Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Albirex Niigata gets underway.
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takahiro Ko suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 25' The 29-year-old Ryosuke Kojima has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 40' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Jun Nishikawa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
- 49' The Japan Koji Suzuki breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 1-0!
- 51' Brilliant from the ! Yuji Ono makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 45.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taiki Watanabe made 110 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' Il-kyu Park is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Albirex Niigata so far.
- 63' That looks like a foul for a card for Michael Fitzgerald.
- 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Albirex Niigata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 69' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Jun Nishikawa comes on to replace Kohei Tezuka.
- 74' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Danilo comes on to replace Eitaro Matsuda.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Yuji Hoshi. He replaces Hiroki Akiyama on 75 minute.
- 76' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuji Ono is replaced by Cayman Togashi on 76 minute.
- 77' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Naoyuki Fujita on, Yuki Horigome off on 77 minutes.
- 82' Yoshiaki Takagi makes way for Yota Komi at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
- 83' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Koji Suzuki is withdrawn and Kaito Taniguchi gets his opportunity.
- 84' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 84 minute. Taichi Kikuchi leaves to be changed by Ryonosuke Kabayama.
- 86' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Shusuke Ota is replaced by Takumi Hasegawa on 86 minute.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 8
- 1
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Danilo 74'
- 2
- 25
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Yuji Hoshi 75'
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Takumi Hasegawa 86'
- 15
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↓ Yota Komi 82'
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 83'
Bench
- 3
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 75'
-
17
Danilo ↑ 74'
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 83'
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 82'
-
32
Takumi Hasegawa ↑ 86'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 76'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Jun Nishikawa 69'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 69'
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 77'
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 76'
- 6
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 77'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 69'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 84'
- 31
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 69'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaito Taniguchi | 2 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuji Ono | 2 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 1 |
| Kosuke Yamazaki | 1 |
| Michael Fitzgerald | 1 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
69%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
60%
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.