Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 – 1
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC EDION Stadium Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 57' Kasper Junker
Shinnosuke Nakatani og 72' 1–1
Douglas Vieira pen 81' 2–1
Ezequiel 85' 3–1
Y 38' Ryoya Morishita
Y 48' Takuya Uchida
Y 77' Mitch Langerak
Y 77' Akinari Kawazura
Ezequiel 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

8
3
10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
23 Sep Kyōto Sanga FC A 0–1 L
16 Sep Vissel Kobe H 2–0 W
02 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
26 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 0–0 D
19 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–2 W
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–3 L
23 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
16 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
02 Sep Yokohama FC H 1–1 D
26 Aug Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–3 L
18 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
#4 Position #3
30 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
+8 GD +2
1.67 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A
Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus get this one started.
  • 5' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Akinari Kawazura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' Makoto Mitsuta is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 20' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skibbe might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 444 games and scored 403 goals.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 38' It’s gonna be a card for Ryoya Morishita.
  • 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' Takuya Uchida gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 48' The referee calls foul for Takuya Uchida. He receives a card.
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 57' A stunning finish from Kasper Junker — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 62' Takumu Kawamura, a Japan midfielder, has 7 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 63' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Marcos Junior is withdrawn and Ezequiel gets his opportunity.
  • 68' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Sota Koshimichi. He replaces Shuto Nakano on 71 minute.
  • 72' GOAL! Shinnosuke Nakatani fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 74' The whistle greets Kasper Junker as he departs to be replaced by Taika Nakashima.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a card for Mitch Langerak.
  • 81' Goal! Douglas Vieira scores his 36 goal in 100 matches.
  • 82' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Ryuji Izumi departs to be replaced by Riku Yamada.
  • 85' The deadlock is broken! Ezequiel gets on the scoresheet on 85 minutes.
  • 86' The referee shows Sanfrecce Hiroshima player a card on 86.
  • 89' Taishi Matsumoto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mutsuki Kato at the 89 minute mark.
  • It finishes all square. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus share the spoils 3-1.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kasper Junker 4
Mateus 4
Naoki Maeda 3
Mutsuki Kato 2
Akito Suzuki 2
Shuto Nakano 2
Gakuto Notsuda 2
Takumu Kawamura 1

Head to Head

2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-23 Kyōto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-09-16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Vissel Kobe W 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-08-26 Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-08-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 Kawasaki Frontale W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-23 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-09-16 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama FC D 2023-08-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-08-18 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.48 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima61% Draw20% Nagoya Grampus19%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
81%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
39%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima45% Draw37% Nagoya Grampus18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
8%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.9%
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
3.3%
4 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 18% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 20% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 11% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.