Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Tōkyō vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
FC Tōkyō
3 – 2
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Yoichi Naganuma
0–2 32' Cayman Togashi pen
Adailton 54' 1–2
Ryoma Watanabe 59' 2–2
Kota Tawaratsumida 87' 3–2
Henrique Trevisan 30' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
3
9
FC Tōkyō 16 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-06-26 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-05-08 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-09 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Sagan Tosu FC H 3–2 W
15 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
03 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
26 Aug Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
19 Aug Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–2 L
12 Aug Kyōto Sanga FC H 2–0 W
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep FC Tōkyō A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
19 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
12 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
85% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
Motoki Nagakura 8 G 3 A
Marcelo Ryan 5 G 2 A
Dani Gomez 5 G
Soma Anzai 5 G
Teruhito Nakagawa 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Ajinomoto Stadium. FC Tokyo are looking to make home advantage count against Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' FC Tokyo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 18' GOAL! Yoichi Naganuma fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 23' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 28' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Henrique Trevisan.
  • 32' Cayman Togashi doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 37' Ryonosuke Kabayama has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 315 appearances.
  • 42' FC Tokyo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
  • 52' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 54' A goal from the Brazil international Adailton! He fires home on 54 to make it 1-2!
  • 59' A goal from the Japan international Ryoma Watanabe! He fires home on 59 to make it 2-2!
  • 64' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
  • 66' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Atsushi Kawata on, Cayman Togashi off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' Ayumu Yokoyama is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
  • 73' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Diego Oliveira is replaced by Jaja Silva on 73 minute.
  • 78' Kota Tawaratsumida is replacing Adailton for the FC Tokyo side.
  • 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 85' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Masato Morishige has done his job and it is now time for Yasuki Kimoto to step up.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Ryonosuke Kabayama. He replaces Yuki Horigome on 86 minute.
  • 87' Kota Tawaratsumida puts FC Tokyo on the lead.
  • 89' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 89 minute. Kohei Tezuka leaves to be changed by Naoyuki Fujita.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Tokyo to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FC Tōkyō Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ryoya Morishita 2
Yuki Kakita 2
Kaisei Ishii 2
Fuchi Honda 2
Taichi Hara 1
Diego 1
Leandro 1
Atsushi Kawata 1

Head to Head

2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-06-26 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-05-08 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-09 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō

FC Tōkyō Form

2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-09-15 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 FC Tōkyō L 2023-09-03 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-08-26 FC Tōkyō 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2023-08-19 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–1 FC Tōkyō L 2023-08-12 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-08-12 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: FC Tōkyō or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Tōkyō39% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC34%
Actual: FC Tōkyō win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw
66%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
61%
FC Tōkyō or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tōkyō27% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC27%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap FC Tōkyō covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.