Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Tōkyō vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
FC Tōkyō
3 – 2
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Yoichi Naganuma
0–2 32' Cayman Togashi pen
Adailton 54' 1–2
Ryoma Watanabe 59' 2–2
Kota Tawaratsumida 87' 3–2
Henrique Trevisan 30' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
3
9
FC Tōkyō 16 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-06-26 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-05-08 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-09 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Sagan Tosu FC H 3–2 W
15 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
03 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
26 Aug Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
19 Aug Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–2 L
12 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–0 W
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep FC Tōkyō A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
19 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
12 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' FC Tōkyō have kicked off against Sagan Tosu FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Atsushi Kawata has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' FC Tōkyō are deployed in a 4-2-1-3 today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 15' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 18' GOAL! Yoichi Naganuma scores on 18. Assisted by So Kawahara
  • 23' Yuki Horigome has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 279 appearances.
  • 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Riki Harakawa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Poor challenge from Henrique Trevisan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 32' Goal! Cayman Togashi scores his 12 goal in 437 matches.
  • 37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Tōkyō and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 52' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 54' Adailton is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 59' GOAL! Ryoma Watanabe scores on 59. Assisted by Adailton
  • 64' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Kosuke Yamazaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 66' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Cayman Togashi has done his job and it is now time for Atsushi Kawata to step up.
  • 71' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Tōkyō and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 73' The whistle greets Diego Oliveira as he departs to be replaced by Jaja Silva.
  • 78' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Adailton by Kota Tawaratsumida on 78 minute.
  • 83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Henrique Trevisan, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 85' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yasuki Kimoto is hanging Masato Morishige on the field on 85 minute.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Ryonosuke Kabayama comes on to replace Yuki Horigome.
  • 87' Kota Tawaratsumida has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
  • 89' Naoyuki Fujita has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 89 minute.
  • Another three points for FC Tōkyō.

Lineups

FC Tōkyō Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kaisei Ishii 2
Fuchi Honda 2
Ryoya Morishita 2
Yuki Kakita 2
Yoichi Naganuma 1
Hirotaka Mita 1
Yuki Horigome 1
Adailton 1

Head to Head

2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-06-26 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-05-08 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-09 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō

FC Tōkyō Form

2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-09-15 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 FC Tōkyō L 2023-09-03 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-08-26 FC Tōkyō 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2023-08-19 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–1 FC Tōkyō L 2023-08-12 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-08-12 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: FC Tōkyō or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Tōkyō39% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC34%
Actual: FC Tōkyō win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw
66%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
61%
FC Tōkyō or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tōkyō27% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC27%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap FC Tōkyō covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.