–1
Douglas Vieira pen 81' 2–1
Ezequiel 85' 3–1
Y 38' Ryoya Morishita
Y 48' Takuya Uchida
Y 77' Mitch Langerak
Y 77' Akinari Kawazura
Ezequiel 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

7
3
10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
23 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–1 L
16 Sep Vissel Kobe H 2–0 W
02 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
26 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 0–0 D
19 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–2 W
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–3 L
23 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
16 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
02 Sep Yokohama FC H 1–1 D
26 Aug Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–3 L
18 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
#4 Position #3
30 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
+8 GD +2
1.67 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Sanfrecce Hiroshima welcome Nagoya Grampus for this crunch clash at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
  • 5' Thales Paula needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuki Nogami, as he is very good at scoring at EDION Stadium Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 38' Ryoya Morishita catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
  • 43' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Tsukasa Morishima is replaced by Takuya Uchida.
  • 48' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Takuya Uchida.
  • 53' Takuya Uchida has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kasper Junker makes it 0-1.
  • 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 63' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Marcos Junior exits the field as Ezequiel enters on 63.
  • 68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 71' The whistle greets Shuto Nakano as he departs to be replaced by Sota Koshimichi.
  • 72' Shinnosuke Nakatani has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 72 minutes.
  • 74' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Kasper Junker exits the field as Taika Nakashima enters on 74.
  • 77' Mitch Langerak catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 77.
  • 81' Douglas Vieira adds to his 0 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 82' The whistle greets Ryuji Izumi as he departs to be replaced by Riku Yamada.
  • 85' Ezequiel has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ezequiel on 86.
  • 89' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Mutsuki Kato exits the field as Taishi Matsumoto enters on 89.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima players.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Mateus 4
Kasper Junker 4
Naoki Maeda 3
Shuto Nakano 2
Gakuto Notsuda 2
Hayao Kawabe 1
Mutsuki Kato 1
Akito Suzuki 1

Head to Head

2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-09-16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Vissel Kobe W 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-08-26 Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-08-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 Kawasaki Frontale W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-23 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-09-16 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama FC D 2023-08-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-08-18 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.48 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima61% Draw20% Nagoya Grampus19%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
81%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
39%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima45% Draw37% Nagoya Grampus18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
8%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.9%
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
3.3%
4 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 18% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 20% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 11% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.