Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyōto Sanga FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuji Ono 9' 1–0
1–1 33' Taichi Hara
1–2 60' Yuta Toyokawa
Ryonosuke Kabayama 90+9' 2–2
Hwang Seokho 90+12' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyōto Sanga FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Kyōto Sanga FC H 3–2 W
23 Sep FC Tōkyō A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
19 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 2–3 L
23 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
15 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
03 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
26 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 2–0 W
19 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Kyōto Sanga FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyōto Sanga FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/8
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kyōto Sanga FC
Rafael Elias 7 G 4 A
Haruki Arai 4 G
Ryuma Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium as Sagan Tosu FC face off against Kyōto Sanga FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It’s high time Gwi-jae Cho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 9' Against the run of play, Yuji Ono has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 14' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 19' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 24' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kosuke Yamazaki suffering a number of foals already.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kyōto Sanga FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' Assisted by Temma Matsuda with the perfectly-timed delivery and Taichi Hara makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 36' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 41' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' Taichi Kikuchi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 51' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' GOAL! Yuta Toyokawa scores on 60. Assisted by Taichi Hara
  • 65' Yuto Misao needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 66' Cayman Togashi is replacing Yuto Iwasaki for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 70' Another change for Kyoto Sanga FC made on 70 minute. Yuta Toyokawa leaves to be changed by Fuki Yamada.
  • 75' The travelling Kyōto Sanga FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 77' The Kyoto Sanga FC manager makes a substitution. Ryogo Yamasaki departs to be replaced by Naoto Misawa.
  • 82' Temma Matsuda, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 85' Naoyuki Fujita has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
  • 85' The crowd applauds Yuki Horigome as he leaves the pitch. Ryonosuke Kabayama steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 88' The Kyoto Sanga FC manager makes a substitution. Temma Matsuda departs to be replaced by Daigo Araki.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Kyoto Sanga FC player. Hisashi Appiah Tawiah gets a card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Kyōto Sanga FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Kyōto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kyōto Sanga FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC42% Draw26% Kyōto Sanga FC32%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Kyōto Sanga FC
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kyōto Sanga FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC30% Draw45% Kyōto Sanga FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kyōto Sanga FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Kyōto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.