Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | FC Tokyo | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Michael Fitzgerald is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 49' GOAL! Koji Suzuki scores on 45.
- 51' A goal from the Japan international Yuji Ono! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-1!
- 56' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Michael Fitzgerald on 63 minutes.
- 68' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 69' Jun Nishikawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kohei Tezuka at the 69 minute mark.
- 74' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Eitaro Matsuda is replaced by Danilo.
- 75' The crowd applauds Hiroki Akiyama as he leaves the pitch. Yuji Hoshi steps in for Albirex Niigata.
- 76' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuji Ono is withdrawn and Cayman Togashi gets his opportunity.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Naoyuki Fujita. He replaces Yuki Horigome on 77 minute.
- 82' Yota Komi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yoshiaki Takagi on 82 minute.
- 83' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Koji Suzuki by Kaito Taniguchi on 83 minute.
- 84' Ryonosuke Kabayama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Taichi Kikuchi at the 84 minute mark.
- 86' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Shusuke Ota is replaced by Takumi Hasegawa on 86 minute.
- The points are shared — Albirex Niigata 1-1 Sagan Tosu FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 8
- 1
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Danilo 74'
- 2
- 25
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Yuji Hoshi 75'
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Takumi Hasegawa 86'
- 15
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↓ Yota Komi 82'
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 83'
Bench
- 3
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 75'
-
17
Danilo ↑ 74'
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 83'
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 82'
-
32
Takumi Hasegawa ↑ 86'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 76'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Jun Nishikawa 69'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 69'
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 77'
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 76'
- 6
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 77'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 69'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 84'
- 31
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 69'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuji Ono | 2 |
| Kaito Taniguchi | 2 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
| Koji Suzuki | 1 |
| Atsushi Kawata | 1 |
| Akito Fukuta | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
69%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
60%
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.