Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Sagan Tosu FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 17 Jul 2021 · 10:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Yoshihiro Nakano 42' Y

Y 53' Sho Inagaki

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Hirokazu Otsubo
Referee Masuya Ueda
Referee Hironobu Kikawada
Referee Yoshiro Imamura
Referee Hiroki Katsumata
Referee Mitsuharu Takeda

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-11-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jul	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–1	W
03 Jul	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–1	D
23 Jun	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	0–2	L
30 May	Vissel Kobe	A	1–1	D
26 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D
22 May	Kashima Antlers	H	2–1	W

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–3	L
30 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–0	D
26 May	Vegalta Sendai	H	0–1	L
22 May	Tokushima Vortis	A	0–0	D
15 May	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	3–0	W
12 May	Kashima Antlers	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to IAI Stadium Nihondaira that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus.
5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Gabriel Xavier is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
15' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
20' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
39' Magnificent from Eduardo! That is 14 goals in 439 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
42' Yoshihiro Nakano has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 42.
47' A quiet spell here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
48' GOAL! Yoshihiro Nakano fires home to make it 1-1!
51' Noriyoshi Sakai has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 51 minutes.
52' Ryoya Morishita is ready to make an impact after coming on for Naoki Maeda at the 52 minute mark.
53' The referee has no hesitation. Sho Inagaki is booked for Nagoya Grampus — Yellow card on 53.
54' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Naoki Maeda departs to be replaced by Ryoya Morishita.
59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
64' Yuta Higuchi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
67' Ismael Dunga gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Noriyoshi Sakai and will look to change the dynamic.
72' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
78' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Yasuki Kimoto is replaced by Haruya Fujii on 78 minute.
80' GOAL! Tomoya Koyamatsu fires home to make it 3-1!
81' Tomoya Koyamatsu does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
86' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yoshihiro Nakano has done his job and it is now time for Shinya Nakano to step up.
88' Takuji Yonemoto makes way for Kazuki Nagasawa at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
90' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Ayumu Ohata is replaced by Masaya Tashiro on 90 minute.
Nagoya Grampus will have plenty to reflect on. Sagan Tosu FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

14
Yoshiki Takahashi ↑ 90'
33
Ismael Dunga ↑ 67'
1
Tatsuya Morita
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 86'
27
Ryunosuke Sagara
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 90'
43
Taichi Fukui ↑ 86'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Hiroyuki Abe
19
Manabu Saito ↑ 88'
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 88'
21
Yohei Takeda
13
Haruya Fujii ↑ 78'
10
Gabriel Xavier ↑ 52'
17
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 52'

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gabriel Xavier	2
Jo	2
Hikaru Nakahara	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Naoki Maeda	2
Ryuji Izumi	2

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-06-23 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-05-30 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-05-26 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-05-22 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Kashima Antlers W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2021-05-30 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-05-26 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Vegalta Sendai L 2021-05-22 Tokushima Vortis 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-05-15 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-05-12 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Kashima Antlers L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.43 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC51% Draw27% Nagoya Grampus22%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

49%

Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw50% Nagoya Grampus18%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.5%

1 – 0

12.2%

0 – 0

11.4%

2 – 0

9.2%

2 – 1

8.7%

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 0

4.3%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	15%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.