Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu FC is underway.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Soya Fujiwara is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Albirex Niigata tonight.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryosuke Kojima is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' Albirex Niigata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 49' Koji Suzuki puts Albirex Niigata on the lead.
- 51' Yuji Ono adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 56' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Michael Fitzgerald on 63 minutes.
- 68' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 69' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Jun Nishikawa on, Kohei Tezuka off on 69 minutes.
- 74' The crowd applauds Eitaro Matsuda as he leaves the pitch. Danilo steps in for Albirex Niigata.
- 75' A tactical swap from Albirex Niigata — Yuji Hoshi on, Hiroki Akiyama off on 75 minutes.
- 76' The whistle greets Yuji Ono as he departs to be replaced by Cayman Togashi.
- 77' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuki Horigome departs to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita.
- 82' The whistle greets Yoshiaki Takagi as he departs to be replaced by Yota Komi.
- 83' Koji Suzuki makes way for Kaito Taniguchi at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
- 84' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Ryonosuke Kabayama on, Taichi Kikuchi off on 84 minutes.
- 86' Shusuke Ota makes way for Takumi Hasegawa at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 8
- 1
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Danilo 74'
- 2
- 25
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Yuji Hoshi 75'
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Takumi Hasegawa 86'
- 15
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↓ Yota Komi 82'
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 83'
Bench
- 3
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 75'
-
17
Danilo ↑ 74'
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 83'
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 82'
-
32
Takumi Hasegawa ↑ 86'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 76'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Jun Nishikawa 69'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 69'
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 77'
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 76'
- 6
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 77'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 69'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 84'
- 31
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 69'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuji Ono | 2 |
| Kaito Taniguchi | 2 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
| Koji Suzuki | 1 |
| Atsushi Kawata | 1 |
| Akito Fukuta | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
69%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
60%
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.