Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sagan Tosu FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 17 Jul 2021 · 10:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'
Yoshihiro Nakano 42' Y
Y 53' Sho Inagaki

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Match Details

  • Referee Hirokazu Otsubo
  • Referee Masuya Ueda
  • Referee Hironobu Kikawada
  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Referee Hiroki Katsumata
  • Referee Mitsuharu Takeda

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
7
4
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-11-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
03 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
23 Jun Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–2 L
30 May Vissel Kobe A 1–1 D
26 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–0 D
22 May Kashima Antlers H 2–1 W
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Sagan Tosu FC A 1–3 L
30 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
26 May Vegalta Sendai H 0–1 L
22 May Tokushima Vortis A 0–0 D
15 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–0 W
12 May Kashima Antlers H 0–2 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! sagan tosu fc welcome nagoya grampus for this crunch clash at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Tomoya Koyamatsu, a Japan , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Toshio Shimakawa, as he is very good at scoring at IAI Stadium Nihondaira with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' nagoya grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Japan international Ayumu Ohata has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' nagoya grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Park Ilkyu made 315 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 39' Magnificent from Eduardo! That is 14 goals in 452 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 42' Poor challenge from Yoshihiro Nakano. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 47' Noriyoshi Sakai has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 48' Magnificent from Yoshihiro Nakano! That is 5 goals in 275 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 51' What composure from Noriyoshi Sakai! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 52' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Naoki Maeda is replaced by Ryoya Morishita.
  • 53' That is a Yellow card for Nagoya Grampus. Sho Inagaki will be fuming at that decision.
  • 54' The whistle greets Naoki Maeda as he departs to be replaced by Ryoya Morishita.
  • 59' Shinnosuke Nakatani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 64' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 67' Ismael Dunga is replacing Noriyoshi Sakai for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 72' It looks surprising sagan tosu fc does not make any changes. Ryoya Morishita has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 77' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 78' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 78 minute. Yasuki Kimoto leaves to be changed by Haruya Fujii.
  • 80' Tomoya Koyamatsu adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 0-4 — and this changes everything.
  • 81' Tomoya Koyamatsu adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 0-5 — and this changes everything.
  • 86' Shinya Nakano gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yoshihiro Nakano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Kazuki Nagasawa. He replaces Takuji Yonemoto on 88 minute.
  • 90' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 90 minute. Ayumu Ohata leaves to be changed by Masaya Tashiro.
  • With this win, sagan tosu fc is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2
Hikaru Nakahara 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2

Head to Head

2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-11-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-06-23 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-05-30 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-05-26 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-05-22 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Kashima Antlers W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2021-05-30 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-05-26 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Vegalta Sendai L 2021-05-22 Tokushima Vortis 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-05-15 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-05-12 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Kashima Antlers L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.43 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC51% Draw27% Nagoya Grampus22%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
49%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw50% Nagoya Grampus18%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.