Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

J. League · 2021

Sagan Tosu FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 17 Jul 2021 · 10:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Yoshihiro Nakano 42' Y

Y 53' Sho Inagaki

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hirokazu Otsubo
Referee Masuya Ueda
Referee Hironobu Kikawada
Referee Yoshiro Imamura
Referee Hiroki Katsumata
Referee Mitsuharu Takeda

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-11-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jul	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–1	W
03 Jul	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–1	D
23 Jun	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	0–2	L
30 May	Vissel Kobe	A	1–1	D
26 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D
22 May	Kashima Antlers	H	2–1	W

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–3	L
30 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–0	D
26 May	Vegalta Sendai	H	0–1	L
22 May	Tokushima Vortis	A	0–0	D
15 May	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	3–0	W
12 May	Kashima Antlers	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Sagan Tosu FC gets underway.
5' Keiya Sento is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
30' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
35' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
39' The Brazil midfielder Eduardo breaks the deadlock on 39 minutes. 0-1!
42' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Yoshihiro Nakano.
47' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
48' The Japan Yoshihiro Nakano breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 1-1!
51' Noriyoshi Sakai makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
52' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Naoki Maeda is replaced by Ryoya Morishita on 52 minute.
53' Controversy at the stadium! Sho Inagaki argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
54' The whistle greets Naoki Maeda as he departs to be replaced by Ryoya Morishita.
59' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
64' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
67' Ismael Dunga is ready to make an impact after coming on for Noriyoshi Sakai at the 67 minute mark.
72' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
77' A quiet spell here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
78' Haruya Fujii gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Yasuki Kimoto and will look to change the dynamic.
80' Tomoya Koyamatsu doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
81' Tomoya Koyamatsu makes no mistake. The score reads 4-1 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
86' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yoshihiro Nakano is replaced by Shinya Nakano.
88' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Takuji Yonemoto is replaced by Kazuki Nagasawa.
90' The supporters are chanting for Masaya Tashiro. He replaces Ayumu Ohata on 90 minute.
Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

14
Yoshiki Takahashi ↑ 90'
33
Ismael Dunga ↑ 67'
1
Tatsuya Morita
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 86'
27
Ryunosuke Sagara
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 90'
43
Taichi Fukui ↑ 86'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Hiroyuki Abe
19
Manabu Saito ↑ 88'
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 88'
21
Yohei Takeda
13
Haruya Fujii ↑ 78'
10
Gabriel Xavier ↑ 52'
17
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 52'

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Naoki Maeda	2
Ryuji Izumi	2
Tomoya Koyamatsu	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Jo	2
Hikaru Nakahara	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Gabriel Xavier	2

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-06-23 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-05-30 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-05-26 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-05-22 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Kashima Antlers W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2021-05-30 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-05-26 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Vegalta Sendai L 2021-05-22 Tokushima Vortis 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-05-15 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-05-12 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Kashima Antlers L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.43 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC51% Draw27% Nagoya Grampus22%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

49%

Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw50% Nagoya Grampus18%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.5%

1 – 0

12.2%

0 – 0

11.4%

2 – 0

9.2%

2 – 1

8.7%

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 0

4.3%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	15%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.