Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Albirex Niigata
1 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 04:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Koji Suzuki pen 45+4' 1–0
1–1 45+6' Yuji Ono
Michael Fitzgerald 63' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
Albirex Niigata 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-20 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
29 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 3–2 W
23 Sep Yokohama FC H 3–1 W
17 Sep Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
02 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
26 Aug Kashima Antlers A 0–2 L
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
30 Sep Kyōto Sanga FC H 3–2 W
23 Sep FC Tōkyō A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Albirex Niigata is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rikizo Matsuhashi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' The 37-year-old Koji Suzuki has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' Kohei Tezuka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 49' Koji Suzuki has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 51' Yuji Ono is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 63' Michael Fitzgerald is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
  • 68' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 69' Jun Nishikawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 69 minute.
  • 74' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Eitaro Matsuda is replaced by Danilo.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Yuji Hoshi comes on to replace Hiroki Akiyama.
  • 76' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Cayman Togashi comes on to replace Yuji Ono.
  • 77' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yuki Horigome has done his job and it is now time for Naoyuki Fujita to step up.
  • 82' Yota Komi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yoshiaki Takagi at the 82 minute mark.
  • 83' A change in the Albirex Niigata ranks — Koji Suzuki exits the field as Kaito Taniguchi enters on 83.
  • 84' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 84 minute. Taichi Kikuchi leaves to be changed by Ryonosuke Kabayama.
  • 86' Albirex Niigata make a change. Shusuke Ota trudges off to be replaced by Takumi Hasegawa on 86 minutes.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yuji Ono 2
Kaito Taniguchi 2
Ayumu Yokoyama 2
Soya Fujiwara 1
Koji Suzuki 1
Atsushi Kawata 1
Akito Fukuta 1
Naoto Arai 1

Head to Head

2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-20 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Albirex Niigata

Albirex Niigata Form

2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-29 Kawasaki Frontale 2–3 Albirex Niigata W 2023-09-23 Albirex Niigata 3–1 Yokohama FC W 2023-09-17 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2023-09-02 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2023-08-26 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Albirex Niigata L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-30 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata40% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
69%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
60%
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata26% Draw49% Sagan Tosu FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.